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Canada election: Trudeau's Liberals win but lose majority | Canada election: Trudeau's Liberals win but lose majority |
(32 minutes later) | |
Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party has retained power in a narrow Canadian election win but he will now be prime minister of a minority government. | Justin Trudeau's Liberal Party has retained power in a narrow Canadian election win but he will now be prime minister of a minority government. |
The Liberals are projected to win 157 seats, 13 short of a majority, and will find it harder to pass legislation in Mr Trudeau's second term. | The Liberals are projected to win 157 seats, 13 short of a majority, and will find it harder to pass legislation in Mr Trudeau's second term. |
The opposition Conservatives are expected to win the popular vote but have not translated that into seats. | The opposition Conservatives are expected to win the popular vote but have not translated that into seats. |
They are projected to take 121, up from the 95 they held before. | They are projected to take 121, up from the 95 they held before. |
Although Monday night's results saw a sharp decline in seats for the country's left-leaning New Democratic Party (NDP), its leader, Jagmeet Singh, could become the kingmaker. | Although Monday night's results saw a sharp decline in seats for the country's left-leaning New Democratic Party (NDP), its leader, Jagmeet Singh, could become the kingmaker. |
The NDP is projected to take 24 seats in the 338-seat parliament. | The NDP is projected to take 24 seats in the 338-seat parliament. |
Quebec's separatist party, the Bloc Québécois, which competes only in that province, fared much better. It is expected to take 32 seats, compared to the 10 it won in 2015. | Quebec's separatist party, the Bloc Québécois, which competes only in that province, fared much better. It is expected to take 32 seats, compared to the 10 it won in 2015. |
Turnout is currently listed at 66%. | |
The federal election was seen as a referendum on Mr Trudeau, who had a bumpy first term, tainted by scandal. | The federal election was seen as a referendum on Mr Trudeau, who had a bumpy first term, tainted by scandal. |
Mr Trudeau told cheering supporters in Montreal that voters had "rejected division and negativity... and they rejected cuts and austerity and voted in favour of a progressive agenda and strong action on climate change". | Mr Trudeau told cheering supporters in Montreal that voters had "rejected division and negativity... and they rejected cuts and austerity and voted in favour of a progressive agenda and strong action on climate change". |
He said: "Thank you for having faith in us to move our country in the right direction." | He said: "Thank you for having faith in us to move our country in the right direction." |
And to those who did not back him, he promised his party would govern for everyone. | And to those who did not back him, he promised his party would govern for everyone. |
His weakened grip on power is being seen as a rebuke of his record but the result is bitterly disappointing for Conservative leader Andrew Scheer. | His weakened grip on power is being seen as a rebuke of his record but the result is bitterly disappointing for Conservative leader Andrew Scheer. |
Why has Trudeau's popularity fallen? | Why has Trudeau's popularity fallen? |
Mr Trudeau swept into power in 2015 promising "real change" and a slew of progressive pledges. | Mr Trudeau swept into power in 2015 promising "real change" and a slew of progressive pledges. |
But after four years in power, Mr Trudeau faced criticism for his ability to follow through. | But after four years in power, Mr Trudeau faced criticism for his ability to follow through. |
His environmental record, for example, has been undercut by his support for the Trans Mountain oil pipeline expansion project. | His environmental record, for example, has been undercut by his support for the Trans Mountain oil pipeline expansion project. |
And Mr Trudeau's vow to institute federal electoral reform was quickly abandoned, angering some left-leaning voters excited by the prospect of seeing an alternative voting system | And Mr Trudeau's vow to institute federal electoral reform was quickly abandoned, angering some left-leaning voters excited by the prospect of seeing an alternative voting system |
Still, according to an independent assessment by two dozen Canadian academics, Mr Trudeau has kept - fully or partially - 92% of these promises, the most by any Canadian government in 35 years. | Still, according to an independent assessment by two dozen Canadian academics, Mr Trudeau has kept - fully or partially - 92% of these promises, the most by any Canadian government in 35 years. |
An ethics scandal early this year, known as the SNC-Lavalin affair, took a major toll on his support. | An ethics scandal early this year, known as the SNC-Lavalin affair, took a major toll on his support. |
