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| Translating a Surveillance Tool into a Virus Tracker for Democracies | Translating a Surveillance Tool into a Virus Tracker for Democracies |
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| Health officials and scientists in Britain hope to soon begin testing the first smartphone app that would alert people who had come in contact with someone infected with the coronavirus. | Health officials and scientists in Britain hope to soon begin testing the first smartphone app that would alert people who had come in contact with someone infected with the coronavirus. |
| The project is an urgent effort by the British authorities to translate a surveillance tool deployed to fight China’s outbreak into something more palatable in Western democracies. The app is being developed for use in Britain, but could be adapted for other countries, particularly those with similarly centralized health systems, officials said. | The project is an urgent effort by the British authorities to translate a surveillance tool deployed to fight China’s outbreak into something more palatable in Western democracies. The app is being developed for use in Britain, but could be adapted for other countries, particularly those with similarly centralized health systems, officials said. |
| Unlike the smartphone-tracking system used by the Chinese government, the British project would rely entirely on voluntary participation and would bank on people sharing information out of a sense of civic duty. Such cooperation might have been unthinkable only a few weeks ago, but is expected to gain traction amid mounting deaths and economic disaster. | Unlike the smartphone-tracking system used by the Chinese government, the British project would rely entirely on voluntary participation and would bank on people sharing information out of a sense of civic duty. Such cooperation might have been unthinkable only a few weeks ago, but is expected to gain traction amid mounting deaths and economic disaster. |
| The effort would involve an official app associated with the country’s National Health System, said researchers at the University of Oxford who are working on it with the government. People would sign up for the program and would agree to share their location data for the duration of the pandemic, or as long as they kept the app. The researchers said the government could make assurances about deleting the data and would not make the movements of infected individuals fully public, as has been done in South Korea. | The effort would involve an official app associated with the country’s National Health System, said researchers at the University of Oxford who are working on it with the government. People would sign up for the program and would agree to share their location data for the duration of the pandemic, or as long as they kept the app. The researchers said the government could make assurances about deleting the data and would not make the movements of infected individuals fully public, as has been done in South Korea. |
| The proposal represents the latest attempt by governments to harness the power of technology to fight the coronavirus, while avoiding concerns about enabling long-term government surveillance. | The proposal represents the latest attempt by governments to harness the power of technology to fight the coronavirus, while avoiding concerns about enabling long-term government surveillance. |
| As China grappled last month with the ravages of the coronavirus, it relied in part on a smartphone-tracking system to quarantine people who might have been near those who tested positive. That system drew criticism for sending data to Chinese law enforcement and because it was not clear to the public how the algorithm worked. | As China grappled last month with the ravages of the coronavirus, it relied in part on a smartphone-tracking system to quarantine people who might have been near those who tested positive. That system drew criticism for sending data to Chinese law enforcement and because it was not clear to the public how the algorithm worked. |
| “In Europe and the U.S. we’re not going to do this in a way that has been done in China,” said Michael Parker, a bioethics professor at the University of Oxford who is working on the project. “But there are ways of using these techniques. Just because we live in a democracy doesn’t mean we don’t care about other people and we’re not going to act responsibly.” | “In Europe and the U.S. we’re not going to do this in a way that has been done in China,” said Michael Parker, a bioethics professor at the University of Oxford who is working on the project. “But there are ways of using these techniques. Just because we live in a democracy doesn’t mean we don’t care about other people and we’re not going to act responsibly.” |
| In the United States, discussions between technology companies and the White House have focused on using large amounts of anonymous, aggregated location data to conduct general public health surveillance, perhaps anticipating where more serious outbreaks are likely to occur. But in Britain, where there is a centralized, trusted national health system and where data privacy protections are more robust, officials believe people would agree to assist with a technique known as contact tracing, which has been critical in combating past epidemics. | In the United States, discussions between technology companies and the White House have focused on using large amounts of anonymous, aggregated location data to conduct general public health surveillance, perhaps anticipating where more serious outbreaks are likely to occur. But in Britain, where there is a centralized, trusted national health system and where data privacy protections are more robust, officials believe people would agree to assist with a technique known as contact tracing, which has been critical in combating past epidemics. |
