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Brexit: Johnson refuses to rule out NI staying in customs union – as it happened | |
(about 1 year later) | |
Here’s a quick summary of what happened this afternoon. | |
Boris Johnson has signalled to the EU that he would make a major U-turn on his plans for the Irish border to successfully secure a 48-hour window of intensive negotiations over a potential Brexit deal. EU diplomats gave the green light to a weekend of talks after being told by the bloc’s chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, that Johnson seemed to better understand the importance of not having a customs border on the island of Ireland. | |
Boris Johnson declined to say whether Northern Ireland would definitely leave the EU’s customs union when asked. “I think it would be wrong of me to give a running commentary on the negotiations,” he said. “With the greatest possible respect I think, look at everything I’ve said previously. I think you can draw your own conclusions from that. But let our negotiators get on.” | |
The DUP has said it will only support a Brexit deal that is in Northern Ireland’s “long-term economic and constitutional interests”. Leader Arlene Foster said the party would exercise its “considerable influence” in Parliament to stand up for the region. She said her party was clear the UK must leave the EU as “one nation” and that no barriers to trade could be erected within the UK. She also stressed the importance of Northern Ireland giving democratic consent to any arrangement that might align the region with specific sectors of the single market. | |
Jeremy Corbyn would be likely to step down as Labour leader if the party loses the next election, John McDonnell has said. In an interview with Tony Blair’s former spokesman, Alastair Campbell, in GQ, the shadow chancellor also said that in such an event he would also probably quit his role. McDonnell also raised the possibility of Labour potentially supporting a second Brexit referendum before a general election, an idea popular with some Labour MPs but so far resisted by Corbyn and his team. | |
The DUP have issued an interestingly positive seeming statement – | |
Arlene Foster, DUP leader, issues positive sounding statement about the nascent Johnson plan pic.twitter.com/IvpOgxThTu | |
This statement from the DUP appears significant for what it does not say. When May thought she had them on side between MV2 and MV3 they torpedoed her hopes in a statement like this. This time the game is still afoot https://t.co/WQI89TuJn6 | |
The pound had its biggest two-day rally against the dollar since the Brexit vote as hopes rose that a deal could be struck before the deadline later this month, my colleagues Richard Partington and Graeme Wearden report. | |
Sterling climbed to the highest level in three months against the US currency, briefly hitting $1.27, amid mounting optimism in the City, after the EU’s chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, said talks could progress to the next phase. | |
The pound has risen four cents against the dollar since Thursday, when Boris Johnson and the Irish Taoiseach, Leo Varadkar, agreed there was a “pathway to a possible Brexit deal”. That is the sharpest two-day rise in the pound since the EU referendum more than three years ago. | |
You can read the full story here – | |
Pound surges as hopes of Brexit deal rise | |
Ministers have agreed to hand over £86.6m of taxpayers money to four ferry companies to ensure the flow of vital medicines into the UK after a No-Deal Brexit under a deal to be announced on Friday afternoon: Britanny Ferries, DFDS, P&O and Stena Line. Story to follow soon.... | |
The government has announced it has signed contracts with ferry operators Brittany Ferries, DFDS, P&O and Stena Line to provide freight capacity in the event of a no-deal Brexit. The deals will be worth up to £86.6m if the UK leaves the bloc without an agreement. An early termination fee of £11.5m will be paid to the firms if a Brexit deal is agreed. | |
Transport Secretary Grant Shapps said: | |
The UK is getting ready to leave the EU on October 31 and, like any sensible government, we are preparing for all outcomes. Our decisive action means freight operators will be ready and waiting to transport vital medicines into the country from the moment we leave. | |
In May, then-transport secretary Chris Grayling was forced to cancel ferry contracts signed to ensure critical imports could reach the UK in the event of a no-deal Brexit, when the date of Brexit was pushed back from 29 March to 31 October. | |
The contracts worth £89m with Brittany Ferries and DFDS were designed to secure ferry space for vital goods across the Channel. The cancellation resulted in a termination payout of £43.8m to the firms, along with costs taking the final bill over £50m. | |
The prime minister visited a school in Beaconsfield in Buckinghamshire today – Dominic Grieve’s constituency – which ITV’s Paul Brand says has prompted speculation that he could be planning to stand there in the next election. Johnson only has a majority of 5,000 in his Uxbridge seat. | |
The Sunday Times reported last week that the Liberal Democrats would stand aside in Beaconsfield to help Grieve, the former Conservative attorney general, now an independent, to retain his seat. | |
