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Coronavirus Live Updates: Trump Says to Limit Gatherings to 10 People | Coronavirus Live Updates: Trump Says to Limit Gatherings to 10 People |
(about 2 hours later) | |
新冠病毒疫情最新消息 | 新冠病毒疫情最新消息 |
The Trump administration released new guidelines on Monday to slow the spread of the coronavirus, including closing schools and avoiding groups of more than 10 people, discretionary travel, bars, restaurants and food courts. | |
Mr. Trump, flanked by task force members including Dr. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said that the guidelines would apply for 15 days. | |
“It seems to me if we do a really good job, we’ll not only hold the death down to a level that’s much lower than the other way had we not done a good job, but people are talking about July, August,” Mr. Trump said about the duration of the crisis. | “It seems to me if we do a really good job, we’ll not only hold the death down to a level that’s much lower than the other way had we not done a good job, but people are talking about July, August,” Mr. Trump said about the duration of the crisis. |
The new measures reflected the increasing gravity of global attempts to contain the virus as governments around the world, from Canada to Hungary, moved to close their borders to foreign travelers. | |
“If everyone makes this change or these critical changes and sacrifices now,” Mr. Trump said, “we will rally together as one nation and we will defeat the virus and we’re going to have a big celebration all together.” | “If everyone makes this change or these critical changes and sacrifices now,” Mr. Trump said, “we will rally together as one nation and we will defeat the virus and we’re going to have a big celebration all together.” |
Hours earlier, Mr. Trump told a group of governors that they should not wait for the federal government to fill the growing demand for respirators needed to help people diagnosed with coronavirus. | Hours earlier, Mr. Trump told a group of governors that they should not wait for the federal government to fill the growing demand for respirators needed to help people diagnosed with coronavirus. |
“Respirators, ventilators, all of the equipment — try getting it yourselves,” Mr. Trump told the governors during the conference call, a recording of which was shared with The New York Times. | “Respirators, ventilators, all of the equipment — try getting it yourselves,” Mr. Trump told the governors during the conference call, a recording of which was shared with The New York Times. |
The suggestion surprised some of the governors, who have been scrambling to contain the outbreak and looking to the federal government for help with equipment, personnel and financial aid. | |
At the briefing with the president, Dr. Fauci stressed that some of the White House guidelines were inconvenient, but they would help stop the spread of the virus and were not an overreaction. | |
“I say it over and over again: When you’re dealing with an emerging infectious diseases outbreak, you are always behind where you think you are,” he said. | “I say it over and over again: When you’re dealing with an emerging infectious diseases outbreak, you are always behind where you think you are,” he said. |
Mr. Trump, addressing rumors that a nationwide lockdown was under consideration like the ones imposed by Italy and Spain, said that would not happen. | Mr. Trump, addressing rumors that a nationwide lockdown was under consideration like the ones imposed by Italy and Spain, said that would not happen. |
Dr. Fauci said at the briefing that the first phase of testing of a possible vaccine had begun on Monday. | |
As businesses and schools closed across the United States, public spaces emptied and people kept a wary distance on sidewalks and in supermarkets, millions of Americans found their lives upended on Monday, trying to work from their living rooms, look after suddenly homebound children, or just keep enough food on hand. | As businesses and schools closed across the United States, public spaces emptied and people kept a wary distance on sidewalks and in supermarkets, millions of Americans found their lives upended on Monday, trying to work from their living rooms, look after suddenly homebound children, or just keep enough food on hand. |
Nations around the world shut their borders and ordered shops and restaurants to close, and people across the United States awoke to the fact that they were not far behind, with the new coronavirus epidemic sweeping into every corner of their lives. | Nations around the world shut their borders and ordered shops and restaurants to close, and people across the United States awoke to the fact that they were not far behind, with the new coronavirus epidemic sweeping into every corner of their lives. |