| Contact tracing has traditionally been done manually, by asking patients to recall their movements and tracking down people they may have infected. But the coronavirus presents a different situation, said Christophe Fraser, an expert in infectious disease dynamics and control at Oxford’s Big Data Institute who worked on the responses to earlier epidemics, including SARS. “This virus goes a bit faster, and in particular it is transmitted before symptoms start,” so it is difficult for typical interventions to “get ahead of the curve,” said Professor Fraser, who is also working on the British project. | Contact tracing has traditionally been done manually, by asking patients to recall their movements and tracking down people they may have infected. But the coronavirus presents a different situation, said Christophe Fraser, an expert in infectious disease dynamics and control at Oxford’s Big Data Institute who worked on the responses to earlier epidemics, including SARS. “This virus goes a bit faster, and in particular it is transmitted before symptoms start,” so it is difficult for typical interventions to “get ahead of the curve,” said Professor Fraser, who is also working on the British project. |
| The Oxford researchers modeled the use of phone tracking and alerts to affect the spread of the coronavirus and found that such a system could be helpful even if it was not universally adopted and the location data was not always precise. A majority of people in an area would need to be using it, but not everyone. In effect, it could instantaneously replicate a week’s worth of contact tracing, the researchers said. | The Oxford researchers modeled the use of phone tracking and alerts to affect the spread of the coronavirus and found that such a system could be helpful even if it was not universally adopted and the location data was not always precise. A majority of people in an area would need to be using it, but not everyone. In effect, it could instantaneously replicate a week’s worth of contact tracing, the researchers said. |
| The system could glean detailed location data from a variety of sources — including Bluetooth beacons, nearby Wi-Fi networks, GPS and cell towers. If someone had a positive test result and had agreed to use the app, the result would be added to the system by the N.H.S. Anyone within a certain radius in recent days might receive an alert, although many aspects of the app, including the exact method of notification, are still being worked out. | The system could glean detailed location data from a variety of sources — including Bluetooth beacons, nearby Wi-Fi networks, GPS and cell towers. If someone had a positive test result and had agreed to use the app, the result would be added to the system by the N.H.S. Anyone within a certain radius in recent days might receive an alert, although many aspects of the app, including the exact method of notification, are still being worked out. |
| It is unclear whether the app would work without the other surveillance and control measures used in China and Singapore, or whether the location technology is sufficiently accurate. Although the Chinese app gathered location data, it is not known how it was used; China also keeps a national database of flights, trains and hotel stays, and it required people to have bar codes on their apps scanned at health checkpoints. The country also looked into using location data from cell towers but found it was too imprecise to help with contact tracing. Data from known checkpoints, Bluetooth and Wi-Fi is much more precise. | It is unclear whether the app would work without the other surveillance and control measures used in China and Singapore, or whether the location technology is sufficiently accurate. Although the Chinese app gathered location data, it is not known how it was used; China also keeps a national database of flights, trains and hotel stays, and it required people to have bar codes on their apps scanned at health checkpoints. The country also looked into using location data from cell towers but found it was too imprecise to help with contact tracing. Data from known checkpoints, Bluetooth and Wi-Fi is much more precise. |
| Plans for the British app are moving “as rapidly as possible,” said Matthew Gould, the chief executive of NHSX, a government unit that handles technology policy for the National Health System. There is no official timeline for the pilot program or an eventual rollout. | Plans for the British app are moving “as rapidly as possible,” said Matthew Gould, the chief executive of NHSX, a government unit that handles technology policy for the National Health System. There is no official timeline for the pilot program or an eventual rollout. |
| Scientists caution that an app cannot replace social distancing measures already underway around the world. Instead, it may allow some people to come out of isolation after a first wave of the coronavirus subsides. | Scientists caution that an app cannot replace social distancing measures already underway around the world. Instead, it may allow some people to come out of isolation after a first wave of the coronavirus subsides. |
| The app would be different from potential tools being discussed in the United States, where technology companies have been speaking with the White House about using location data for public health surveillance, perhaps anticipating where serious outbreaks might occur. The discussions were first reported by The Washington Post. | The app would be different from potential tools being discussed in the United States, where technology companies have been speaking with the White House about using location data for public health surveillance, perhaps anticipating where serious outbreaks might occur. The discussions were first reported by The Washington Post. |
