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| Iowa caucus results: Buttigieg and Sanders both claim victory – live | Iowa caucus results: Buttigieg and Sanders both claim victory – live |
| (32 minutes later) | |
| First race of the Democratic primary season still too close to call, as Sanders says: ‘I think we should move on to New Hampshire’ | First race of the Democratic primary season still too close to call, as Sanders says: ‘I think we should move on to New Hampshire’ |
| Something interesting to keep in mind: Educational attainment is a top determinant for who shows up to the polls. | |
| During the 2018 election, those whose highest degree is a high school diploma had a 42% turnout rate in 2018, while those without a high school degree had a 27% turnout. Comparatively, 65% and 74% of those with a bachelor’s degree and advanced degree, respectively, went to the polls. | |
| A US Appeals Court in DC just ruled on a lawsuit brought forth by lawyers for over 200 congressional Democrats that argues Donald Trump violated the Constitution’s Emolument Clause by not allowing Congress to approve his financial interests. | A US Appeals Court in DC just ruled on a lawsuit brought forth by lawyers for over 200 congressional Democrats that argues Donald Trump violated the Constitution’s Emolument Clause by not allowing Congress to approve his financial interests. |
| The suit was meant to allow Democrats to figure out how Trump has profited from foreign dignitaries in his business dealings, like when they stay at his hotels. The clause bans the president from receiving gifts or titles from leaders of state governments or foreign countries and requires Congress to approve any gifts the president receives. | The suit was meant to allow Democrats to figure out how Trump has profited from foreign dignitaries in his business dealings, like when they stay at his hotels. The clause bans the president from receiving gifts or titles from leaders of state governments or foreign countries and requires Congress to approve any gifts the president receives. |
| The lawsuit is one of multiple that charges the president for violating the clause. | The lawsuit is one of multiple that charges the president for violating the clause. |
| Would you like a side of politics with those eggs? | Would you like a side of politics with those eggs? |
| Senator Bernie Sanders is scheduled to speak this morning at a quirky event that’s become a New Hampshire tradition: Politics & Eggs. | Senator Bernie Sanders is scheduled to speak this morning at a quirky event that’s become a New Hampshire tradition: Politics & Eggs. |
| The event, which has been held for over 20 years, largely consists of local business leaders, giving politicians a chance to schmooze and campaign for the upcoming primary. | The event, which has been held for over 20 years, largely consists of local business leaders, giving politicians a chance to schmooze and campaign for the upcoming primary. |
| Politics & Eggs even comes with souvenirs for attendees. Commemorative wooden eggs from the event have become something of a collectible in the state, especially since candidates are often asked to autograph the eggs while attending the breakfast. | Politics & Eggs even comes with souvenirs for attendees. Commemorative wooden eggs from the event have become something of a collectible in the state, especially since candidates are often asked to autograph the eggs while attending the breakfast. |
| And if you were wondering, the eggs are actually made in nearby Maine. | And if you were wondering, the eggs are actually made in nearby Maine. |
| Trump pockets up to $650 when his own Secret Service agents stay at his hotel | Trump pockets up to $650 when his own Secret Service agents stay at his hotel |
| The president’s company charges his own Secret Service agents up to $650 a night to stay at his properties – a bill that is ultimately paid by U.S. taxpayers – when they stay the night protecting him, the Washington Post reported this morning. Here’s more from the Post: | The president’s company charges his own Secret Service agents up to $650 a night to stay at his properties – a bill that is ultimately paid by U.S. taxpayers – when they stay the night protecting him, the Washington Post reported this morning. Here’s more from the Post: |
| Dostre effect a la today’s Washington Post | Dostre effect a la today’s Washington Post |
| B-boys are battling it out in town | B-boys are battling it out in town |