Though relatively few Americans have been tested, more than 4,000 have tested positive. The clear message from officials was that it would continue to grow unabated and whole sectors of the economy and society would grind to a halt and stay that way for weeks or months. | Though relatively few Americans have been tested, more than 4,000 have tested positive. The clear message from officials was that it would continue to grow unabated and whole sectors of the economy and society would grind to a halt and stay that way for weeks or months. |
The stock market plummeted yet again on Monday on the mounting bad news. In less than a month, the pandemic has caused trillions of dollars in losses and wiped out most of the market gains made under President Trump’s low-tax, low-regulation policies — one of his favorite boasts. | The stock market plummeted yet again on Monday on the mounting bad news. In less than a month, the pandemic has caused trillions of dollars in losses and wiped out most of the market gains made under President Trump’s low-tax, low-regulation policies — one of his favorite boasts. |
The airline industry asked for more than $50 billion in emergency government support. Economists warned that crowded, tourism-dependent New York City could be especially vulnerable economically. | The airline industry asked for more than $50 billion in emergency government support. Economists warned that crowded, tourism-dependent New York City could be especially vulnerable economically. |
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention called for a halt to all gatherings of more than 50 people, airlines canceled flights and mothballed planes, and states and cities around the country shut down bars, restaurants, stores, libraries and museums. | The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention called for a halt to all gatherings of more than 50 people, airlines canceled flights and mothballed planes, and states and cities around the country shut down bars, restaurants, stores, libraries and museums. |
America’s legal gates to the world are closing fast, as the Trump administration added Britain and Ireland to a list of European nations whose residents are barred from entering the country. More and more, those European countries are closing their doors to each other. | |
In the United States, the sense of being cut off increasingly seems to apply to the states themselves, as Washington has been slow to produce either promised aid or a coherent strategy and President Trump advised governors — some of whom were shocked — that they should look to buy their own ventilators and respirators, which are in desperately short supply. | In the United States, the sense of being cut off increasingly seems to apply to the states themselves, as Washington has been slow to produce either promised aid or a coherent strategy and President Trump advised governors — some of whom were shocked — that they should look to buy their own ventilators and respirators, which are in desperately short supply. |
On Monday, health officials ordered millions in six counties in the Bay Area to “shelter in place,” one of the most significant restrictions yet to American life in the race to stop the coronavirus outbreak from surging in the United States. | On Monday, health officials ordered millions in six counties in the Bay Area to “shelter in place,” one of the most significant restrictions yet to American life in the race to stop the coronavirus outbreak from surging in the United States. |
Get an informed guide to the global outbreak with our daily coronavirus | Get an informed guide to the global outbreak with our daily coronavirus |
newsletter. | newsletter. |
The order, which goes into effect Tuesday, is expected to disrupt life for millions of residents in Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco, San Mateo, and Santa Clara Counties. The City of Berkeley also issued the same order. | |
And families were left to worry about lost wages, about inadequate supplies of medicine and protective gear, about leaving the ill and elderly even more isolated and vulnerable, and about jobs, institutions, relatives and neighbors that might vanish and never return. | |
Stringent measures were imposed over the weekend in several Latin American nations, where the outbreak has generally arrived later than in Europe or North America. | |
Ecuador and Peru, with several dozen cases each, announced countrywide lockdowns on Sunday. President Iván Duque of Colombia, which had more than 50 cases by Monday, shut the borders to nonresidents. In Costa Rica, which has 41 cases, the government decreed a state of emergency that included closing its borders. | |
In Venezuela, President Nicolás Maduro — an authoritarian leader whose government is considered illegitimate by the United States and about 60 other nations — seized on the upheaval caused by the pandemic to present himself as a responsible guardian of public health. | |
He responded to 17 confirmed cases of coronavirus in the country by ordering a lockdown of the capital, Caracas, and six other states on Monday. “We either go into quarantine, or the pandemic could brutally and tragically bring down our country,” Mr. Maduro said in a terse televised speech on Sunday that was a departure from his typically rambling addresses. He called on the United States to loosen sanctions against his government. | |