Rumour mill in overdrive about PM choosing Beaconsfield for his visit today by the way. Sitting MP is Dominic Grieve, who is planning to stand as an independent. But could Boris Johnson fancy running there rather than in Uxbridge, where things could be dicey for him? 🤷♂️ | |
Boris Johnson visited St Mary and All Saints C of E Primary School, where he admitted to the Bucks Free Press that some schools had fallen behind as a result of under funding. | |
The BBC is reporting that the aerospace, automotive, chemicals, food and drink and pharmaceutical sectors have written to the prime minister to express concern that Boris Johnson’s negotiators have dropped commitments to maintain regulatory alignment. They are concerned that the UK might no longer participate in specific EU regulatory institutions after any Brexit deal. | |
NEW: bodies representing carmakers, chemicals industry, food and drink industry, aerospace, and pharma 1.1m workers, ok with May deal, previously concern on no deal - expressing big concern about general wider direction of the PMs Brexit deal. FULL storyhttps://t.co/00slRN1K7g | |
In a pooled television clip following a visit to a school on Friday, Boris Johnson declined to say whether Northern Ireland would definitely leave the EU’s customs union when asked. | |
“I think it would be wrong of me to give a running commentary on the negotiations,” he said. “With the greatest possible respect I think, look at everything I’ve said previously. I think you can draw your own conclusions from that. But let our negotiators get on.” | |
Johnson said: “I can certainly tell you that under no circumstances will we see anything that damages the ability of the whole of the United Kingdom to take full advantage of Brexit, and I think that’s what people would expect, and that’s what I think we can achieve.” | |
He added: “Where Leo Varadkar and I got to yesterday was a joint feeling that there is a way forward, and we can see a pathway to a deal. That doesn’t mean it’s a done deal. So there’s work to be done.” | |
Lots of chatter over what will happen now to the backstop, although no details were revealed officially today. | |
This is from Reuters, who have spoken to sources within the European commission: | |
A diplomat and an EU official said Barnier had told member states that Britain had changed its position to now accept that the proposed replacement to the so-called “backstop” cannot erect a customs border between EU member Ireland and the British province of Northern Ireland. | |
“On customs, they admitted that the solution cannot result in the creation of a border in Ireland,” the diplomat said, adding that this admission was the reason Barnier gave national envoys in Brussels to justify going into intensified talks with Britain over the weekend. | |
Separately, two senior EU diplomats told Reuters the possible solution could include two elements: keeping Northern Ireland inside the UK’s customs regime and, at the same time, ensuring that customs and regulatory checks were carried out together. | |
Under an earlier British proposal, the regulatory border would run in the Irish Sea between Northern Ireland and mainland Britain. The sources said they understood that customs checks could be carried out there as well under the plan now under discussions. | |
That marked a change from the latest EU-UK discussions when London proposed dispersed customs checks across the whole island of Ireland, which the bloc rejected as unworkable and not offering enough protection to its single market. | |
The second ERG amendment made it unlawful for Northern Ireland to enter a separate customs territory from UK.Boris Johnson will have to find a Commons majority to repeal/amend the trade bill if his new Brexit plan is going to fly. pic.twitter.com/ZbtGXkEszQ | |
NEW: Boris Johnson twice refuses to say Northern Ireland will leave the EU's Customs Union under the new pathway agreed with Varadkar. Instead, says: "The whole of the UK will be able to take full advantage of Brexit". | |
Reuters reports that UK has dropped plans for doing customs checks on the land border between NI and Republic of Ireland. Checks on customs and goods instead to go in the Irish seaSounds a lot like...the Northern Ireland-only backstop | |
The Federation of Small Businesses has described the agreement to intensify Brexit negotiations as a circuit breaker which offers light at the end of the tunnel. | |
The FSB national chairman, Mike Cherry, said: | |
After months lost in the Brexit uncertainty that has hit many of our small businesses, there finally appears to be a glimmer of hope at the end of the tunnel. | |
Positive technical talks appear to have been the circuit breaker needed to kick-start negotiations and provide a credible pathway towards a deal that avoids a no-deal Brexit on 31 October that many small businesses are simply unable to prepare for. | |
For these small firms, averting this outcome is the only sensible way forward. It truly is crunch time now and the small business message is clear – we need intensity and determination from both the UK government and EU, in the time that is left, to get a last-minute deal done. | |
These small businesses cannot afford to see this progress squandered and a return to the prospect of a no-deal Brexit on 31 October which would cause real harm to many small businesses. | |
RTÉ’s Europe editor has said the UK appears to be moving back towards the original aims of the Northern Ireland backstop. | |
