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| ‘Rolling Shock’ as Job Losses Mount Even With Reopenings | ‘Rolling Shock’ as Job Losses Mount Even With Reopenings |
| (7 days later) | |
| Scattershot reopenings of retail stores, nail salons and restaurants around the country have not halted the flood of layoffs, with the government reporting Thursday that nearly three million people filed unemployment claims last week, bringing the two-month tally to more than 36 million. | Scattershot reopenings of retail stores, nail salons and restaurants around the country have not halted the flood of layoffs, with the government reporting Thursday that nearly three million people filed unemployment claims last week, bringing the two-month tally to more than 36 million. |
| The weekly count of new claims has been declining since late March, but that hopeful flicker barely stands out in an otherwise grim and chaotic economic landscape. | The weekly count of new claims has been declining since late March, but that hopeful flicker barely stands out in an otherwise grim and chaotic economic landscape. |
| “This is a very protracted, painful situation for the labor market,” said Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, “and I just don’t see anything positive.” | “This is a very protracted, painful situation for the labor market,” said Rubeela Farooqi, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, “and I just don’t see anything positive.” |
| In places where the fitful reopening has started, workers called back to their jobs often face reduced hours and paychecks as well as a heightened risk of infection. Declining to return, however, is likely to put an end to any jobless benefits. | In places where the fitful reopening has started, workers called back to their jobs often face reduced hours and paychecks as well as a heightened risk of infection. Declining to return, however, is likely to put an end to any jobless benefits. |
| “It’s a very tough choice for those in the service industry and those at the lower end of the pay scale,” Ms. Farooqi said. “Do you go back and risk getting sick, or have no money coming in?” | “It’s a very tough choice for those in the service industry and those at the lower end of the pay scale,” Ms. Farooqi said. “Do you go back and risk getting sick, or have no money coming in?” |
| Lags in data make it hard to calculate just how many workers may have been rehired after the most recent shelter-in-place restrictions were lifted. And Connecticut cited an error in the government’s report that appeared to have inflated the state’s latest claims by more than 200,000. | Lags in data make it hard to calculate just how many workers may have been rehired after the most recent shelter-in-place restrictions were lifted. And Connecticut cited an error in the government’s report that appeared to have inflated the state’s latest claims by more than 200,000. |
| But Michelle Meyer, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America, said she doubted that callbacks to work outnumbered additional layoffs from other sectors. The slowdown has been rippling beyond the early shutdowns in retail and hospitality to professional business services, manufacturing and health care. | But Michelle Meyer, head of U.S. economics at Bank of America, said she doubted that callbacks to work outnumbered additional layoffs from other sectors. The slowdown has been rippling beyond the early shutdowns in retail and hospitality to professional business services, manufacturing and health care. |
| “In a sense, it’s a rolling shock,” she said. | “In a sense, it’s a rolling shock,” she said. |
| Georgia, one of the first states to reopen, is an example. “The reopening is bringing people back to work, reducing the total amount of people receiving unemployment insurance,” Ms. Meyer noted. “But the number of initial jobless claims is still rising, which suggests there is still residual weakness in the economy.” | Georgia, one of the first states to reopen, is an example. “The reopening is bringing people back to work, reducing the total amount of people receiving unemployment insurance,” Ms. Meyer noted. “But the number of initial jobless claims is still rising, which suggests there is still residual weakness in the economy.” |
| In an analysis of the latest unemployment-claims report, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce found that in 11 states, more than a quarter of those in the work force in February were now unemployed. And a survey by the Federal Reserve found that in households making less than $40,000 a year, nearly 40 percent of those who were working in February lost their jobs in March or the beginning of April. | In an analysis of the latest unemployment-claims report, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce found that in 11 states, more than a quarter of those in the work force in February were now unemployed. And a survey by the Federal Reserve found that in households making less than $40,000 a year, nearly 40 percent of those who were working in February lost their jobs in March or the beginning of April. |
| For millions of Americans, government benefits have provided a crucial lifeline. Unemployment programs alone delivered $48 billion in payments in April, according to the Treasury Department. | For millions of Americans, government benefits have provided a crucial lifeline. Unemployment programs alone delivered $48 billion in payments in April, according to the Treasury Department. |