In contrast, President Jair Bolsonaro of Brazil encouraged mass demonstrations by his supporters against his opponents in Congress on Sunday. Though Mr. Bolsonaro has been close to people who tested positive for the virus, he shook hands and posed for photos with supporters. | |
On Monday, a British cruise ship carrying five people who have tested positive for the coronavirus began sailing toward Cuba, where it will be allowed to dock and its passengers will be able to fly home. Any who are deemed too ill for immediate evacuation will be treated by Cuban doctors, a Cuban diplomat said. | |
Among the 682 passengers and 381 crew members aboard the ship, the Braemar, are 22 passengers and 21 crew members who are in isolation after displaying flulike symptoms, according to Fred. Olsen Cruise Lines, the vessel’s operator. Most passengers are British, but there are also Canadian, Australian, Irish and Japanese citizens, among others. | |
Scientists tracking the spread of the coronavirus reported Monday that, for every confirmed case, there are most likely another five to 10 people in the community with undetected infections. On average these people are about half as infectious as confirmed ones, but they are responsible for transmitting the virus in nearly 80 percent of new cases, according to the report, which was based on data from China. | |
The researchers modeled the virus’s natural spread in China before the government instituted a travel ban and an aggressive testing policy. During that time, from December 2019 through late January, about 85 percent of cases went undetected. That situation is analogous to the current state of affairs in the United States and other Western countries, where tests are not widely available, the researchers said. | |
“If we have 3,500 confirmed cases in the U.S., you might be looking at 35,000 in reality,” said Jeffrey Shaman, an epidemiologist at Columbia University and the senior author of the new report, which was posted by the journal Science. | “If we have 3,500 confirmed cases in the U.S., you might be looking at 35,000 in reality,” said Jeffrey Shaman, an epidemiologist at Columbia University and the senior author of the new report, which was posted by the journal Science. |
The report is among the first to address two pressing questions: How many people are walking around with unrecognized infections, and how infectious are they? American policymakers have begun taking more aggressive measures to slow transmission, like s canceling events and closing restaurants, but access to tests has been difficult or nonexistent in much of the country. | |
The top official of the European Union said on Monday that she was proposing a shutdown of all nonessential travel into the bloc. President Emmanuel Macron of France said national leaders would approve the plan on Tuesday. | |
“We propose to introduce a temporary restriction to non-essential travel to the European Union,” said Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, after a teleconference with G7 leaders. “Of course there will be exemptions for E.U. citizens coming back home, health care workers, doctors and nurses.” | |
The restriction would last for 30 days, and would not interfere with travel from one European Union country to another. But some of the member states have already taken steps in that direction. | |
Ten of the 26 countries that make up the passport-free Schengen Area have reintroduced border controls, partly or fully suspending the rules of the flagship European Union program, a spokesman for the European Commission said. They include eight members of the union — Austria, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Germany, Hungary, Lithuania and Poland — as well as Norway and Switzerland, which belong to the Schengen Area but not the union. | |
The European Commission proposed a set of policies to keep goods flowing within the European Union, but allow countries to tighten border measures for travelers. | |
Six counties in Northern California have ordered all residents to “shelter in place” in an effort to stop the coronavirus from surging. | |
The order, which takes effect Tuesday, is expected to disrupt life for millions of residents in Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, San Francisco, San Mateo, and Santa Clara counties. The city of Berkeley also issued the same order. | |
That means staying at home except for the most essential reasons. Officials said people would be allowed to leave the house for essential work, to go to a grocery store, pick up medication, or even walk the dog. But they urged everyone to practice social distancing while outside. “It is now time to do your part,” Dr. Scott Morrow, the San Mateo health officer, said in a statement | |
“It’s asking people to go home with their families and to stay there until they are told otherwise,” said Mayor Joe Goethals of San Mateo, adding that only “essential” businesses like hospitals, grocery stores and pharmacies would remain open. | |