| Though Democrats are still trying to wrap their heads around what the hell actually happened in Iowa this week, the race still goes on. The candidates will be brawling on TV tonight for the latest Democratic debate in New Hampshire tonight before the primary vote takes place on Tuesday. | Though Democrats are still trying to wrap their heads around what the hell actually happened in Iowa this week, the race still goes on. The candidates will be brawling on TV tonight for the latest Democratic debate in New Hampshire tonight before the primary vote takes place on Tuesday. |
| The scene in New Hampshire is tense in the wake of the Iowa caucus. Former South Bend mayor Pete Buttigieg’s on-the-margin win in Iowa helped him surge in a recent New Hampshire poll, putting him in a near-tie with senator Bernie Sanders, who closely followed him in the caucus (though declared a caucus victory of his own). Sanders received 24% of support in the poll, while Buttigieg got 23% – a huge soar compared to the 11% he scored in a New Hampshire poll on Monday. Expect the two to throw punches at each other on stage tonight. | The scene in New Hampshire is tense in the wake of the Iowa caucus. Former South Bend mayor Pete Buttigieg’s on-the-margin win in Iowa helped him surge in a recent New Hampshire poll, putting him in a near-tie with senator Bernie Sanders, who closely followed him in the caucus (though declared a caucus victory of his own). Sanders received 24% of support in the poll, while Buttigieg got 23% – a huge soar compared to the 11% he scored in a New Hampshire poll on Monday. Expect the two to throw punches at each other on stage tonight. |
| Former vice president Joe Biden’s campaign appears to be quickly losing momentum. In the poll, Biden trailed senator Elizabeth Warren – who received 13% of support in the poll – getting 11% of support. Biden recently got backlash for a cringey video of Biden apparently stroking the face of Samuel Habib, a 20-year-old student and disability rights advocate, who approached the candidate asking him what he will do to support students with disabilities. Habib has since said the interaction felt patronizing. | Former vice president Joe Biden’s campaign appears to be quickly losing momentum. In the poll, Biden trailed senator Elizabeth Warren – who received 13% of support in the poll – getting 11% of support. Biden recently got backlash for a cringey video of Biden apparently stroking the face of Samuel Habib, a 20-year-old student and disability rights advocate, who approached the candidate asking him what he will do to support students with disabilities. Habib has since said the interaction felt patronizing. |
| The US added 225,000 jobs in January, a much higher figure than expected. For all the jobs numbers, reaction and analysis, here’s our business live blog. | The US added 225,000 jobs in January, a much higher figure than expected. For all the jobs numbers, reaction and analysis, here’s our business live blog. |
| After retweeting various people praising him and attacking enemies like Elizabeth Warren and Nancy Pelosi, Trump has welcomed actor James Woods back to Twitter after he left the platform, claiming it was censoring him. | After retweeting various people praising him and attacking enemies like Elizabeth Warren and Nancy Pelosi, Trump has welcomed actor James Woods back to Twitter after he left the platform, claiming it was censoring him. |
| Trump told him: “Welcome back James!” and earlier on retweeted a post by Woods that called Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez a “moron”. | Trump told him: “Welcome back James!” and earlier on retweeted a post by Woods that called Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez a “moron”. |
| He also weighed in on the Democrats’ inability to declare a winner in Iowa, suggesting that they should blame Russia and making a disingenuous comparison with their plans for increased health coverage. Trump has always poured scorn on the US intelligence community’s assertion that Russia meddled in the 2016 election in order to help him win. | He also weighed in on the Democrats’ inability to declare a winner in Iowa, suggesting that they should blame Russia and making a disingenuous comparison with their plans for increased health coverage. Trump has always poured scorn on the US intelligence community’s assertion that Russia meddled in the 2016 election in order to help him win. |
| How Donald Trump and his allies will react towards his perceived political enemies now that he has been acquitted in his impeachment trial remains to be seen. | How Donald Trump and his allies will react towards his perceived political enemies now that he has been acquitted in his impeachment trial remains to be seen. |
| Bloomberg News reports that Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman – who gave evidence against Trump during the impeachment – may be moved from the National Security Council. | Bloomberg News reports that Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman – who gave evidence against Trump during the impeachment – may be moved from the National Security Council. |