| Separately, at Facebook, scientists are analyzing location data about compliance with social distancing recommendations in various countries, according to a person familiar with the analysis. The information comes from Facebook’s private vault of location data collected by the company’s apps, the person said. | Separately, at Facebook, scientists are analyzing location data about compliance with social distancing recommendations in various countries, according to a person familiar with the analysis. The information comes from Facebook’s private vault of location data collected by the company’s apps, the person said. |
| The analysis shows, for example, that visits to restaurants over the past month fell 80 percent in Italy and more than 70 percent in Spain. The decrease in the United States over the same period was 31 percent. One of the data scientists noted in an analysis dated March 15 that the United States, France and Britain had seen only “very modest” changes in habits, while Spain had embraced far more social distancing. | The analysis shows, for example, that visits to restaurants over the past month fell 80 percent in Italy and more than 70 percent in Spain. The decrease in the United States over the same period was 31 percent. One of the data scientists noted in an analysis dated March 15 that the United States, France and Britain had seen only “very modest” changes in habits, while Spain had embraced far more social distancing. |
| Updated June 24, 2020 | |
| Scientists around the country have tried to identify everyday materials that do a good job of filtering microscopic particles. In recent tests, HEPA furnace filters scored high, as did vacuum cleaner bags, fabric similar to flannel pajamas and those of 600-count pillowcases. Other materials tested included layered coffee filters and scarves and bandannas. These scored lower, but still captured a small percentage of particles. | |
| A commentary published this month on the website of the British Journal of Sports Medicine points out that covering your face during exercise “comes with issues of potential breathing restriction and discomfort” and requires “balancing benefits versus possible adverse events.” Masks do alter exercise, says Cedric X. Bryant, the president and chief science officer of the American Council on Exercise, a nonprofit organization that funds exercise research and certifies fitness professionals. “In my personal experience,” he says, “heart rates are higher at the same relative intensity when you wear a mask.” Some people also could experience lightheadedness during familiar workouts while masked, says Len Kravitz, a professor of exercise science at the University of New Mexico. | A commentary published this month on the website of the British Journal of Sports Medicine points out that covering your face during exercise “comes with issues of potential breathing restriction and discomfort” and requires “balancing benefits versus possible adverse events.” Masks do alter exercise, says Cedric X. Bryant, the president and chief science officer of the American Council on Exercise, a nonprofit organization that funds exercise research and certifies fitness professionals. “In my personal experience,” he says, “heart rates are higher at the same relative intensity when you wear a mask.” Some people also could experience lightheadedness during familiar workouts while masked, says Len Kravitz, a professor of exercise science at the University of New Mexico. |
| The steroid, dexamethasone, is the first treatment shown to reduce mortality in severely ill patients, according to scientists in Britain. The drug appears to reduce inflammation caused by the immune system, protecting the tissues. In the study, dexamethasone reduced deaths of patients on ventilators by one-third, and deaths of patients on oxygen by one-fifth. | The steroid, dexamethasone, is the first treatment shown to reduce mortality in severely ill patients, according to scientists in Britain. The drug appears to reduce inflammation caused by the immune system, protecting the tissues. In the study, dexamethasone reduced deaths of patients on ventilators by one-third, and deaths of patients on oxygen by one-fifth. |
| The coronavirus emergency relief package gives many American workers paid leave if they need to take time off because of the virus. It gives qualified workers two weeks of paid sick leave if they are ill, quarantined or seeking diagnosis or preventive care for coronavirus, or if they are caring for sick family members. It gives 12 weeks of paid leave to people caring for children whose schools are closed or whose child care provider is unavailable because of the coronavirus. It is the first time the United States has had widespread federally mandated paid leave, and includes people who don’t typically get such benefits, like part-time and gig economy workers. But the measure excludes at least half of private-sector workers, including those at the country’s largest employers, and gives small employers significant leeway to deny leave. | The coronavirus emergency relief package gives many American workers paid leave if they need to take time off because of the virus. It gives qualified workers two weeks of paid sick leave if they are ill, quarantined or seeking diagnosis or preventive care for coronavirus, or if they are caring for sick family members. It gives 12 weeks of paid leave to people caring for children whose schools are closed or whose child care provider is unavailable because of the coronavirus. It is the first time the United States has had widespread federally mandated paid leave, and includes people who don’t typically get such benefits, like part-time and gig economy workers. But the measure excludes at least half of private-sector workers, including those at the country’s largest employers, and gives small employers significant leeway to deny leave. |