“I don’t expect anyone to get arrested,” said Mr. Goethals, who said people will still be allowed to go outside for limited activities, like buying food and getting fresh air. “But it’s not optional. This is mandatory for all of us.” | |
The number of coronavirus cases in the United States crossed the 4,000 mark on Monday, with more than 70 deaths, including the first deaths in Indiana, Nevada and South Carolina. | |
A growing number of cities and states have taken significant actions to slow the coronavirus, shutting down schools, restaurants, bars, movie theaters and gyms. The restrictions stretched from the now-empty sidewalks of New York City, where officials had made the wrenching decision to shut down public schools, to the fields and urban centers of Ohio. | |
“I don’t know how to explain to my four-year-old why he no longer has school, why we can’t see Granny and Pa or Gam and Pa, and why everything is closed,” said Molly Hideg, a mother and social worker at a hospital in Cleveland. | |
By Monday afternoon, officials had ordered restaurants and bars to shut down in Connecticut, Indiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Washington State and Puerto Rico, with exceptions in some places for takeout or delivery orders. Millions of Americans are now hunkered down at home for the foreseeable future. In California, Gov. Gavin Newsom called for people 65 and older to shelter in their homes. Some places, like Puerto Rico and Hoboken, N.J., have also resorted to a curfew at night. | |
The number of coronavirus cases in the United States crossed the 4,000 mark on Monday, with more than 70 deaths, including the first deaths in Indiana, Nevada and South Carolina. Health officials have warned that the numbers of cases will continue to rise, and even West Virginia — the last state without a documented case of the virus — has taken significant precautions. Gov. Jim Justice said he believed the state already had its first case, but hadn’t found it yet. | |
“We’ve got a monster that’s looming,” he said. | “We’ve got a monster that’s looming,” he said. |
Financial markets cratered on Monday, as investors confronted evidence that a steep decline in the world’s largest economies may have already begun. | Financial markets cratered on Monday, as investors confronted evidence that a steep decline in the world’s largest economies may have already begun. |
The sell-off came even after the Federal Reserve took extraordinary steps on Sunday afternoon to bolster the American economy, signaling that it saw an economic crisis unfolding as businesses shut down and borders are closed to contain the coronavirus. | The sell-off came even after the Federal Reserve took extraordinary steps on Sunday afternoon to bolster the American economy, signaling that it saw an economic crisis unfolding as businesses shut down and borders are closed to contain the coronavirus. |
The S&P 500 index fell 12 percent, its biggest percentage drop since the October 1987 crash. It has lost almost 30 percent since its peak last month, undoing all of its gains since May 2017. | |
The financial downdraft was global, with major benchmarks in Asia, Europe and the United States all falling on Monday. | The financial downdraft was global, with major benchmarks in Asia, Europe and the United States all falling on Monday. |
The market plunges followed grim economic news: factory activity in China, one of the world’s largest economies, fell 13.5 percent last month compared with February of last year, and investment in China fell by roughly 25 percent. | The market plunges followed grim economic news: factory activity in China, one of the world’s largest economies, fell 13.5 percent last month compared with February of last year, and investment in China fell by roughly 25 percent. |
One of the first bits of data for American economic activity in March, a gauge of manufacturing activity in New York state, showed the worst one-month plunge on record, falling to its lowest level since 2009. | |
“Unfortunately, this is the new reality. This report is a harbinger of what is to come,” wrote economic analysts with investment bank Jefferies in New York. | |
Global oil prices plunged to below $30 a barrel, a four-year low. Crude prices have fallen by half since Jan. 1, and some analysts say they could soon slip below $20 a barrel. | |
Declaring “we are at war,” President Emmanuel Macron of France prohibited public gatherings of any size, postponed municipal elections and told people to stay in their homes except for essential needs. | |
His order, which goes into effect on Tuesday, is one of the most stringent anywhere in Europe. Officials said that going out for a walk to get some fresh our would be allowed, but meeting a friend on a street or in a park would be punishable with a fine. | |
Christophe Castaner, the interior minister, said anyone on a public outing would need to carry a document justifying it, even if only a sworn statement written by that person. He said that 100,000 law enforcement officers would be deployed to enforce the order. | |