| Trump made reference to Vindman as he hit out at his foes during his post-acquittal speech at the White House yesterday. “Lieutenant Colonel Vindman and his twin brother, we had some people that were really amazing,” he said, before moving on. | Trump made reference to Vindman as he hit out at his foes during his post-acquittal speech at the White House yesterday. “Lieutenant Colonel Vindman and his twin brother, we had some people that were really amazing,” he said, before moving on. |
| Meanwhile Yahoo News reports that the US Treasury Department has given congressional Republicans access to financial information relating to Hunter Biden – the son of Democratic hopeful Joe Biden, whose work in Ukraine played a key role in kicking off the impeachment. | Meanwhile Yahoo News reports that the US Treasury Department has given congressional Republicans access to financial information relating to Hunter Biden – the son of Democratic hopeful Joe Biden, whose work in Ukraine played a key role in kicking off the impeachment. |
| Treasury secretary Steve Mnuchin has blocked Democratic requests for access to Trump’s tax filings, saying: “The legal implications of this request could affect protections for all Americans against politically-motivated disclosures of personal tax information, regardless of which party is in power.” | Treasury secretary Steve Mnuchin has blocked Democratic requests for access to Trump’s tax filings, saying: “The legal implications of this request could affect protections for all Americans against politically-motivated disclosures of personal tax information, regardless of which party is in power.” |
| Nevertheless, Axios has reported that there is little appetite among the Republican leadership in Washington to pursue the Bidens. Alayna Treene wrote: “Some Republicans fear aggressively pursuing any investigations about Burisma will give the appearance of trying to hurt Joe Biden — a former Senate colleague —politically, which isn’t worth it to them, the aide said, ‘especially since the Biden campaign looks like it’s toast.’” | Nevertheless, Axios has reported that there is little appetite among the Republican leadership in Washington to pursue the Bidens. Alayna Treene wrote: “Some Republicans fear aggressively pursuing any investigations about Burisma will give the appearance of trying to hurt Joe Biden — a former Senate colleague —politically, which isn’t worth it to them, the aide said, ‘especially since the Biden campaign looks like it’s toast.’” |
| Walsh placed third in the Republican Iowa caucuses this week, with 1.07% of the vote. | Walsh placed third in the Republican Iowa caucuses this week, with 1.07% of the vote. |
| His move leaves former governor Bill Weld as the only Republican challenger to Trump. He got 1.32% in Iowa. | His move leaves former governor Bill Weld as the only Republican challenger to Trump. He got 1.32% in Iowa. |
| Trump came in first with 97.14%. | Trump came in first with 97.14%. |
| The president mused about his two challengers during his speech yesterday. | The president mused about his two challengers during his speech yesterday. |
| Walsh said today: “Donald Trump is the greatest threat to our republic right now ... The rest of this country needs to come together to stop this guy, period.” | Walsh said today: “Donald Trump is the greatest threat to our republic right now ... The rest of this country needs to come together to stop this guy, period.” |
| My colleague David Smith interviewed Walsh recently. | My colleague David Smith interviewed Walsh recently. |
| Former congressman Joe Walsh has dropped his primary challenge against Donald Trump, telling CNN: “It’s not a party. It’s a cult. He can’t be beat in the Republican primary so there’s no reason for me, or any candidate, really to be in there.” | Former congressman Joe Walsh has dropped his primary challenge against Donald Trump, telling CNN: “It’s not a party. It’s a cult. He can’t be beat in the Republican primary so there’s no reason for me, or any candidate, really to be in there.” |
| It’s been a rollercoaster week in US politics, starting with the voting debacle in Iowa on Monday and carrying on through Donald Trump’s divisive State of the Union speech and his acquittal in the Senate impeachment trial. But who are the losers and winners from a dramatic few days for Republicans and Democrats? | It’s been a rollercoaster week in US politics, starting with the voting debacle in Iowa on Monday and carrying on through Donald Trump’s divisive State of the Union speech and his acquittal in the Senate impeachment trial. But who are the losers and winners from a dramatic few days for Republicans and Democrats? |
