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Wall Street Plunges With Global Markets in Turmoil: Live Updates Wall Street Plunges With Global Markets in Turmoil: Live Updates
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Stocks tumbled on Wednesday, as the coronavirus continued its relentless spread, governments ramped up efforts to contain it and investors continued to wait for lawmakers in Washington to take action on proposals to bolster the American economy.Stocks tumbled on Wednesday, as the coronavirus continued its relentless spread, governments ramped up efforts to contain it and investors continued to wait for lawmakers in Washington to take action on proposals to bolster the American economy.
The S&P 500 fell more than 3 percent. Major European markets were 4 to 5 percent lower, following a late-day slump in Asian shares.The S&P 500 fell more than 3 percent. Major European markets were 4 to 5 percent lower, following a late-day slump in Asian shares.
The significant drops on Wednesday represented another swing in sentiment on Wall Street. Stocks jumped on Tuesday as the White House called for urgent action to pump $1 trillion into the economy. But the calls so far haven’t been met with tangible action in the Senate. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin met with Republican lawmakers on Tuesday and warned them that the unemployment rate in the United States could approach 20 percent without the intervention of robust economic stimulus measures.The significant drops on Wednesday represented another swing in sentiment on Wall Street. Stocks jumped on Tuesday as the White House called for urgent action to pump $1 trillion into the economy. But the calls so far haven’t been met with tangible action in the Senate. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin met with Republican lawmakers on Tuesday and warned them that the unemployment rate in the United States could approach 20 percent without the intervention of robust economic stimulus measures.
And the renewed selling showed how fragile any gains have become as long as the virus continues to spread and the number of cases continues to grow at a staggering rate. Analysts continue to downgrade their expectations for the global economy and corporate profits as measures to contain the virus become more extreme.And the renewed selling showed how fragile any gains have become as long as the virus continues to spread and the number of cases continues to grow at a staggering rate. Analysts continue to downgrade their expectations for the global economy and corporate profits as measures to contain the virus become more extreme.
“We remain of the view that equity prices are only likely to find a floor once evidence emerges that the measures to contain the virus are proving successful,” analysts at Capital Economics wrote in a note Tuesday. “That is what happened in China, where equities had started to recover after their sharp falls in January, before the virus spread rapidly elsewhere.”“We remain of the view that equity prices are only likely to find a floor once evidence emerges that the measures to contain the virus are proving successful,” analysts at Capital Economics wrote in a note Tuesday. “That is what happened in China, where equities had started to recover after their sharp falls in January, before the virus spread rapidly elsewhere.”
They noted that companies have yet to start revising their earnings expectations lower, and the global financial crisis showed that such revisions can take three months to show up after the stock markets’ peak. The analysts also attributed a recent tick up in bond yields partly to distressed selling, when companies need to get out of their holdings and dump them at any cost.They noted that companies have yet to start revising their earnings expectations lower, and the global financial crisis showed that such revisions can take three months to show up after the stock markets’ peak. The analysts also attributed a recent tick up in bond yields partly to distressed selling, when companies need to get out of their holdings and dump them at any cost.
Wednesday’s turmoil was evident in other markets as well. The British pound fell to its lowest level in 35 years against the American dollar, and oil prices tumbled. U.S. crude prices tumbled to a 17-year low to about $25.44 per barrel. Brent crude priced below $30 a barrel for the first time since 2016. Gold fell, as did bond prices.Wednesday’s turmoil was evident in other markets as well. The British pound fell to its lowest level in 35 years against the American dollar, and oil prices tumbled. U.S. crude prices tumbled to a 17-year low to about $25.44 per barrel. Brent crude priced below $30 a barrel for the first time since 2016. Gold fell, as did bond prices.
Andrew Ross Sorkin writes:Andrew Ross Sorkin writes:
I chronicled the 2008 financial crisis and spent the past week on back-to-back telephone calls with many of the experts who crafted that bailout, as well as the programs put in place after 9/11, Katrina, the BP oil spill and other crises. Now here is a thought experiment that could prevent what is quickly looking like the next Great Recession or even, dare it be mentioned, depression.I chronicled the 2008 financial crisis and spent the past week on back-to-back telephone calls with many of the experts who crafted that bailout, as well as the programs put in place after 9/11, Katrina, the BP oil spill and other crises. Now here is a thought experiment that could prevent what is quickly looking like the next Great Recession or even, dare it be mentioned, depression.