| So far, the evidence seems to show it does. A widely cited paper published in April suggests that people are most infectious about two days before the onset of coronavirus symptoms and estimated that 44 percent of new infections were a result of transmission from people who were not yet showing symptoms. Recently, a top expert at the World Health Organization stated that transmission of the coronavirus by people who did not have symptoms was “very rare,” but she later walked back that statement. | So far, the evidence seems to show it does. A widely cited paper published in April suggests that people are most infectious about two days before the onset of coronavirus symptoms and estimated that 44 percent of new infections were a result of transmission from people who were not yet showing symptoms. Recently, a top expert at the World Health Organization stated that transmission of the coronavirus by people who did not have symptoms was “very rare,” but she later walked back that statement. |
| Touching contaminated objects and then infecting ourselves with the germs is not typically how the virus spreads. But it can happen. A number of studies of flu, rhinovirus, coronavirus and other microbes have shown that respiratory illnesses, including the new coronavirus, can spread by touching contaminated surfaces, particularly in places like day care centers, offices and hospitals. But a long chain of events has to happen for the disease to spread that way. The best way to protect yourself from coronavirus — whether it’s surface transmission or close human contact — is still social distancing, washing your hands, not touching your face and wearing masks. | Touching contaminated objects and then infecting ourselves with the germs is not typically how the virus spreads. But it can happen. A number of studies of flu, rhinovirus, coronavirus and other microbes have shown that respiratory illnesses, including the new coronavirus, can spread by touching contaminated surfaces, particularly in places like day care centers, offices and hospitals. But a long chain of events has to happen for the disease to spread that way. The best way to protect yourself from coronavirus — whether it’s surface transmission or close human contact — is still social distancing, washing your hands, not touching your face and wearing masks. |
| A study by European scientists is the first to document a strong statistical link between genetic variations and Covid-19, the illness caused by the coronavirus. Having Type A blood was linked to a 50 percent increase in the likelihood that a patient would need to get oxygen or to go on a ventilator, according to the new study. | A study by European scientists is the first to document a strong statistical link between genetic variations and Covid-19, the illness caused by the coronavirus. Having Type A blood was linked to a 50 percent increase in the likelihood that a patient would need to get oxygen or to go on a ventilator, according to the new study. |
| The unemployment rate fell to 13.3 percent in May, the Labor Department said on June 5, an unexpected improvement in the nation’s job market as hiring rebounded faster than economists expected. Economists had forecast the unemployment rate to increase to as much as 20 percent, after it hit 14.7 percent in April, which was the highest since the government began keeping official statistics after World War II. But the unemployment rate dipped instead, with employers adding 2.5 million jobs, after more than 20 million jobs were lost in April. | The unemployment rate fell to 13.3 percent in May, the Labor Department said on June 5, an unexpected improvement in the nation’s job market as hiring rebounded faster than economists expected. Economists had forecast the unemployment rate to increase to as much as 20 percent, after it hit 14.7 percent in April, which was the highest since the government began keeping official statistics after World War II. But the unemployment rate dipped instead, with employers adding 2.5 million jobs, after more than 20 million jobs were lost in April. |
| Common symptoms include fever, a dry cough, fatigue and difficulty breathing or shortness of breath. Some of these symptoms overlap with those of the flu, making detection difficult, but runny noses and stuffy sinuses are less common. The C.D.C. has also added chills, muscle pain, sore throat, headache and a new loss of the sense of taste or smell as symptoms to look out for. Most people fall ill five to seven days after exposure, but symptoms may appear in as few as two days or as many as 14 days. | Common symptoms include fever, a dry cough, fatigue and difficulty breathing or shortness of breath. Some of these symptoms overlap with those of the flu, making detection difficult, but runny noses and stuffy sinuses are less common. The C.D.C. has also added chills, muscle pain, sore throat, headache and a new loss of the sense of taste or smell as symptoms to look out for. Most people fall ill five to seven days after exposure, but symptoms may appear in as few as two days or as many as 14 days. |
| If air travel is unavoidable, there are some steps you can take to protect yourself. Most important: Wash your hands often, and stop touching your face. If possible, choose a window seat. A study from Emory University found that during flu season, the safest place to sit on a plane is by a window, as people sitting in window seats had less contact with potentially sick people. Disinfect hard surfaces. When you get to your seat and your hands are clean, use disinfecting wipes to clean the hard surfaces at your seat like the head and arm rest, the seatbelt buckle, the remote, screen, seat back pocket and the tray table. If the seat is hard and nonporous or leather or pleather, you can wipe that down, too. (Using wipes on upholstered seats could lead to a wet seat and spreading of germs rather than killing them.) | If air travel is unavoidable, there are some steps you can take to protect yourself. Most important: Wash your hands often, and stop touching your face. If possible, choose a window seat. A study from Emory University found that during flu season, the safest place to sit on a plane is by a window, as people sitting in window seats had less contact with potentially sick people. Disinfect hard surfaces. When you get to your seat and your hands are clean, use disinfecting wipes to clean the hard surfaces at your seat like the head and arm rest, the seatbelt buckle, the remote, screen, seat back pocket and the tray table. If the seat is hard and nonporous or leather or pleather, you can wipe that down, too. (Using wipes on upholstered seats could lead to a wet seat and spreading of germs rather than killing them.) |
