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Brexit: Boris Johnson says he has secured deal with EU but DUP says position remains same – live news | Brexit: Boris Johnson says he has secured deal with EU but DUP says position remains same – live news |
(32 minutes later) | |
From Bloomberg’s Kitty Donaldson | |
EXC: @duponline won't vote for @BorisJohnson Brexit deal: sourceshttps://t.co/4KIILhZN39 | |
A view in Northern Ireland is that the DUP have been totally shafted, or “run over by a convoy of juggernauts”, and for once lost out in their hallmark brinkmanship. | |
This could rise to further tensions in the region, making it vital that there is “no crowing in Dublin”, one source said. | |
The DUP, which had been the lynchpin in Theresa May’s government, have seen their powerful position rubbed out this morning in Brussels and some in Northern Ireland are saying they believe that this was Boris Johnson’s calculation all along: get a deal and have a general election whether he gets it through parliament or not. | |
“This has not gone well for the DUP. This is a huge moment for the DUP, and it is going to create huge tensions on the unionist side. Northern Ireland continues to be collateral damage in Brexit,” said the source. | |
Some believe that the DUP’s statement this morning was about forcing further concessions from Boris Johnson. But the moment the deal was done the door was closed in their face. That said it may well be that Johnson lavishes the DUP/Northern Ireland with a jacuzzi of cash in the next two days to bring them back on board. | |
The Northern Ireland secretary, Julian Smith, was in Derry recently to discuss the establishment of a new medical school and there has been repeated talk of money for a motorway from Derry to Belfast. But sources say “this is of no interest to the DUP because that is Sinn Féin territory”. | |
So if the DUP have been sold a dummy pass, how did that happen? Could Dominic Cummings have come up with a cunning plan to persuade them to drop regulatory alignment in exchange for a veto on the deal, a veto that he knew would never get through? That is a question yet to be answered. | |
Others point out that the DUP took a huge step agreeing to yield on regulatory alignment with the EU and this was not matched by the EU/Dublin. | |
They felt that this was not recognised by Dublin and they were “very annoyed” when Leo Varadkar made an off-the-cuff remark in Sweden days later that the British public actually wanted to stay in the EU but it was politically impossible. | |
Michael Gove, the Cabinet Office minister in charge of no-deal planning, told Sky News that this deal was not a betrayal of the DUP. Asked if the government had thrown the DUP under the bus, he replied: “Absolutely not, this is a great deal.” | |
Asked what would happen if MPs rejected the deal on Saturday, he said: “We don’t contemplate defeat.” | |
Nigel Farage, the Brexit party leader, says the new deal does not amount to proper Brexit. | |
The commitment to regulatory alignment in this agreement means that the “new deal” is not Brexit, despite improvements on the customs union. | |
Here is the revised text of the political declaration (pdf). It runs to 27 pages. | |
And here is some comment on it from journalists and other commentators | |
From ITV’s Joel Hills | |
Political Declaration is out. Much of it is unchanged but gone is commitment to “a trading relationship on goods that is as close as possible”. Instead a “free trade agreement”. This matters. Higher trade barriers = greater economic cost. pic.twitter.com/C3D2fbMg2T | |
Commitment to “single customs territory” has been scrapped, confirming the need for checks at the border. Plan is that goods will not attract tariffs (as part of free trade agreement) but only if they satisfy “rules of origin” checks. This will make some UK/EU trade more costly. pic.twitter.com/fKwQN3OXBZ | |
Commitments around fishing access are unchanged. UK will be “independent coastal state” but commits to an agreement offering “access to waters and quotas”. At least 7 EU states fish in UK waters. EU unlikely to agree to a trade deal unless its happy with ongoing access. pic.twitter.com/fWld6FzPJf | |
From Stuart Wood, a Labour peer and former EU adviser to Gordon Brown | |
Pic 1: 2018 Political Declaration commits to customs arrangements that “obviate the need for checks on rules of origin”Pic 2: 2019 Political Declaration envisages an FTA “with appropriate & modern accompanying rules of origin”Any thoughts from the UK car industry? pic.twitter.com/hJhkg7KJic | |
From Sam Lowe from the Centre for European Reform | |
There's going to be lots of talk about level playing field. Firm obligations have moved from the withdrawal agreement and become looser words in the political declaration. | |
The thing to understand is that the EU has kicked the can. It has decided that it can bring back its level playing field concerns when negotiating the future relationship. i.e. "We will only sign off on an FTA if you commit to x, y and z". Lpf will return. pic.twitter.com/jAZVq1RCi4 | |
From MLex’s Matthew Holehouse | |
Level playing field. NB effective enforcement and implementation of “union standards”. Prediction: the Johnson FTA will contain near-as identical provisions on LPF to the May backstop, with inferior market access to show for it. pic.twitter.com/qmIwUcG690 | |
From Politics.co.uk’s Ian Dunt | |
Level playing field conditions on workers rights & environmental standards is indicative of weird half-truth world this debate is conducted in. | |