The fix: The government could offer every American business, large and small, and every self-employed — and gig — worker a no-interest “bridge loan” guaranteed for the duration of the crisis to be paid back over a 5-year period. The only condition of the loan to businesses would be that companies continue to employ at least 90 percent of their work force at the same wage that they did before the crisis. And it would be retroactive, so any workers that have been laid off in the past two weeks because of the crisis would be reinstated.The fix: The government could offer every American business, large and small, and every self-employed — and gig — worker a no-interest “bridge loan” guaranteed for the duration of the crisis to be paid back over a 5-year period. The only condition of the loan to businesses would be that companies continue to employ at least 90 percent of their work force at the same wage that they did before the crisis. And it would be retroactive, so any workers that have been laid off in the past two weeks because of the crisis would be reinstated.
President Trump is scheduled to meet with airline executives on Wednesday, as industry representatives lobbied Congress for a bailout for the industry.President Trump is scheduled to meet with airline executives on Wednesday, as industry representatives lobbied Congress for a bailout for the industry.
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The industry has proposed a more than $50 billion rescue package. The Trump administration has said that it wants to help airlines, and intends to include aid for them in a broader $850 billion package of economic stimulus measures that it is proposing as a response to the outbreak.The industry has proposed a more than $50 billion rescue package. The Trump administration has said that it wants to help airlines, and intends to include aid for them in a broader $850 billion package of economic stimulus measures that it is proposing as a response to the outbreak.
Separately, Democratic leaders in the House spoke with airline chief executives by phone Tuesday afternoon after hearing from Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who has been a central point of contact within the administration.Separately, Democratic leaders in the House spoke with airline chief executives by phone Tuesday afternoon after hearing from Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, who has been a central point of contact within the administration.
In Tuesday’s call, the airline executives and members of Congress specifically discussed limiting executive bonuses and share buybacks, and protecting employees from layoffs or furloughs. They also discussed protecting collective bargaining and reversing any union concessions when the industry recovers. The airlines indicated that furloughs would be a last resort, according to a person familiar with the call, but unauthorized to discuss it publicly.In Tuesday’s call, the airline executives and members of Congress specifically discussed limiting executive bonuses and share buybacks, and protecting employees from layoffs or furloughs. They also discussed protecting collective bargaining and reversing any union concessions when the industry recovers. The airlines indicated that furloughs would be a last resort, according to a person familiar with the call, but unauthorized to discuss it publicly.
Airlines for America, an industry association, asked the federal government on Monday for a $58 billion bailout, equally split between grants and loans and loan guarantees, for passenger and cargo airlines. It is also seeking help in the form of a temporary tax break.Airlines for America, an industry association, asked the federal government on Monday for a $58 billion bailout, equally split between grants and loans and loan guarantees, for passenger and cargo airlines. It is also seeking help in the form of a temporary tax break.
As the effects of the coronavirus pandemic hit the U.S. job market, the damage to the labor market looks likely to be much deeper and longer lasting than seemed possible even a week ago.
Most small businesses do not have the financial buffer to pay workers for long if revenue dries up. And while larger public companies may have access to cash, they also have shareholders who want executives to watch the bottom line.
“It’s simple math,” said Deborah Weinswig, founder of Coresight Research, an advisory and research firm that specializes in retail and technology. “You can’t have all expenses and no revenue.”
IHS Markit, an economic forecasting firm, said Monday that it expected the unemployment rate to rise to 6 percent by mid-2021, up from 3.5 percent in February. The Economic Policy Institute, a progressive research group, estimated on Tuesday that the outbreak could eliminate three million jobs by summer.
The European Central Bank on Wednesday rejected statements by a member of its policymaking panel who had suggested the bank could not do any more to combat the coronavirus crisis.The European Central Bank on Wednesday rejected statements by a member of its policymaking panel who had suggested the bank could not do any more to combat the coronavirus crisis.