| But even as states strive to keep up with the onslaught of claims, many workers remain supremely frustrated, either by their inability to submit applications or by payment delays. According to a poll for The New York Times in early May by the online research firm SurveyMonkey, more than half of those applying for unemployment benefits in recent weeks were unsuccessful. | But even as states strive to keep up with the onslaught of claims, many workers remain supremely frustrated, either by their inability to submit applications or by payment delays. According to a poll for The New York Times in early May by the online research firm SurveyMonkey, more than half of those applying for unemployment benefits in recent weeks were unsuccessful. |
| And as of Saturday, 20 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico had not paid out any money under the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance program, which Congress passed in March to help freelancers, the self-employed and other workers not normally eligible for state jobless benefits. | And as of Saturday, 20 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico had not paid out any money under the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance program, which Congress passed in March to help freelancers, the self-employed and other workers not normally eligible for state jobless benefits. |
| Some of those being called back to work have never seen a penny of government aid. | Some of those being called back to work have never seen a penny of government aid. |
| Jason Cooper, 43, went back to his serving job at the Savour restaurant in Tallahassee, Fla., in early May without ever receiving the jobless benefits he spent weeks trying to track down. | Jason Cooper, 43, went back to his serving job at the Savour restaurant in Tallahassee, Fla., in early May without ever receiving the jobless benefits he spent weeks trying to track down. |
| He was furloughed on March 14 and tried for the next month to file for government aid. In mid-April, a few days after he successfully submitted a claim, his employer secured a loan and began paying workers again. | He was furloughed on March 14 and tried for the next month to file for government aid. In mid-April, a few days after he successfully submitted a claim, his employer secured a loan and began paying workers again. |
| Mr. Cooper was lucky: he had some savings that helped cover four weeks without income, and he temporarily moved in with his mother in St. Augustine, Fla. He plans to wait out the pandemic before trying to go to a state office to claim the backdated benefits he believes he is owed. | Mr. Cooper was lucky: he had some savings that helped cover four weeks without income, and he temporarily moved in with his mother in St. Augustine, Fla. He plans to wait out the pandemic before trying to go to a state office to claim the backdated benefits he believes he is owed. |
| “It was so difficult to get through the first time that I have no real faith that the system is going to work anytime in the near future,” he said. | “It was so difficult to get through the first time that I have no real faith that the system is going to work anytime in the near future,” he said. |
| At first, Mr. Cooper was concerned about returning to work, but now he feels comfortable in the small restaurant, where employees are not wearing masks but are using single-use gloves for serving. Tables have also been spaced farther apart. “It feels shockingly normal,” he said. | At first, Mr. Cooper was concerned about returning to work, but now he feels comfortable in the small restaurant, where employees are not wearing masks but are using single-use gloves for serving. Tables have also been spaced farther apart. “It feels shockingly normal,” he said. |
| Other workers who have been called back say they are scared of getting sick but feel they have no choice. Some states are taking a hard line. Nebraska posted a notice online declaring that failing to return to work “could be considered fraud” and potentially disqualify people from receiving benefits. In South Carolina, workers are not eligible for benefits if they don’t work because they are isolating themselves to avoid exposure to the virus or have to care for children while schools are closed. Iowa has an online form for “employers to report unemployed claimants who have refused legitimate job offers.” | Other workers who have been called back say they are scared of getting sick but feel they have no choice. Some states are taking a hard line. Nebraska posted a notice online declaring that failing to return to work “could be considered fraud” and potentially disqualify people from receiving benefits. In South Carolina, workers are not eligible for benefits if they don’t work because they are isolating themselves to avoid exposure to the virus or have to care for children while schools are closed. Iowa has an online form for “employers to report unemployed claimants who have refused legitimate job offers.” |
| Sarah Parker, 26, a customer service manager at a store in Chillicothe, Ohio, was asked by her employer last week to prepare to return to work in a small shopping center. | Sarah Parker, 26, a customer service manager at a store in Chillicothe, Ohio, was asked by her employer last week to prepare to return to work in a small shopping center. |
| “On one side, I really love my job — it’s my favorite place to be,” she said. “On the other hand, I’m petrified. I’m afraid I’m going to put myself at way more risk working harder for less pay.” | “On one side, I really love my job — it’s my favorite place to be,” she said. “On the other hand, I’m petrified. I’m afraid I’m going to put myself at way more risk working harder for less pay.” |