They've been moved out of legal withdrawal agreement document and into non-legal political declaration, as a condition for a future trade deal. | |
What difference does that make in objective reality? None really. The UK will want an FTA. These are the conditions it will have to accept for having it. | |
This is from Sky’s Beth Rigby. | This is from Sky’s Beth Rigby. |
NEW: Am told by govt source that Johnson will tell EU leaders that it’s this deal or no deal - but no delays. He will not ask for a extension and will not accept one if offered | NEW: Am told by govt source that Johnson will tell EU leaders that it’s this deal or no deal - but no delays. He will not ask for a extension and will not accept one if offered |
These are from my colleague Rajeev Syal, who was at the No 10 lobby briefing. | These are from my colleague Rajeev Syal, who was at the No 10 lobby briefing. |
Boris Johnson is taking a Brexit deal to the EU without DUP support. "He strongly believes it is the best deal for the UK and believes the whole of the UK will support it, says the PM's spox. | Boris Johnson is taking a Brexit deal to the EU without DUP support. "He strongly believes it is the best deal for the UK and believes the whole of the UK will support it, says the PM's spox. |
Not even all of the cabinet had seen the deal before it was published - just Javid, Raab, Gove, Barclay and Cox. "The intention is to put the document forward for a vote on Saturday," said PM's spox. | Not even all of the cabinet had seen the deal before it was published - just Javid, Raab, Gove, Barclay and Cox. "The intention is to put the document forward for a vote on Saturday," said PM's spox. |
PM spoke to Juncker on the phone at 9am. He then called the EU exit strategy committee - his closest cabinet colleagues. Johnson then spoke to Juncker again on the phone after 10am to seal the deal. | PM spoke to Juncker on the phone at 9am. He then called the EU exit strategy committee - his closest cabinet colleagues. Johnson then spoke to Juncker again on the phone after 10am to seal the deal. |
The PM will arrive in Brussels at 1330pm, Brussels time, 1230pm UK time. Meaningful vote is published on Saturday. Legal advice will be published later today | The PM will arrive in Brussels at 1330pm, Brussels time, 1230pm UK time. Meaningful vote is published on Saturday. Legal advice will be published later today |
Q: What happens if the Northern Ireland assembly wants to stop accepting EU rules? And what is the solution on VAT? | Q: What happens if the Northern Ireland assembly wants to stop accepting EU rules? And what is the solution on VAT? |
On VAT, Barnier says an agreement was reached overnight. There was an issue with the need for consistency on VAT rates. A mechanism to ensure this was agreed. The EU system would apply in Northern Ireland. For businesses, it is logical to have consistency, as with the single market for goods. | On VAT, Barnier says an agreement was reached overnight. There was an issue with the need for consistency on VAT rates. A mechanism to ensure this was agreed. The EU system would apply in Northern Ireland. For businesses, it is logical to have consistency, as with the single market for goods. |
On consent, he says the new protocol would be supported democratically. At the end of the transition period there would be a four-year period for the new arrangements to be in force. At the end of that the members of the Northern Ireland assembly would vote, on the basis of a simple majority, for the arrangement to continue for another four years. If there were a cross-community vote in favour, it would continue for eight years. If there were a vote to end the arrangements, there would be a two-year cooling off period. | On consent, he says the new protocol would be supported democratically. At the end of the transition period there would be a four-year period for the new arrangements to be in force. At the end of that the members of the Northern Ireland assembly would vote, on the basis of a simple majority, for the arrangement to continue for another four years. If there were a cross-community vote in favour, it would continue for eight years. If there were a vote to end the arrangements, there would be a two-year cooling off period. |
He says this new approach has nothing to do with the old backstop. It sets up a system in Northern Ireland that is sustainable. It is linked to regular, democratic verification. There is ownership of this in Northern Ireland. We now must place our trust in the system, he says. | He says this new approach has nothing to do with the old backstop. It sets up a system in Northern Ireland that is sustainable. It is linked to regular, democratic verification. There is ownership of this in Northern Ireland. We now must place our trust in the system, he says. |
And that’s it. The press conference is over. | And that’s it. The press conference is over. |
Q: The UK authorities will be able to apply their own tariffs, as long as there is no risk of goods entering the single market. How will that be established? | Q: The UK authorities will be able to apply their own tariffs, as long as there is no risk of goods entering the single market. How will that be established? |