| 5/5: Donald Trump | 5/5: Donald Trump |
| A swaggering and aggressive US president called his speech at the White House on Thursday a “celebration” – and well he might. He was coming to the end of a week in which he had spent 80 minutes making the case for his re-election on primetime TV in his State of the Union speech and had been acquitted in his impeachment trial – with only one Republican breaking ranks to vote against him. A Gallup poll put the president’s approval rating at 49%, the highest level for that survey since 2017, and on top of that the Democratic primary race got off to a disastrously shambolic start in Iowa. Holding up a newspaper front page that said “Trump acquitted”, the president told his White House crowd: “Let me take that home; maybe we’ll frame it. It’s the only good headline I’ve ever had in the Washington Post.” His speech sounded like a preview of the one he plans to make on 4 November after winning the election. | A swaggering and aggressive US president called his speech at the White House on Thursday a “celebration” – and well he might. He was coming to the end of a week in which he had spent 80 minutes making the case for his re-election on primetime TV in his State of the Union speech and had been acquitted in his impeachment trial – with only one Republican breaking ranks to vote against him. A Gallup poll put the president’s approval rating at 49%, the highest level for that survey since 2017, and on top of that the Democratic primary race got off to a disastrously shambolic start in Iowa. Holding up a newspaper front page that said “Trump acquitted”, the president told his White House crowd: “Let me take that home; maybe we’ll frame it. It’s the only good headline I’ve ever had in the Washington Post.” His speech sounded like a preview of the one he plans to make on 4 November after winning the election. |
| 4/5: Pete Buttigieg | 4/5: Pete Buttigieg |
| If anyone managed to wring any momentum out of the mess in Iowa, it was the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, who more or less declared victory before the results were in and went on to grab as much of the spotlight as possible. Did he even win? With almost 100% of the vote in, Buttigieg is only 0.09% ahead of socialist rival Bernie Sanders in the delegate count, and Sanders is ahead of the young pretender in the popular vote. But the veteran Vermont senator will now have to wait until New Hampshire next week to grab his share of the glory. | If anyone managed to wring any momentum out of the mess in Iowa, it was the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, who more or less declared victory before the results were in and went on to grab as much of the spotlight as possible. Did he even win? With almost 100% of the vote in, Buttigieg is only 0.09% ahead of socialist rival Bernie Sanders in the delegate count, and Sanders is ahead of the young pretender in the popular vote. But the veteran Vermont senator will now have to wait until New Hampshire next week to grab his share of the glory. |
| 3/5: Mike Bloomberg | 3/5: Mike Bloomberg |
| The billionaire former mayor of New York’s decision to sit out the early states and instead blanket California with advertising seems partially vindicated. With the usual momentum conferred on the winner of Iowa blunted, a strong showing from Bloomberg in the array of states voting on Super Tuesday (3 March) is bound to launch a thousand think-pieces asking whether Bloomberg can elbow aside Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg and unite the centre. Feel queasy about a rich man buying the race? Bloomberg has an answer. “Someone said, ‘Are you spending too much money?’ and I said, ‘I’m spending money to get rid of Donald Trump.’ And the guy said, ‘Spend more.’ ” | The billionaire former mayor of New York’s decision to sit out the early states and instead blanket California with advertising seems partially vindicated. With the usual momentum conferred on the winner of Iowa blunted, a strong showing from Bloomberg in the array of states voting on Super Tuesday (3 March) is bound to launch a thousand think-pieces asking whether Bloomberg can elbow aside Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg and unite the centre. Feel queasy about a rich man buying the race? Bloomberg has an answer. “Someone said, ‘Are you spending too much money?’ and I said, ‘I’m spending money to get rid of Donald Trump.’ And the guy said, ‘Spend more.’ ” |
| 2/5: Joe Biden | 2/5: Joe Biden |