| She estimates that her new paycheck will be half of the roughly $800 a week that she received in government aid, but said she did not want to subsist on benefit payments. | She estimates that her new paycheck will be half of the roughly $800 a week that she received in government aid, but said she did not want to subsist on benefit payments. |
| After the pandemic grabbed hold in March, Washington began sending $1,200 stimulus checks to most households. Congress also enacted emergency benefits that expanded unemployment insurance to gig workers and others not covered under state programs, and provided a weekly supplement of $600 through July. To help laid-off workers who exhausted their state benefits, the government extended unemployment insurance for 13 weeks. | After the pandemic grabbed hold in March, Washington began sending $1,200 stimulus checks to most households. Congress also enacted emergency benefits that expanded unemployment insurance to gig workers and others not covered under state programs, and provided a weekly supplement of $600 through July. To help laid-off workers who exhausted their state benefits, the government extended unemployment insurance for 13 weeks. |
| Updated July 7, 2020 | |
| The coronavirus can stay aloft for hours in tiny droplets in stagnant air, infecting people as they inhale, mounting scientific evidence suggests. This risk is highest in crowded indoor spaces with poor ventilation, and may help explain super-spreading events reported in meatpacking plants, churches and restaurants. It’s unclear how often the virus is spread via these tiny droplets, or aerosols, compared with larger droplets that are expelled when a sick person coughs or sneezes, or transmitted through contact with contaminated surfaces, said Linsey Marr, an aerosol expert at Virginia Tech. Aerosols are released even when a person without symptoms exhales, talks or sings, according to Dr. Marr and more than 200 other experts, who have outlined the evidence in an open letter to the World Health Organization. | |
| Common symptoms include fever, a dry cough, fatigue and difficulty breathing or shortness of breath. Some of these symptoms overlap with those of the flu, making detection difficult, but runny noses and stuffy sinuses are less common. The C.D.C. has also added chills, muscle pain, sore throat, headache and a new loss of the sense of taste or smell as symptoms to look out for. Most people fall ill five to seven days after exposure, but symptoms may appear in as few as two days or as many as 14 days. | Common symptoms include fever, a dry cough, fatigue and difficulty breathing or shortness of breath. Some of these symptoms overlap with those of the flu, making detection difficult, but runny noses and stuffy sinuses are less common. The C.D.C. has also added chills, muscle pain, sore throat, headache and a new loss of the sense of taste or smell as symptoms to look out for. Most people fall ill five to seven days after exposure, but symptoms may appear in as few as two days or as many as 14 days. |
| Scientists around the country have tried to identify everyday materials that do a good job of filtering microscopic particles. In recent tests, HEPA furnace filters scored high, as did vacuum cleaner bags, fabric similar to flannel pajamas and those of 600-count pillowcases. Other materials tested included layered coffee filters and scarves and bandannas. These scored lower, but still captured a small percentage of particles. | Scientists around the country have tried to identify everyday materials that do a good job of filtering microscopic particles. In recent tests, HEPA furnace filters scored high, as did vacuum cleaner bags, fabric similar to flannel pajamas and those of 600-count pillowcases. Other materials tested included layered coffee filters and scarves and bandannas. These scored lower, but still captured a small percentage of particles. |
| A commentary published this month on the website of the British Journal of Sports Medicine points out that covering your face during exercise “comes with issues of potential breathing restriction and discomfort” and requires “balancing benefits versus possible adverse events.” Masks do alter exercise, says Cedric X. Bryant, the president and chief science officer of the American Council on Exercise, a nonprofit organization that funds exercise research and certifies fitness professionals. “In my personal experience,” he says, “heart rates are higher at the same relative intensity when you wear a mask.” Some people also could experience lightheadedness during familiar workouts while masked, says Len Kravitz, a professor of exercise science at the University of New Mexico. | A commentary published this month on the website of the British Journal of Sports Medicine points out that covering your face during exercise “comes with issues of potential breathing restriction and discomfort” and requires “balancing benefits versus possible adverse events.” Masks do alter exercise, says Cedric X. Bryant, the president and chief science officer of the American Council on Exercise, a nonprofit organization that funds exercise research and certifies fitness professionals. “In my personal experience,” he says, “heart rates are higher at the same relative intensity when you wear a mask.” Some people also could experience lightheadedness during familiar workouts while masked, says Len Kravitz, a professor of exercise science at the University of New Mexico. |
