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Brexit: Can a no-deal still happen? Brexit: Can a no-deal still happen?
(1 day later)
Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said the UK will leave the European Union (EU) on 31 October "deal or no deal".Prime Minister Boris Johnson has repeatedly said the UK will leave the European Union (EU) on 31 October "deal or no deal".
But under what circumstances could a no-deal Brexit still happen? However, Mr Johnson has now offered MPs more time to study his Brexit deal in exchange for agreeing to an early general election on 12 December.
But under what circumstances could a no-deal Brexit still happen at the end of this month?
EU leaders reject an extensionEU leaders reject an extension
Mr Johnson sent a letter to Brussels on 19 October, requesting a three-month Brexit delay. He was required to do so by a law - known as the Benn Act - after MPs had failed to approve his revised Brexit deal before that date.Mr Johnson sent a letter to Brussels on 19 October, requesting a three-month Brexit delay. He was required to do so by a law - known as the Benn Act - after MPs had failed to approve his revised Brexit deal before that date.
For this extension of the 31 October deadline to go ahead, leaders of the other 27 EU countries have to agree unanimously.For this extension of the 31 October deadline to go ahead, leaders of the other 27 EU countries have to agree unanimously.
French President Emmanuel Macron, for example, has publicly questioned the extension - and without his support, it could not happen.French President Emmanuel Macron, for example, has publicly questioned the extension - and without his support, it could not happen.
This would be the quickest route to a no-deal Brexit - because the deadline would stay at 31 October, leaving very little time for the government to implement its deal. EU leaders are expected to formally announce whether they approve on Friday.
A refusal would be the quickest route to a no-deal Brexit - because the exit deadline would stay at 31 October, leaving very little time for the government to implement its deal.
Extension agreed but UK fails to pass a dealExtension agreed but UK fails to pass a deal
If EU leaders agree to an extension, it does not take a no-deal Brexit off the table. Instead, it just pushes the possibility further into the future.If EU leaders agree to an extension, it does not take a no-deal Brexit off the table. Instead, it just pushes the possibility further into the future.
Regardless of the length of the extension, the prime minister would probably still try to push his deal through Parliament.Regardless of the length of the extension, the prime minister would probably still try to push his deal through Parliament.
However, if the government is unable to implement his deal (or another) before the new deadline, the UK would leave without a deal.However, if the government is unable to implement his deal (or another) before the new deadline, the UK would leave without a deal.
MPs reject alternative delayMPs reject alternative delay
Although the letter from Mr Johnson asks for an extension of the deadline to 31 January 2020, EU leaders could propose a different date.Although the letter from Mr Johnson asks for an extension of the deadline to 31 January 2020, EU leaders could propose a different date.
And according to the Benn Act, passed by Parliament in September, the prime minister would have to accept the proposed date - unless MPs voted against it within two days.And according to the Benn Act, passed by Parliament in September, the prime minister would have to accept the proposed date - unless MPs voted against it within two days.
They would be unlikely to do so, however, for two reasons:They would be unlikely to do so, however, for two reasons:
Ministers refuse to change the deadlineMinisters refuse to change the deadline
This is the most controversial and unlikely scenario.This is the most controversial and unlikely scenario.
If an extension were agreed, a minister would be required to change the deadline in law using something called a statutory instrument (the power to change the law without a vote of MPs).If an extension were agreed, a minister would be required to change the deadline in law using something called a statutory instrument (the power to change the law without a vote of MPs).
And, theoretically, they could simply refuse to do this.And, theoretically, they could simply refuse to do this.
But not only would this be unlawful, it could be argued the "exit date" would be automatically changed anyway, because international law trumps domestic law.But not only would this be unlawful, it could be argued the "exit date" would be automatically changed anyway, because international law trumps domestic law.
Brexit explainedBrexit explained
Brexit - British exit - refers to the UK leaving the EU. A public vote was held in June 2016 to decide whether the UK should leave or remain.Brexit - British exit - refers to the UK leaving the EU. A public vote was held in June 2016 to decide whether the UK should leave or remain.
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