Olivier Véran, France’s health minister, said that the government was asking each French person to limit human contact to a maximum of five people a day. France, with more than 6,600 coronavirus cases and 148 deaths by Monday, had already ordered all “non-indispensable” businesses closed. | |
“We will be able to end the confinement,” Mr. Véran said in a post on Twitter. “But without confinement, we will not be able to end the epidemic.” | “We will be able to end the confinement,” Mr. Véran said in a post on Twitter. “But without confinement, we will not be able to end the epidemic.” |
Spain, with almost 10,000 cases and more than 300 deaths by Monday, also ordered residents to mostly stay at home, though it is still allowing most people to go to work and has not announced any punitive measures. Schools, restaurants and bars were ordered to close. | |
The pace of new coronavirus infections reported in Europe accelerates daily — roughly 6,000 on Thursday, 7,000 on Friday, 8,000 on Saturday, 9,000 on Sunday and 10,000 on Monday, bringing the total to about 62,000. France and Spain warned that their health care systems could be overwhelmed. | |
And in Italy, still the hardest-hit country in Europe and the first to impose nationwide restrictions on movement, the government announced $28 billion in emergency aid to individuals, businesses and the health care system to stave off chaos and financial ruin. | |
Italy had almost 28,000 infections and more than 1,800 deaths as of Monday. | Italy had almost 28,000 infections and more than 1,800 deaths as of Monday. |
The government’s aid package delays mortgage, loan and tax payments, and offers extended parental leave, sick leave for people in quarantine, babysitting vouchers, and grants for self-employed and seasonal workers. | The government’s aid package delays mortgage, loan and tax payments, and offers extended parental leave, sick leave for people in quarantine, babysitting vouchers, and grants for self-employed and seasonal workers. |
“We never considered fighting a flood with buckets,” Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte said. “We are trying to build a dam to protect businesses, families and workers.” | “We never considered fighting a flood with buckets,” Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte said. “We are trying to build a dam to protect businesses, families and workers.” |
Ohio’s governor moved to postpone Tuesday’s presidential primary and hold in-person voting on June 2 because of worries about the coronavirus. Absentee voting will continue until the new primary date, Gov. Mike DeWine said at a news conference. Mr. DeWine said he did not have the authority to unilaterally delay the primary, so he said a lawsuit would be filed to make the change. | |
Kentucky also announced that it was delaying its primary. The announcement was made by Kentucky’s secretary of state, Michael G. Adams, in a video statement on Twitter. | |
The lobbying group for America’s biggest airlines called on the government on Monday to provide more than $50 billion in grants, loan guarantees and tax relief. The group, Airlines for America, warned that the current situation is not sustainable for the industry and that there is no end in sight to the crisis. | |
“This is a today problem, not a tomorrow problem,” said Nicholas E. Calio, chief executive of Airlines for America. “It requires urgent action.” | “This is a today problem, not a tomorrow problem,” said Nicholas E. Calio, chief executive of Airlines for America. “It requires urgent action.” |
The industry group said that flight cancellations are outpacing new bookings and that the decline in demand is getting worse by the day. The request included $25 billion in grants for passenger carriers, $4 billion in grants for cargo, $25 billion in loan guarantees. | |
Larry Kudlow, the director of the National Economic Council, said on Monday that “we’re in touch” with the airlines “about their balance sheets and their cash flow.” | Larry Kudlow, the director of the National Economic Council, said on Monday that “we’re in touch” with the airlines “about their balance sheets and their cash flow.” |
“We don’t see the airlines failing, but if they get into a cash crunch we’re going to try to help them,” he said. | “We don’t see the airlines failing, but if they get into a cash crunch we’re going to try to help them,” he said. |
On Sunday, United Airlines executives said they were in talks with union leaders about reducing payroll costs. The moves being considered include furloughs, pay cuts and reducing minimum hours. | On Sunday, United Airlines executives said they were in talks with union leaders about reducing payroll costs. The moves being considered include furloughs, pay cuts and reducing minimum hours. |
United’s corporate officers will be taking a 50 percent pay cut, Oscar Munoz, the chief executive, and Scott Kirby, the president, said in a letter. Both have already said they would forgo their base salaries through June. | United’s corporate officers will be taking a 50 percent pay cut, Oscar Munoz, the chief executive, and Scott Kirby, the president, said in a letter. Both have already said they would forgo their base salaries through June. |