| The steroid, dexamethasone, is the first treatment shown to reduce mortality in severely ill patients, according to scientists in Britain. The drug appears to reduce inflammation caused by the immune system, protecting the tissues. In the study, dexamethasone reduced deaths of patients on ventilators by one-third, and deaths of patients on oxygen by one-fifth. | The steroid, dexamethasone, is the first treatment shown to reduce mortality in severely ill patients, according to scientists in Britain. The drug appears to reduce inflammation caused by the immune system, protecting the tissues. In the study, dexamethasone reduced deaths of patients on ventilators by one-third, and deaths of patients on oxygen by one-fifth. |
| The coronavirus emergency relief package gives many American workers paid leave if they need to take time off because of the virus. It gives qualified workers two weeks of paid sick leave if they are ill, quarantined or seeking diagnosis or preventive care for coronavirus, or if they are caring for sick family members. It gives 12 weeks of paid leave to people caring for children whose schools are closed or whose child care provider is unavailable because of the coronavirus. It is the first time the United States has had widespread federally mandated paid leave, and includes people who don’t typically get such benefits, like part-time and gig economy workers. But the measure excludes at least half of private-sector workers, including those at the country’s largest employers, and gives small employers significant leeway to deny leave. | The coronavirus emergency relief package gives many American workers paid leave if they need to take time off because of the virus. It gives qualified workers two weeks of paid sick leave if they are ill, quarantined or seeking diagnosis or preventive care for coronavirus, or if they are caring for sick family members. It gives 12 weeks of paid leave to people caring for children whose schools are closed or whose child care provider is unavailable because of the coronavirus. It is the first time the United States has had widespread federally mandated paid leave, and includes people who don’t typically get such benefits, like part-time and gig economy workers. But the measure excludes at least half of private-sector workers, including those at the country’s largest employers, and gives small employers significant leeway to deny leave. |
| So far, the evidence seems to show it does. A widely cited paper published in April suggests that people are most infectious about two days before the onset of coronavirus symptoms and estimated that 44 percent of new infections were a result of transmission from people who were not yet showing symptoms. Recently, a top expert at the World Health Organization stated that transmission of the coronavirus by people who did not have symptoms was “very rare,” but she later walked back that statement. | So far, the evidence seems to show it does. A widely cited paper published in April suggests that people are most infectious about two days before the onset of coronavirus symptoms and estimated that 44 percent of new infections were a result of transmission from people who were not yet showing symptoms. Recently, a top expert at the World Health Organization stated that transmission of the coronavirus by people who did not have symptoms was “very rare,” but she later walked back that statement. |
| Touching contaminated objects and then infecting ourselves with the germs is not typically how the virus spreads. But it can happen. A number of studies of flu, rhinovirus, coronavirus and other microbes have shown that respiratory illnesses, including the new coronavirus, can spread by touching contaminated surfaces, particularly in places like day care centers, offices and hospitals. But a long chain of events has to happen for the disease to spread that way. The best way to protect yourself from coronavirus — whether it’s surface transmission or close human contact — is still social distancing, washing your hands, not touching your face and wearing masks. | Touching contaminated objects and then infecting ourselves with the germs is not typically how the virus spreads. But it can happen. A number of studies of flu, rhinovirus, coronavirus and other microbes have shown that respiratory illnesses, including the new coronavirus, can spread by touching contaminated surfaces, particularly in places like day care centers, offices and hospitals. But a long chain of events has to happen for the disease to spread that way. The best way to protect yourself from coronavirus — whether it’s surface transmission or close human contact — is still social distancing, washing your hands, not touching your face and wearing masks. |
| A study by European scientists is the first to document a strong statistical link between genetic variations and Covid-19, the illness caused by the coronavirus. Having Type A blood was linked to a 50 percent increase in the likelihood that a patient would need to get oxygen or to go on a ventilator, according to the new study. | A study by European scientists is the first to document a strong statistical link between genetic variations and Covid-19, the illness caused by the coronavirus. Having Type A blood was linked to a 50 percent increase in the likelihood that a patient would need to get oxygen or to go on a ventilator, according to the new study. |