Barnier says there is a possibility that goods arriving from GB, or from a third country via GB, might not stay in the customs territory of NI. That risk exists. That is why both sides have come up with a mechanism to assess this risk. The assessment will be based on a number of criteria, overseen by a joint committee. What is the destination of the goods? Are they consumer goods or industrial goods? What is the value of the goods? What is the risk of an infringement? | Barnier says there is a possibility that goods arriving from GB, or from a third country via GB, might not stay in the customs territory of NI. That risk exists. That is why both sides have come up with a mechanism to assess this risk. The assessment will be based on a number of criteria, overseen by a joint committee. What is the destination of the goods? Are they consumer goods or industrial goods? What is the value of the goods? What is the risk of an infringement? |
Q: What was key turning point in the last week? | Q: What was key turning point in the last week? |
Barnier says the taoiseach had a special responsibility. The Irish government is a co-guarantor of the Good Friday agreement. He met Boris Johnson in Liverpool. And after that meeting the UK and the EU were able to make headway. They agreed there would be no customs checks in Ireland or Northern Ireland. | Barnier says the taoiseach had a special responsibility. The Irish government is a co-guarantor of the Good Friday agreement. He met Boris Johnson in Liverpool. And after that meeting the UK and the EU were able to make headway. They agreed there would be no customs checks in Ireland or Northern Ireland. |
He says this new solution must be sustainable. | He says this new solution must be sustainable. |
Q: If this does not get through parliament, is this as far as the EU goes? | Q: If this does not get through parliament, is this as far as the EU goes? |
Barnier says that is a hypothetical question. | Barnier says that is a hypothetical question. |
He says Boris Johnson thinks it will pass. | He says Boris Johnson thinks it will pass. |
He says he has always avoided talking on the basis of emotion and passion. He works on the basis of fact and objectivity. He has looked for practical solutions to the problems posed by Brexit. | He says he has always avoided talking on the basis of emotion and passion. He works on the basis of fact and objectivity. He has looked for practical solutions to the problems posed by Brexit. |
He says in Northern Ireland a joint committee will have a mandate. | He says in Northern Ireland a joint committee will have a mandate. |
This is a balanced agreement, he says. He says it is “the best possible one”. | This is a balanced agreement, he says. He says it is “the best possible one”. |
The backstop has been replaced with a new approach. | The backstop has been replaced with a new approach. |
This justifies the consent procedure, he says. | This justifies the consent procedure, he says. |
He says this is a dynamic compromise between the UK and the EU. | He says this is a dynamic compromise between the UK and the EU. |
Q: Did you get an assurance that Johnson would get a majority for this? | Q: Did you get an assurance that Johnson would get a majority for this? |
Barnier says, when Boris Johnson spoke to Jean-Claude Juncker this morning, he presumes Johnson had faith in his ability to get a majority. He has said he has confidence in his ability to win the vote. | Barnier says, when Boris Johnson spoke to Jean-Claude Juncker this morning, he presumes Johnson had faith in his ability to get a majority. He has said he has confidence in his ability to win the vote. |
Boris Johnson has said he is confident he can get his deal through parliament, says Barnier. | Boris Johnson has said he is confident he can get his deal through parliament, says Barnier. |
Q: MPs have voted against a deal three times. Has Boris Johnson assured you he can get this through? | Q: MPs have voted against a deal three times. Has Boris Johnson assured you he can get this through? |
Barnier says he has some experience here. That is why is is being “cautious”. | Barnier says he has some experience here. That is why is is being “cautious”. |
The House of Commons will have to take its decision. | The House of Commons will have to take its decision. |
Barnier says he was an MP. He knows what it means to be a parliamentarian. | Barnier says he was an MP. He knows what it means to be a parliamentarian. |
He says the agreement is “fair and reasonable”, to use Boris Johnson’s words. (See 10.36am.) | He says the agreement is “fair and reasonable”, to use Boris Johnson’s words. (See 10.36am.) |
He says has never wanted to give a commentary on British political debate. | He says has never wanted to give a commentary on British political debate. |
Q: Can the deal be ratified at this summit? Or will there need to be another one? | Q: Can the deal be ratified at this summit? Or will there need to be another one? |
Barnier says there will be “no ratification at the council” today. | Barnier says there will be “no ratification at the council” today. |
The council will be able to give a favourable opinion on the recommendation, and on the draft agreement. It is a draft, he stresses. | The council will be able to give a favourable opinion on the recommendation, and on the draft agreement. It is a draft, he stresses. |
He says the council has to formally agree the agreement after the European parliament has ratified it. | He says the council has to formally agree the agreement after the European parliament has ratified it. |
He says there should be “no surprises” here. | He says there should be “no surprises” here. |
He says he has done what he has done to ensure member states are well informed. | He says he has done what he has done to ensure member states are well informed. |
He says he believes it can be ratified by 31 October. | He says he believes it can be ratified by 31 October. |