| Barack Obama’s former vice-president went into the week as the frontrunner in the Democratic race and still leads most national polls and match-ups with Trump. But coming fourth in Iowa – a result he called a gut-punch – has seriously dented his pitch that he is the most electable candidate. If he underperforms again in New Hampshire on Tuesday, Biden could find supporters and donors abandoning him for Buttigieg or Bloomberg. | Barack Obama’s former vice-president went into the week as the frontrunner in the Democratic race and still leads most national polls and match-ups with Trump. But coming fourth in Iowa – a result he called a gut-punch – has seriously dented his pitch that he is the most electable candidate. If he underperforms again in New Hampshire on Tuesday, Biden could find supporters and donors abandoning him for Buttigieg or Bloomberg. |
| 1/5: Nancy Pelosi | 1/5: Nancy Pelosi |
| The leader of the Democrats in the House of Representatives took a lot of persuading to agree to impeach Trump, only doing so when the strength of the evidence in the Ukraine case became overwhelming. She initiated the process knowing it was almost certain Trump would be acquitted, but hoping to put his impeachment on the record for posterity, gum up his legislative agenda, and damage him ahead of this November’s election. She has succeeded on the first two points, but the latter is very much up for debate. And on top of that, Pelosi – usually so poised in her dealings with Trump – risked losing the moral high ground when she tore up her copy of his State of the Union speech on live TV, leading secretary of state Mike Pompeo to liken her to Lisa Simpson. (Critics said he hadn’t understood the episode.) | The leader of the Democrats in the House of Representatives took a lot of persuading to agree to impeach Trump, only doing so when the strength of the evidence in the Ukraine case became overwhelming. She initiated the process knowing it was almost certain Trump would be acquitted, but hoping to put his impeachment on the record for posterity, gum up his legislative agenda, and damage him ahead of this November’s election. She has succeeded on the first two points, but the latter is very much up for debate. And on top of that, Pelosi – usually so poised in her dealings with Trump – risked losing the moral high ground when she tore up her copy of his State of the Union speech on live TV, leading secretary of state Mike Pompeo to liken her to Lisa Simpson. (Critics said he hadn’t understood the episode.) |
| 0/5: The state of Iowa | 0/5: The state of Iowa |
| Iowa was already facing criticism that as a small, 90% white, largely rural state it had a disproportionate impact on the Democratic race even before Monday’s debacle, in which apps failed and telephone lines were overwhelmed, meaning that even by Friday Democrats were unable to say who had won the first contest of primary season. In the results the party eventually released, vote tallies did not add up, and figures contained inconsistencies and errors, according to the New York Times, leading the national party chair to demand a review “to assure public confidence in the results”. Conspiracy theories raged that the party was deliberately sabotaging Sanders’ chances – and the Trump campaign gleefully fanned the flames. If the Iowa state party had deliberately set out to undermine its own place in the primary hierarchy it couldn’t have done better than this. | Iowa was already facing criticism that as a small, 90% white, largely rural state it had a disproportionate impact on the Democratic race even before Monday’s debacle, in which apps failed and telephone lines were overwhelmed, meaning that even by Friday Democrats were unable to say who had won the first contest of primary season. In the results the party eventually released, vote tallies did not add up, and figures contained inconsistencies and errors, according to the New York Times, leading the national party chair to demand a review “to assure public confidence in the results”. Conspiracy theories raged that the party was deliberately sabotaging Sanders’ chances – and the Trump campaign gleefully fanned the flames. If the Iowa state party had deliberately set out to undermine its own place in the primary hierarchy it couldn’t have done better than this. |
| Donald Trump has been tweeting his support for his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping as Beijing struggles to deal with the coronavirus (you can read the latest on that here). | Donald Trump has been tweeting his support for his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping as Beijing struggles to deal with the coronavirus (you can read the latest on that here). |
| China is reportedly worried about what the virus means for its ability to stick to the terms of its new trade agreements with the US, and some officials are apparently angry at Washington’s travel restrictions and commerce secretary Wilbur Ross’s comment that the outbreak “will help to accelerate the return of jobs to North America”. | China is reportedly worried about what the virus means for its ability to stick to the terms of its new trade agreements with the US, and some officials are apparently angry at Washington’s travel restrictions and commerce secretary Wilbur Ross’s comment that the outbreak “will help to accelerate the return of jobs to North America”. |