“The E.C.B. stands ready to adjust all of its measures, as appropriate, should this be needed to safeguard liquidity conditions in the banking system and to ensure the smooth transmission of its monetary policy in all jurisdictions,” the bank said, in an unusual repudiation of one of its own officials.“The E.C.B. stands ready to adjust all of its measures, as appropriate, should this be needed to safeguard liquidity conditions in the banking system and to ensure the smooth transmission of its monetary policy in all jurisdictions,” the bank said, in an unusual repudiation of one of its own officials.
The central bank was reacting to comments by Robert Holzmann, president of the Austrian National Bank, who is also a member of its own governing council.The central bank was reacting to comments by Robert Holzmann, president of the Austrian National Bank, who is also a member of its own governing council.
In an interview published on Wednesday, Mr. Holzmann told the Vienna newspaper Der Standard that “monetary policy has reached its limits” and that it was up to governments to deal with the consequences of the crisis.In an interview published on Wednesday, Mr. Holzmann told the Vienna newspaper Der Standard that “monetary policy has reached its limits” and that it was up to governments to deal with the consequences of the crisis.
After the interview was published, Mr. Holzmann retracted those remarks. “Monetary policy is a long way from reaching its limits,” he said in a statement issued by the Austrian central bank.After the interview was published, Mr. Holzmann retracted those remarks. “Monetary policy is a long way from reaching its limits,” he said in a statement issued by the Austrian central bank.
The European Central Bank has been struggling with communication gaffes since its president, Christine Lagarde, made comments last week that were interpreted to mean that the bank would not protect a country like Italy should its borrowing costs rise to unsustainable levels.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin warned Republican senators on Tuesday that the unemployment rate in the United States could approach 20 percent without the intervention of robust economic stimulus measures, according to people familiar with the discussion.
The comments came while Mr. Mnuchin was making the White House’s pitch to lawmakers to back a $1 trillion fiscal stimulus package that would include $250 billion of checks being sent to Americans suffering from the fallout of the coronavirus epidemic.
Mr. Mnuchin said that the jobless rate could go up by 5, 10 or 15 percentage points if there is no intervention, according to two people familiar with his comments. The jobless rate currently sits at 3.5 percent.
Monica Crowley, a spokeswoman for Mr. Mnuchin, said that the Treasury secretary’s comments were not a projection and that because Congress was taking additional action, he did not believe the unemployment rate would reach 20 percent.
“During the meeting with Senate Republicans today, Secretary Mnuchin used several mathematical examples for illustrative purposes, but he never implied this would be the case,” Ms. Crowley said in a statement.
The Trump administration has spoken with large technology companies about how their access to geolocation data from smartphones can aid in the response to the coronavirus pandemic.The Trump administration has spoken with large technology companies about how their access to geolocation data from smartphones can aid in the response to the coronavirus pandemic.
At a recent meeting, a group of tech companies discussed the use of anonymous, aggregated geolocation data to respond to the spread of the virus with the White House and other administration officials, according to two people with knowledge of the matter. They also discussed how that would intersect with user privacy, the people said.At a recent meeting, a group of tech companies discussed the use of anonymous, aggregated geolocation data to respond to the spread of the virus with the White House and other administration officials, according to two people with knowledge of the matter. They also discussed how that would intersect with user privacy, the people said.
The Centers for Disease Control asked during the meeting about the prospect of using the data to track demand for hospitals around the country, which are expected to be deluged by patients, one of the people said. The conversations were first reported by The Washington Post.The Centers for Disease Control asked during the meeting about the prospect of using the data to track demand for hospitals around the country, which are expected to be deluged by patients, one of the people said. The conversations were first reported by The Washington Post.
The possible use of geolocation data raises questions about user privacy, especially as policymakers are increasingly asking about the power of major tech companies like Amazon, Facebook and Google.The possible use of geolocation data raises questions about user privacy, especially as policymakers are increasingly asking about the power of major tech companies like Amazon, Facebook and Google.