In a sharp reversal, Prime Minister Boris Johnson said on Monday that everyone should avoid unnecessary travel and contact with others, should work at home and should stop going to places like bars, restaurants and theaters. | |
Mr. Johnson called the measures “very draconian,” but he stopped well short of the kinds of steps taken by some harder-hit European countries. He did not order schools or businesses closed, did not tell people to stay in their homes, and said the steps were not mandatory, but rather “giving very strong advice.” | |
Mr. Johnson and his government had faced harsh criticism for its laissez-faire approach to the pandemic. They had spoken hopefully of “herd immunity” — in which many people would be infected, recover and then, it is hoped, be immune — while it was inevitable that many people would take ill and die. | Mr. Johnson and his government had faced harsh criticism for its laissez-faire approach to the pandemic. They had spoken hopefully of “herd immunity” — in which many people would be infected, recover and then, it is hoped, be immune — while it was inevitable that many people would take ill and die. |
But at a news conference on Monday with top medical officials, he said: “Now is the time for everyone to stop nonessential contact with others and to stop all unnecessary travel.” | |
In particular, people over 70 and those with serious illnesses should avoid contact with others, Mr. Johnson said, suggesting that as a result, people should not visit nursing and retirement homes. | |
When asked if he envisioned taking law enforcement action against people who take unnecessary risks, Mr. Johnson said, “we have the powers if necessary, but I don’t believe it will be necessary to use those powers.” | When asked if he envisioned taking law enforcement action against people who take unnecessary risks, Mr. Johnson said, “we have the powers if necessary, but I don’t believe it will be necessary to use those powers.” |
Chris Witty, the chief medical officer of England, said, “we should not be under any illusion that if we do this for just a couple of weeks, that will be sufficient.” | Chris Witty, the chief medical officer of England, said, “we should not be under any illusion that if we do this for just a couple of weeks, that will be sufficient.” |
Britain had almost 1,400 confirmed infections on Sunday, compared to about 5,000 each in France and Germany, and almost 8,000 in Spain. But the number of infections in Britain has been doubling every two to three days, indicating that its crisis is not far behind those of its neighbors. | Britain had almost 1,400 confirmed infections on Sunday, compared to about 5,000 each in France and Germany, and almost 8,000 in Spain. But the number of infections in Britain has been doubling every two to three days, indicating that its crisis is not far behind those of its neighbors. |
The English actor Idris Elba, who was in the HBO series “The Wire,” announced on Monday that he had tested positive for the coronavirus, sharing the news with fans in a video that he posted on Twitter. | The English actor Idris Elba, who was in the HBO series “The Wire,” announced on Monday that he had tested positive for the coronavirus, sharing the news with fans in a video that he posted on Twitter. |
“Transparency is probably the best thing for this right now,” said Mr. Elba, 47. “If you’re feeling ill or you feel like you should be tested or you’ve been exposed, then do something about it. It’s really important.” | |
California has an economy bigger than that of the United Kingdom and has been remarkably resilient since the Great Recession, powered by technology, agriculture and Hollywood. | California has an economy bigger than that of the United Kingdom and has been remarkably resilient since the Great Recession, powered by technology, agriculture and Hollywood. |
Now it stands to be among the states hardest hit by the virus. Already Gov. Gavin Newsom has enacted extreme measures, telling every resident older than 65 to stay in their homes and banning Californians from visiting hospitals and nursing homes unless relatives are on the edge of death. | Now it stands to be among the states hardest hit by the virus. Already Gov. Gavin Newsom has enacted extreme measures, telling every resident older than 65 to stay in their homes and banning Californians from visiting hospitals and nursing homes unless relatives are on the edge of death. |
He has announced plans to buy hotels to house some of the state’s 150,000 homeless people and called for the closure of bars, nightclubs, restaurants and wineries. | He has announced plans to buy hotels to house some of the state’s 150,000 homeless people and called for the closure of bars, nightclubs, restaurants and wineries. |
The governor spoke of his confidence that the state can weather the fallout, pointing to a $21 billion budget surplus and cash on hand of near $16 billion. | The governor spoke of his confidence that the state can weather the fallout, pointing to a $21 billion budget surplus and cash on hand of near $16 billion. |