| If air travel is unavoidable, there are some steps you can take to protect yourself. Most important: Wash your hands often, and stop touching your face. If possible, choose a window seat. A study from Emory University found that during flu season, the safest place to sit on a plane is by a window, as people sitting in window seats had less contact with potentially sick people. Disinfect hard surfaces. When you get to your seat and your hands are clean, use disinfecting wipes to clean the hard surfaces at your seat like the head and arm rest, the seatbelt buckle, the remote, screen, seat back pocket and the tray table. If the seat is hard and nonporous or leather or pleather, you can wipe that down, too. (Using wipes on upholstered seats could lead to a wet seat and spreading of germs rather than killing them.) | If air travel is unavoidable, there are some steps you can take to protect yourself. Most important: Wash your hands often, and stop touching your face. If possible, choose a window seat. A study from Emory University found that during flu season, the safest place to sit on a plane is by a window, as people sitting in window seats had less contact with potentially sick people. Disinfect hard surfaces. When you get to your seat and your hands are clean, use disinfecting wipes to clean the hard surfaces at your seat like the head and arm rest, the seatbelt buckle, the remote, screen, seat back pocket and the tray table. If the seat is hard and nonporous or leather or pleather, you can wipe that down, too. (Using wipes on upholstered seats could lead to a wet seat and spreading of germs rather than killing them.) |
| If you’ve been exposed to the coronavirus or think you have, and have a fever or symptoms like a cough or difficulty breathing, call a doctor. They should give you advice on whether you should be tested, how to get tested, and how to seek medical treatment without potentially infecting or exposing others. | If you’ve been exposed to the coronavirus or think you have, and have a fever or symptoms like a cough or difficulty breathing, call a doctor. They should give you advice on whether you should be tested, how to get tested, and how to seek medical treatment without potentially infecting or exposing others. |
| For many low-wage workers who applied successfully, the additional $600 meant their weekly income matched or even exceeded their regular paycheck. Many would prefer to wait for the health risks to recede but fear losing their benefits. | For many low-wage workers who applied successfully, the additional $600 meant their weekly income matched or even exceeded their regular paycheck. Many would prefer to wait for the health risks to recede but fear losing their benefits. |
| Kelty Stanton, an 18-year-old community college student, said that she was happy to be asked to return to her job next week at a restaurant and grocery near Titusville, N.J., but that she was stunned when she read an email outlining the terms. | Kelty Stanton, an 18-year-old community college student, said that she was happy to be asked to return to her job next week at a restaurant and grocery near Titusville, N.J., but that she was stunned when she read an email outlining the terms. |
| To stay on as an employee, she was required to return a signed and dated copy of an attached letter or risk being fired. Her company said that if she declined to go back to work, New Jersey’s unemployment department would be notified and her benefits removed. | To stay on as an employee, she was required to return a signed and dated copy of an attached letter or risk being fired. Her company said that if she declined to go back to work, New Jersey’s unemployment department would be notified and her benefits removed. |
| The letter stressed that the company was committed to a safe and healthy workplace, with “frequent disinfection of surfaces, social distancing rules, reduced customer capacity, staggered shifts.” | The letter stressed that the company was committed to a safe and healthy workplace, with “frequent disinfection of surfaces, social distancing rules, reduced customer capacity, staggered shifts.” |
| “I’m relieved that I have a job again,” Ms. Stanton said, “but at the same time, I also feel unsafe going back. I’m nervous and kind of anxious. But it’s not like they’re giving me much of a choice.” | “I’m relieved that I have a job again,” Ms. Stanton said, “but at the same time, I also feel unsafe going back. I’m nervous and kind of anxious. But it’s not like they’re giving me much of a choice.” |
| She said she planned to buy some masks and extra hand sanitizer before she starts on Monday. | She said she planned to buy some masks and extra hand sanitizer before she starts on Monday. |
| Some employers are asking returning workers to sign waivers absolving companies of liability if their workers get sick. | Some employers are asking returning workers to sign waivers absolving companies of liability if their workers get sick. |
| A survey released last week by the National Federation of Independent Business, a trade group that has often supported lower taxes and deregulation, found that 68 percent of small-business owners were worried about increased liability claims if they reopened. | A survey released last week by the National Federation of Independent Business, a trade group that has often supported lower taxes and deregulation, found that 68 percent of small-business owners were worried about increased liability claims if they reopened. |
| This week, social media users shared a letter from the Las Vegas restaurant chain Nacho Daddy that asked returning employees to promise not to take legal action if they contracted the virus at work. | This week, social media users shared a letter from the Las Vegas restaurant chain Nacho Daddy that asked returning employees to promise not to take legal action if they contracted the virus at work. |
| The president of Nacho Daddy, Paul Hymas, said in an emailed statement on Wednesday that the company had since removed that liability language from its hiring process. | The president of Nacho Daddy, Paul Hymas, said in an emailed statement on Wednesday that the company had since removed that liability language from its hiring process. |
| Ben Casselman contributed reporting. | Ben Casselman contributed reporting. |