Last month an ethics watchdog found the prime minister had violated federal conflict of interest rules by improperly trying to influence a former minister in relation to a criminal trial facing major Canadian engineering firm SNC-Lavalin. | Last month an ethics watchdog found the prime minister had violated federal conflict of interest rules by improperly trying to influence a former minister in relation to a criminal trial facing major Canadian engineering firm SNC-Lavalin. |
Mr Trudeau's election odds then seemed at risk when images of the prime minister wearing blackface make-up in three separate instances were widely circulated. | Mr Trudeau's election odds then seemed at risk when images of the prime minister wearing blackface make-up in three separate instances were widely circulated. |
The images were seen as a major hit to Mr Trudeau's cultivated political image, characterised by compassion and inclusion. | The images were seen as a major hit to Mr Trudeau's cultivated political image, characterised by compassion and inclusion. |
What have the leaders said? | What have the leaders said? |
In his speech, Mr Trudeau also addressed Quebec and the provinces in western Canada, where his party had not fared well, saying: "I've heard your frustration." | In his speech, Mr Trudeau also addressed Quebec and the provinces in western Canada, where his party had not fared well, saying: "I've heard your frustration." |
Mr Scheer said he was "incredibly proud" of the larger Conservative team going to Ottawa. | Mr Scheer said he was "incredibly proud" of the larger Conservative team going to Ottawa. |
He said the country was "further divided" and that his party had put Mr Trudeau "on notice, his leadership is damaged and his government will end soon". | He said the country was "further divided" and that his party had put Mr Trudeau "on notice, his leadership is damaged and his government will end soon". |
The Conservatives are projected to take 34.4% of the popular vote, compared to the Liberals' 33%. However, the first-past-the-post system - awarding victory to the candidate with most votes in any given constituency - means that has not translated to seats won. | The Conservatives are projected to take 34.4% of the popular vote, compared to the Liberals' 33%. However, the first-past-the-post system - awarding victory to the candidate with most votes in any given constituency - means that has not translated to seats won. |
Speaking from his home district in Burnaby, British Columbia, Mr Singh acknowledged some disappointing results but focused on the future, promising to make "Canadians' life... better". | Speaking from his home district in Burnaby, British Columbia, Mr Singh acknowledged some disappointing results but focused on the future, promising to make "Canadians' life... better". |
Green Party leader Elizabeth May said the election had been a success. It is expected to take three seats, compared to one in 2015. | Green Party leader Elizabeth May said the election had been a success. It is expected to take three seats, compared to one in 2015. |
US President Donald Trump and UK PM Boris Johnson tweeted congratulations to Mr Trudeau. | US President Donald Trump and UK PM Boris Johnson tweeted congratulations to Mr Trudeau. |
What next for Canada? | What next for Canada? |
Minority governments are not uncommon - there have been three in the past 15 years. | Minority governments are not uncommon - there have been three in the past 15 years. |
A coalition government, however, is rare. It was last attempted in 2008 by the Liberals and NDP, but was disbanded when then-Prime Minister Stephen Harper, a Conservative, prorogued parliament. | A coalition government, however, is rare. It was last attempted in 2008 by the Liberals and NDP, but was disbanded when then-Prime Minister Stephen Harper, a Conservative, prorogued parliament. |
Analysts believe the obvious link would again be between the Liberals and the NDP. They also believe the Bloc Québécois - which has softened its stance on demands for independence - will neither enter a coalition nor force another election. | Analysts believe the obvious link would again be between the Liberals and the NDP. They also believe the Bloc Québécois - which has softened its stance on demands for independence - will neither enter a coalition nor force another election. |
Indeed, in his post-results speech, Bloc leader Yves-François Blanchet said: "We have to find a way to make this parliament work." | Indeed, in his post-results speech, Bloc leader Yves-François Blanchet said: "We have to find a way to make this parliament work." |
Without any agreed coalition, Mr Trudeau would clearly need to compromise to get policies through. | Without any agreed coalition, Mr Trudeau would clearly need to compromise to get policies through. |
Mr Scheer will have to assess his position. He pitched himself to Canadians as the candidate speaking up for issues which directly affect voters' lives and wallets. | Mr Scheer will have to assess his position. He pitched himself to Canadians as the candidate speaking up for issues which directly affect voters' lives and wallets. |
But instead he faced scrutiny over where the Conservative Party stood on gay marriage and abortion. | But instead he faced scrutiny over where the Conservative Party stood on gay marriage and abortion. |