But at the ground level, the pain is coming fast. Truck drivers have been laid off and forced to sell their rigs. Those still working have put off oil changes and maintenance to stay afloat. | But at the ground level, the pain is coming fast. Truck drivers have been laid off and forced to sell their rigs. Those still working have put off oil changes and maintenance to stay afloat. |
“We’re picking and choosing which bills to pay,” said Gio Marz, 30, a truck driver who hauls containers from the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach to warehouses in Southern California. | “We’re picking and choosing which bills to pay,” said Gio Marz, 30, a truck driver who hauls containers from the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach to warehouses in Southern California. |
Restaurants are closing, and real estate agents say buyers are pulling offers because sagging stock portfolios have left them spooked and diminished cash available for down payments. | Restaurants are closing, and real estate agents say buyers are pulling offers because sagging stock portfolios have left them spooked and diminished cash available for down payments. |
Even the most optimistic economists now forecast recession. | Even the most optimistic economists now forecast recession. |
“This is the first time in 10 years that I’ve thought, ‘OK, this is the thing that could finally tip us into recession,’” said Chris Thornberg, founding partner of Beacon Economics, a consulting firm. | “This is the first time in 10 years that I’ve thought, ‘OK, this is the thing that could finally tip us into recession,’” said Chris Thornberg, founding partner of Beacon Economics, a consulting firm. |
It’s impossible to say how many Americans will die because of the new coronavirus, but under a reasonable set of assumptions the number of fatalities could be far higher than the flu — and take its place as one of our three deadliest threats. | It’s impossible to say how many Americans will die because of the new coronavirus, but under a reasonable set of assumptions the number of fatalities could be far higher than the flu — and take its place as one of our three deadliest threats. |
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention put the possible toll for coronavirus at 480,000, just behind cancer and heart disease. | The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention put the possible toll for coronavirus at 480,000, just behind cancer and heart disease. |
Death on that scale is not easy to grasp. To put estimates in context, The Upshot compared the possible toll with other leading causes of death in the United States in 2018, the most recent year with data available. These comparisons assume the entire coronavirus pandemic runs its course in one year, though it could well take longer. | Death on that scale is not easy to grasp. To put estimates in context, The Upshot compared the possible toll with other leading causes of death in the United States in 2018, the most recent year with data available. These comparisons assume the entire coronavirus pandemic runs its course in one year, though it could well take longer. |
As The New York Times reported last week, CDC epidemiologists prepared four scenarios. Their calculations showed a large range of possible fatalities in the United States: between 200,000 and 1.7 million Americans over the course of Covid-19, assuming minimal efforts to contain it. | As The New York Times reported last week, CDC epidemiologists prepared four scenarios. Their calculations showed a large range of possible fatalities in the United States: between 200,000 and 1.7 million Americans over the course of Covid-19, assuming minimal efforts to contain it. |
All estimates depend on two factors: How many Americans will be infected with the virus? And how of the infected will end up dying? | All estimates depend on two factors: How many Americans will be infected with the virus? And how of the infected will end up dying? |
Interactive sliders allow you to consider a range of possible answers to these crucial questions, and how they change the potential outcome as a result. | Interactive sliders allow you to consider a range of possible answers to these crucial questions, and how they change the potential outcome as a result. |
Reporting was contributed by Michael Powell, Elisabetta Povoledo, Tim Arango, Thomas Fuller, John Eligon, Conor Dougherty, Jim Tankersley, Niraj Chokshi, Matina Stevis-Gridneff, Ian Austen, Catie Edmondson, Peter Baker, Katie Robertson, Jonathan Martin, Michael Cooper, Karen Weise, Reid J. Epstein, Katie Glueck, Shane Goldmacher, Jeanna Smialek, Alissa J. Rubin, Sarah Mervosh, Neil Irwin, Thomas Gibbons-Neff, Safak Timur, Emmet Lindner, Marc Santora, Megan Specia, Aurelien Breeden, Raphael Minder, Melissa Eddy, Tiffany May, Matt Stevens, Nick Corasaniti, Elian Peltier, Constant Méheut, Josh Katz, Margot Sanger-Katz, Kevin Quealy, Adeel Hassan and Aimee Ortiz. | |