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'Steamroller' recession on way | 'Steamroller' recession on way |
(about 3 hours later) | |
An economist has predicted unemployment levels in Northern Ireland later this year could be double that of 2007. | An economist has predicted unemployment levels in Northern Ireland later this year could be double that of 2007. |
Economy data released on Friday morning confirmed that the UK economy has continued to shrink and is now in recession. | |
John Simpson said the recession was an "unstoppable steamroller", leading to many more job losses. In December 2007 there were 24,000 people unemployed. | John Simpson said the recession was an "unstoppable steamroller", leading to many more job losses. In December 2007 there were 24,000 people unemployed. |
"Best estimates are that it could reach 48,000 later in 2009," said Mr Simpson. | "Best estimates are that it could reach 48,000 later in 2009," said Mr Simpson. |
"On a month-by-month basis the number of people unemployed is rising, rising quickly and will go on rising for several months," he added. | "On a month-by-month basis the number of people unemployed is rising, rising quickly and will go on rising for several months," he added. |
"The waves of redundancies started in the construction industry. | "The waves of redundancies started in the construction industry. |
"Then signs of lower consumer confidence, along with lower spending in the shops, hit the retail sector last autumn and are still falling." | "Then signs of lower consumer confidence, along with lower spending in the shops, hit the retail sector last autumn and are still falling." |
Mr Simpson said Northern Ireland would "probably not" experience as deep a recession as the rest of the UK. | Mr Simpson said Northern Ireland would "probably not" experience as deep a recession as the rest of the UK. |
"Current government spending is higher proportionately and the farming and food processing sectors are less volatile," he said. | "Current government spending is higher proportionately and the farming and food processing sectors are less volatile," he said. |
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