| Who has won the Iowa caucuses? We still don’t know. | Who has won the Iowa caucuses? We still don’t know. |
| With almost 100% of the vote in, former Indiana mayor Pete Buttigieg is only 0.09% ahead of socialist rival Bernie Sanders in the delegate count, while Sanders is ahead of the young pretender in the popular vote. | With almost 100% of the vote in, former Indiana mayor Pete Buttigieg is only 0.09% ahead of socialist rival Bernie Sanders in the delegate count, while Sanders is ahead of the young pretender in the popular vote. |
| The Associated Press says it is still too close to call. | The Associated Press says it is still too close to call. |
| Both Buttigieg and Sanders claimed victory last night. | Both Buttigieg and Sanders claimed victory last night. |
| CNN asked the centrist former mayor for his reaction to the latest tally. “That’s fantastic news, to hear that we won,” Buttigieg said. | CNN asked the centrist former mayor for his reaction to the latest tally. “That’s fantastic news, to hear that we won,” Buttigieg said. |
| Meanwhile, Sanders pumped out social media posts baldly claiming “Bernie wins Iowa” – and basing that in the small print on his lead in the popular vote. “We did very well,” Sanders told CNN. “We won in Iowa.” | Meanwhile, Sanders pumped out social media posts baldly claiming “Bernie wins Iowa” – and basing that in the small print on his lead in the popular vote. “We did very well,” Sanders told CNN. “We won in Iowa.” |
| In truth, it’s probably accurate to call Iowa a draw. The Democratic race will be decided based on the number of delegates won, and both Buttigieg and Sanders will probably come out of Iowa with the same number. | In truth, it’s probably accurate to call Iowa a draw. The Democratic race will be decided based on the number of delegates won, and both Buttigieg and Sanders will probably come out of Iowa with the same number. |
| That said, Sanders went in to the contest as the narrow favourite, so in terms of perception and momentum it has probably been a win for the former mayor. | That said, Sanders went in to the contest as the narrow favourite, so in terms of perception and momentum it has probably been a win for the former mayor. |
| The winner certainly wasn’t the Iowa Democratic party. National party chair Tom Perez called for a “recanvass” of the tally on Thursday. “A recanvass is a review of the worksheets from each caucus site to ensure accuracy,” he explained after some confusion about that. He later said he was only calling for a recanvass in certain sites. | The winner certainly wasn’t the Iowa Democratic party. National party chair Tom Perez called for a “recanvass” of the tally on Thursday. “A recanvass is a review of the worksheets from each caucus site to ensure accuracy,” he explained after some confusion about that. He later said he was only calling for a recanvass in certain sites. |
| To add to the confusion, AP reported that “it was unclear if the party planned to follow the directive of the national leader to recanvass those results … Iowa chairman Troy Price suggested in a statement Thursday that he would only pursue a recanvass if one was requested by a campaign.” | To add to the confusion, AP reported that “it was unclear if the party planned to follow the directive of the national leader to recanvass those results … Iowa chairman Troy Price suggested in a statement Thursday that he would only pursue a recanvass if one was requested by a campaign.” |
| “We’ve got enough of Iowa,” Sanders told CNN on Thursday night. “I think we should move on to New Hampshire.” | “We’ve got enough of Iowa,” Sanders told CNN on Thursday night. “I think we should move on to New Hampshire.” |
| That contest is on Tuesday and uses a conventional voting system. | That contest is on Tuesday and uses a conventional voting system. |
| Also today: | Also today: |
| 8.30am ET (1.30pm): The monthly US jobs report will be released | 8.30am ET (1.30pm): The monthly US jobs report will be released |
| 1pm ET: Trump will speak at the North Carolina Opportunity Now Summit. He will later speak at the Republican Governors Association Finance Dinner in Washington | 1pm ET: Trump will speak at the North Carolina Opportunity Now Summit. He will later speak at the Republican Governors Association Finance Dinner in Washington |
| 8pm ET: Democratic candidates will take part in a debate in New Hampshire | 8pm ET: Democratic candidates will take part in a debate in New Hampshire |