NEW: The UK appears to be drifting closer back to the original aims of the Northern Ireland backstop, I understand. This is the message Michel Barnier delivered to EU27 ambassadors late this morning following his meeting with Brexit Secretary Steve Barclay | |
Brexit: what is the UK's backstop proposal? | |
The British government’s version of Brexit involves the UK ultimately leaving the single market and customs union, requiring the return of a range of checks on goods crossing the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. The “backstop” is intended as a standstill placeholder to ensure such checks do not have to be imposed between Brexit happening with a deal, and the start of a new free trade agreement yet to be negotiated between the UK and the EU. | |
Theresa May's withdrawal agreement proposed keeping the whole of the UK in a shared customs territory with the EU during this period. An alternative idea involves only Northern Ireland staying in the EU’s customs territory. That would place a customs border in the Irish Sea. May described it as a threat to the constitutional integrity of the UK, but the new prime minister, Boris Johnson, has opened the current talks by proposing an all-Ireland agri-food zone. The suggestion is that he will seek to quietly build on that with further NI-only arrangements. | |
Given an NI-only backstop was an EU proposal in the first place, the U-turn would be warmly welcomed in Brussels, although attempts to give the Northern Ireland assembly a veto on its continuation would not be acceptable, and the DUP would be unlikely to support the prime minister in such a move in parliament. | |
If there is a no-deal Brexit, then there is no backstop. | |
Daniel Boffey | |
Attention will also now turn to the absence of a devolved government in Northern Ireland. | |
3/ On consent, I understand Mr Barnier said the UK is signalling a willingness to accept a simple majority endorsement in NI, rather than a veto for one party. Whether this is via a Stormont Assembly vote or even a referendum on exiting the new arrangements is not clear | |
And here is some more tunnel intrigue. | |
And one EU diplomat tells me: "So we seem to be going into a tunnel although that would imply a way out. So let’s see. Barnier has been given space to negotiate over the weekend. He will revert to ambassadors pre-summit to discuss the guidance sought from leaders at council." | |
EU’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier has secured the agreement of the EU27 to open intensive “tunnel” negotiations on Boris Johnson’s latest proposals in major boost for UK government. | |
"Tunnel" negotiations describe a Brussels process whereby a small group of negotiators hold discussions in secret, with no press briefings or documents published, meaning the offers and counter-offers are not disclosed – unless they are leaked. | |
In theory it allows a "safe space" where controversial ideas can be discussed without worrying about the political fall-out on either side from even considering them, emboldening negotiators to consider politically riskier proposals. | |
When Brexit negotiations have previously gone into the tunnel, even EU27 ambassadors have not been kept informed of the progress. It also allows the results to be presented as a joint proposal, avoiding the appearance that there have been winners and losers in a negotiation. | |
The Irish Times has reported that when a journalist asked a European commission official where the tunnel was, they replied: “The tunnel is not a place, but a state of mind.” | The Irish Times has reported that when a journalist asked a European commission official where the tunnel was, they replied: “The tunnel is not a place, but a state of mind.” |
Earlier, he compared Brexit negotiations with climbing a mountain after both the UK and the EU released statements recognising that the talks were constructive. | |
Jeremy Corbyn would be likely to step down as Labour leader if the party loses the next election, John McDonnell has said, also raising the possibility of Labour potentially supporting a second Brexit referendum before a general election. | |
Pro-remain MPs are planning a crunch vote on a second referendum during the “super Saturday” sitting of parliament, as Jeremy Corbyn comes under pressure to back another Brexit vote before an election. | |
Dominic Cummings, Boris Johnson’s most senior aide, is facing conflict of interest accusations over a consultancy role he undertook for a government-endorsed healthcare startup that is in position to receive a share of a new £250m flagship public fund. | |
Boris Johnson’s mother withdrew her name from a public letter expressing concerns about the poor provision of Parkinson’s treatment on the NHS following an intervention from Downing Street. | |
This is from Reuters, and suggests Macron was not fully abreast of the developments when he made these remarks: | |
French President Emmanuel Macron hinted on Friday that the “next few hours” could be crucial regarding the possibility of a breakthrough on a Brexit deal. | |
Asked by a Reuters reporter if there was a “glimmer of hope” regarding a Brexit agreement, Macron replied: “Let us wait for the next few hours.” | |
Major investment banks said on Friday they had become more optimistic on the prospects for a Brexit deal following an upbeat meeting between Boris Johnson and [his] Irish counterpart Leo Varadkar. Macron is also due to meet German leader Angela Merkel on Sunday. | |