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Majority back law-making assembly | Majority back law-making assembly |
(10 minutes later) | |
More than half of people in Wales would vote for the Welsh assembly to have full law-making powers, according to an exclusive BBC Wales/ICM poll. | More than half of people in Wales would vote for the Welsh assembly to have full law-making powers, according to an exclusive BBC Wales/ICM poll. |
A total of 52% said they would vote for full law-making powers in a referendum, 39% said they would vote against. | A total of 52% said they would vote for full law-making powers in a referendum, 39% said they would vote against. |
It is the first time a poll has shown majority support for full powers. | It is the first time a poll has shown majority support for full powers. |
But it does not indicate the shift of opinion in favour of further devolution is likely to be enough to tempt political leaders to call a referendum. | But it does not indicate the shift of opinion in favour of further devolution is likely to be enough to tempt political leaders to call a referendum. |
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IN A REFERENDUM? In favour of turning assembly into full law-making parliament: 52%Against turning assembly into full law-making parliament: 39%Don't know: 9%Source: BBC Wales/ICM poll class="" href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/betsanpowys/">Betsan Powys' blog: Growing gap between yes and no | |
Some 9% did not know how they would vote. | Some 9% did not know how they would vote. |
In an equivalent poll for the BBC a year ago, 49% of people were in favour of full assembly law-making powers, with 42% against and 9% undecided. | In an equivalent poll for the BBC a year ago, 49% of people were in favour of full assembly law-making powers, with 42% against and 9% undecided. |
In 2007, the result was 47% for full law-making powers and 44% against. | In 2007, the result was 47% for full law-making powers and 44% against. |
In this latest survey, when people were asked how Wales should be governed, the highest proportion, 34%, said they would like to see a full law-making Welsh parliament with taxation powers, but remaining part of the UK. | In this latest survey, when people were asked how Wales should be governed, the highest proportion, 34%, said they would like to see a full law-making Welsh parliament with taxation powers, but remaining part of the UK. |
Some 10% said they would like a full law-making parliament within the UK with no taxation powers - the only option in a referendum under current legislation. | Some 10% said they would like a full law-making parliament within the UK with no taxation powers - the only option in a referendum under current legislation. |
ASSEMBLY POWERS SUPPORT Law-making Welsh parliament with tax powers in UK: 34%Law-making Welsh parliament with no tax powers in UK: 10%Independent Wales outside UK but in EU: 8%Independent Wales outside UK and EU: 5%Status quo: 21%Abolish assembly 19%Don't know: 4%Source: BBC Wales/ICM poll | ASSEMBLY POWERS SUPPORT Law-making Welsh parliament with tax powers in UK: 34%Law-making Welsh parliament with no tax powers in UK: 10%Independent Wales outside UK but in EU: 8%Independent Wales outside UK and EU: 5%Status quo: 21%Abolish assembly 19%Don't know: 4%Source: BBC Wales/ICM poll |
The level of support for an independent Wales outside the UK but within the EU was 8%, with 5% wanting an independent Wales outside both the UK and the EU. | The level of support for an independent Wales outside the UK but within the EU was 8%, with 5% wanting an independent Wales outside both the UK and the EU. |
The status quo was favoured by 21%, who said they would like the assembly to remain with its current limited law making powers. | The status quo was favoured by 21%, who said they would like the assembly to remain with its current limited law making powers. |
A total of 19% wanted the institution abolished. | A total of 19% wanted the institution abolished. |
The Labour-Plaid Cymru assembly government has set up a convention headed by former diplomat Sir Emyr Jones Parry to gauge the level of public support for further powers. | The Labour-Plaid Cymru assembly government has set up a convention headed by former diplomat Sir Emyr Jones Parry to gauge the level of public support for further powers. |
It is due to report to ministers by December. | It is due to report to ministers by December. |
The coalition administration is committed to holding a referendum by 2011, but would only call one if it was confident of achieving a 'Yes' vote. | The coalition administration is committed to holding a referendum by 2011, but would only call one if it was confident of achieving a 'Yes' vote. |
The poll found 65% of people thought Rhodri Morgan has done a good job Pondering the First Minister's popularity ratingRhodri or Rodney? Some confusion in Wrexham | The poll found 65% of people thought Rhodri Morgan has done a good job Pondering the First Minister's popularity ratingRhodri or Rodney? Some confusion in Wrexham |
But the poll shows that less than half the population of Wales actually know the assembly government is run by Labour and Plaid. | But the poll shows that less than half the population of Wales actually know the assembly government is run by Labour and Plaid. |
When asked who forms the current assembly government, 48% correctly identified the coalition partnership. | When asked who forms the current assembly government, 48% correctly identified the coalition partnership. |
There is good news for First Minister Rhodri Morgan, who is due to stand down in September this year on his 70th birthday. | There is good news for First Minister Rhodri Morgan, who is due to stand down in September this year on his 70th birthday. |
When people were asked whether he has done a good or bad job as first minister, 65% said good, with 21% saying he had done a bad job and and 14% cent did not know. | When people were asked whether he has done a good or bad job as first minister, 65% said good, with 21% saying he had done a bad job and and 14% cent did not know. |
When the level of government which currently has most influence over Wales is considered, the figures in this poll are similar to last year. | When the level of government which currently has most influence over Wales is considered, the figures in this poll are similar to last year. |
WHO HAS MOST INFLUENCE ON WALES? Assembly government: 40%UK Government: 29%Local councils: 15%European Union: 8%None of these: 2%Don't know: 5%Source: BBC Wales/ICM poll | WHO HAS MOST INFLUENCE ON WALES? Assembly government: 40%UK Government: 29%Local councils: 15%European Union: 8%None of these: 2%Don't know: 5%Source: BBC Wales/ICM poll |
Around 40% of people believe the assembly government has the most influence over Wales, with 29% thinking the UK Government has most influence, 15% said local councils and 8% said the European Union. | Around 40% of people believe the assembly government has the most influence over Wales, with 29% thinking the UK Government has most influence, 15% said local councils and 8% said the European Union. |
Although there has been a small fall in the numbers seeing the UK Government as having most influence, the figures remain fairly static. | Although there has been a small fall in the numbers seeing the UK Government as having most influence, the figures remain fairly static. |
When people were asked which level of government should have the most influence over Wales, again, the figures were similar to last year - 61% said the assembly government and 21% the UK Government. | When people were asked which level of government should have the most influence over Wales, again, the figures were similar to last year - 61% said the assembly government and 21% the UK Government. |
ICM Research conducted a total of 1,000 interviews with adults in Wales aged 18+ by telephone on 20-24th February 2009. | ICM Research conducted a total of 1,000 interviews with adults in Wales aged 18+ by telephone on 20-24th February 2009. |
Interviews were conducted across Wales and the results have been weighted to the profile of all adults in Wales. | Interviews were conducted across Wales and the results have been weighted to the profile of all adults in Wales. |
ICM is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. | ICM is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. |
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