The British government’s advice to avoid socializing has been a punch in the gut for brewers and pubs who rely on Britons congregating over a pint.The British government’s advice to avoid socializing has been a punch in the gut for brewers and pubs who rely on Britons congregating over a pint.
The government’s offer of interest-free loans on Tuesday did little to assuage their worries.The government’s offer of interest-free loans on Tuesday did little to assuage their worries.
“Paying for day-to-day expenditure with a loan goes against rule number one of running a small business,” said James Calder, chief executive of the Society of Independent Brewers.“Paying for day-to-day expenditure with a loan goes against rule number one of running a small business,” said James Calder, chief executive of the Society of Independent Brewers.
Representatives of the hospitality industry hope more measures might be announced.Representatives of the hospitality industry hope more measures might be announced.
Robert Wicks, who owns a small brewery and pub in Kent, in the south of England, said his industry had been “cut off at the knees,” and needed help paying salaries rather than loans.Robert Wicks, who owns a small brewery and pub in Kent, in the south of England, said his industry had been “cut off at the knees,” and needed help paying salaries rather than loans.
The coronavirus pandemic is exposing the fragile situations of gig economy workers — the Uber and Lyft drivers, food-delivery couriers and TaskRabbit furniture builders who are behind the convenience-as-a-service apps that are now part of everyday life. Classified as freelancers and not full-time employees, these workers have few protections like guaranteed wages, sick pay and health care, which are benefits that are critical in a crisis.The coronavirus pandemic is exposing the fragile situations of gig economy workers — the Uber and Lyft drivers, food-delivery couriers and TaskRabbit furniture builders who are behind the convenience-as-a-service apps that are now part of everyday life. Classified as freelancers and not full-time employees, these workers have few protections like guaranteed wages, sick pay and health care, which are benefits that are critical in a crisis.
While gig economy companies like Uber and DoorDash have promoted themselves as providing flexible work that can be lifelines to workers during economic downturns, interviews with 20 ride-hailing drivers and food delivery couriers in Europe and the United States over the past week showed that the services have been anything but that.While gig economy companies like Uber and DoorDash have promoted themselves as providing flexible work that can be lifelines to workers during economic downturns, interviews with 20 ride-hailing drivers and food delivery couriers in Europe and the United States over the past week showed that the services have been anything but that.
BMW of Germany became the last major European carmaker to shut down manufacturing in Europe, saying on Wednesday its factories would remain closed until April 19. The company will also stop production in South Africa. Toyota also said on Wednesday that it would close its European plants.BMW of Germany became the last major European carmaker to shut down manufacturing in Europe, saying on Wednesday its factories would remain closed until April 19. The company will also stop production in South Africa. Toyota also said on Wednesday that it would close its European plants.
A broad group of bankers and other mortgage industry participants is working on a plan to offer a temporary pause in payments on home loans, according to the Housing Policy Council, a trade group that includes Citigroup, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase and Quicken Loans.A broad group of bankers and other mortgage industry participants is working on a plan to offer a temporary pause in payments on home loans, according to the Housing Policy Council, a trade group that includes Citigroup, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase and Quicken Loans.
Philippine financial markets are set to reopen on Thursday, after becoming the first to shut down because of the coronavirus outbreak. The Philippine stock exchange, which shut on Tuesday, will keep reduced hours, it said in a statement.Philippine financial markets are set to reopen on Thursday, after becoming the first to shut down because of the coronavirus outbreak. The Philippine stock exchange, which shut on Tuesday, will keep reduced hours, it said in a statement.
Reporting and research were contributed by Jack Ewing, David McCabe, Cecilia Kang, Alan Rappeport, Nicholas Fandos, Jim Tankersley, Amie Tsang, Kate Conger, Adam Satariano, Mike Isaac, Jason Gutierrez, Carlos Tejada, Kevin Granville and Daniel Victor. Reporting and research were contributed by Jack Ewing, David McCabe, Cecilia Kang, Alan Rappeport, Ben Casselman, Sapna Maheshwari, Nicholas Fandos, Jim Tankersley, Amie Tsang, Kate Conger, Adam Satariano, Mike Isaac, Jason Gutierrez, Carlos Tejada, Kevin Granville and Daniel Victor.