| If you’ve been exposed to the coronavirus or think you have, and have a fever or symptoms like a cough or difficulty breathing, call a doctor. They should give you advice on whether you should be tested, how to get tested, and how to seek medical treatment without potentially infecting or exposing others. | If you’ve been exposed to the coronavirus or think you have, and have a fever or symptoms like a cough or difficulty breathing, call a doctor. They should give you advice on whether you should be tested, how to get tested, and how to seek medical treatment without potentially infecting or exposing others. |
| Google, which gathers detailed location data from millions of Americans who use Android phones and some Google apps, is evaluating how it could use anonymous, aggregated information to help public health experts understand more about population trends related to the pandemic, a spokesman said. | Google, which gathers detailed location data from millions of Americans who use Android phones and some Google apps, is evaluating how it could use anonymous, aggregated information to help public health experts understand more about population trends related to the pandemic, a spokesman said. |
| In such an effort, the same type of Google tool that shows you whether a business is crowded at a particular time could also show epidemiologists whether people were following rules about social distancing. | In such an effort, the same type of Google tool that shows you whether a business is crowded at a particular time could also show epidemiologists whether people were following rules about social distancing. |
| Apple uses anonymous location data for things like traffic warnings on its maps, but its system wouldn’t allow individual data, including whether someone had tested positive, to be associated with that. A spokesman said that Apple had participated in the meetings with the White House, but that the company was focused on telehealth and e-learning projects. | Apple uses anonymous location data for things like traffic warnings on its maps, but its system wouldn’t allow individual data, including whether someone had tested positive, to be associated with that. A spokesman said that Apple had participated in the meetings with the White House, but that the company was focused on telehealth and e-learning projects. |
| The British researchers said they had spoken with major technology companies about their app, but Apple and Google declined to comment on the effort. | The British researchers said they had spoken with major technology companies about their app, but Apple and Google declined to comment on the effort. |
| Many tech companies in the United States are wary of sharing large amounts of data with the government, in part because they are still smarting from revelations by Edward Snowden that the N.S.A. was gathering other types of information from them without their knowledge. | Many tech companies in the United States are wary of sharing large amounts of data with the government, in part because they are still smarting from revelations by Edward Snowden that the N.S.A. was gathering other types of information from them without their knowledge. |
| Privacy and civil liberties experts expressed caution about an extension of surveillance that could eventually be exploited by governments for other purposes — an issue the developers behind the British app say they also wanted to avoid. | Privacy and civil liberties experts expressed caution about an extension of surveillance that could eventually be exploited by governments for other purposes — an issue the developers behind the British app say they also wanted to avoid. |
| “One of the things we have learned over time is that something that seems anonymous, more often than not, is not anonymous, even if it’s designed with the best intentions,” said Matt Blaze, a professor at Georgetown Law who specializes in computer science and privacy. It is technologically difficult to ensure that data has been fully deleted from all computers that have been able to access it, he added. | “One of the things we have learned over time is that something that seems anonymous, more often than not, is not anonymous, even if it’s designed with the best intentions,” said Matt Blaze, a professor at Georgetown Law who specializes in computer science and privacy. It is technologically difficult to ensure that data has been fully deleted from all computers that have been able to access it, he added. |
| “It’s not to say you should never collect or use data — only that you should be very humble about what assurances you offer about the privacy,” he said. | “It’s not to say you should never collect or use data — only that you should be very humble about what assurances you offer about the privacy,” he said. |
| The British scientists acknowledged that their app, still in a feasibility assessment phase, might not work as hoped. | The British scientists acknowledged that their app, still in a feasibility assessment phase, might not work as hoped. |
| “I don’t want to give the irresponsible sense that this is a magic solution,” Professor Fraser said. “We are going to try, but we can’t guarantee success.” | “I don’t want to give the irresponsible sense that this is a magic solution,” Professor Fraser said. “We are going to try, but we can’t guarantee success.” |
| Gabriel J.X. Dance and Paul Mozur contributed reporting. | Gabriel J.X. Dance and Paul Mozur contributed reporting. |