This article is from the source 'guardian' and was first published or seen on . It last changed over 40 days ago and won't be checked again for changes.
You can find the current article at its original source at https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2019/apr/01/government-touts-budget-surplus-as-labor-draws-climate-lines-politics-live
The article has changed 17 times. There is an RSS feed of changes available.
| Version 12 | Version 13 |
|---|---|
| Coalition says Labor climate policy 'a Trojan horse for a carbon tax' – politics live | Coalition says Labor climate policy 'a Trojan horse for a carbon tax' – politics live |
| (32 minutes later) | |
| Just again, for the people at the back, the PBO reports our ageing population will cost the budget more than Medicare. | |
| Since 2011 – when the first of the baby boomer generation turned 65 – the share of the population of retirement age has increased significantly and the share of the population of prime working age has begun to fall. | Since 2011 – when the first of the baby boomer generation turned 65 – the share of the population of retirement age has increased significantly and the share of the population of prime working age has begun to fall. |
| This flows through to the budget in the form of a reduction in revenue, due to lower labour force participation, and an increase in spending, reflecting greater demand for government programs that support older Australians. | This flows through to the budget in the form of a reduction in revenue, due to lower labour force participation, and an increase in spending, reflecting greater demand for government programs that support older Australians. |
| Over the next decade, the ageing population is projected to subtract 0.4 percentage points from the annual real growth in revenue and add 0.3 percentage points to the annual real growth in spending. | Over the next decade, the ageing population is projected to subtract 0.4 percentage points from the annual real growth in revenue and add 0.3 percentage points to the annual real growth in spending. |
| In real dollar terms, this equates to an annual cost to the budget of around $36 billion by 2028–29. This is larger than the projected cost of Medicare in that same year.” | In real dollar terms, this equates to an annual cost to the budget of around $36 billion by 2028–29. This is larger than the projected cost of Medicare in that same year.” |
| How much planning do you think we have actually done for that? | |
| The Parliamentary Budget Office has released a report on the cost of Australia’s ageing population. | The Parliamentary Budget Office has released a report on the cost of Australia’s ageing population. |
| It makes for dire reading. Part of the overview is below, but in short: “In real dollar terms, this equates to an annual cost to the budget of around $36 billion by 2028–29. This is larger than the projected cost of Medicare in that same year.” | It makes for dire reading. Part of the overview is below, but in short: “In real dollar terms, this equates to an annual cost to the budget of around $36 billion by 2028–29. This is larger than the projected cost of Medicare in that same year.” |
| The effects of ageing will be felt more over the coming decade than in the past due to the impact of the baby boomer generation retiring. | The effects of ageing will be felt more over the coming decade than in the past due to the impact of the baby boomer generation retiring. |
| This change has already begun to detract from economic growth, after decades of providing a boost to growth. | This change has already begun to detract from economic growth, after decades of providing a boost to growth. |
| Ageing will reduce tax revenue and add to spending pressures… Since 2011 – when the first of the baby boomer generation turned 65 – the share of the population of retirement age has increased significantly and the share of the population of prime working age has begun to fall. | Ageing will reduce tax revenue and add to spending pressures… Since 2011 – when the first of the baby boomer generation turned 65 – the share of the population of retirement age has increased significantly and the share of the population of prime working age has begun to fall. |
| This flows through to the budget in the form of a reduction in revenue, due to lower labour force participation, and an increase in spending, reflecting greater demand for government programs that support older Australians. Over the next decade, the ageing population is projected to subtract 0.4 percentage points from the annual real growth in revenue and add 0.3 percentage points to the annual real growth in spending. In real dollar terms, this equates to an annual cost to the budget of around $36 billion by 2028–29. | This flows through to the budget in the form of a reduction in revenue, due to lower labour force participation, and an increase in spending, reflecting greater demand for government programs that support older Australians. Over the next decade, the ageing population is projected to subtract 0.4 percentage points from the annual real growth in revenue and add 0.3 percentage points to the annual real growth in spending. In real dollar terms, this equates to an annual cost to the budget of around $36 billion by 2028–29. |
| This is larger than the projected cost of Medicare in that same year. …with the budget impact coming in waves. The workforce participation and Age Pension impacts of the baby boomer generation reaching retirement age are already evident and are likely to peak during the next decade. | This is larger than the projected cost of Medicare in that same year. …with the budget impact coming in waves. The workforce participation and Age Pension impacts of the baby boomer generation reaching retirement age are already evident and are likely to peak during the next decade. |
| The impacts on health and aged care spending will increase more gradually and peak later, as baby boomers move into their 70s and 80s. | The impacts on health and aged care spending will increase more gradually and peak later, as baby boomers move into their 70s and 80s. |
| Demand for health services typically starts to increase when individuals are in their 70s, and demand for aged care services when they are in their 80s. | Demand for health services typically starts to increase when individuals are in their 70s, and demand for aged care services when they are in their 80s. |
| Expectations of Australians around increases in the quality of health and aged care services could further increase these costs.” | Expectations of Australians around increases in the quality of health and aged care services could further increase these costs.” |
| And it ends. | And it ends. |
| Main takeaways? | Main takeaways? |
| Labor’s policy is a carbon tax, even though it builds from a Malcolm Turnbull plan, and is not at all a carbon tax. | Labor’s policy is a carbon tax, even though it builds from a Malcolm Turnbull plan, and is not at all a carbon tax. |
| We are doing things, and they are great things. | We are doing things, and they are great things. |
| Your face is. | Your face is. |
| Will the Coalition still use the Kyoto carryover credits if the United Nations determines they shouldn’t be used? | Will the Coalition still use the Kyoto carryover credits if the United Nations determines they shouldn’t be used? |
| Melissa Price: “We believe we are entitled to use the carryover credits.” | Melissa Price: “We believe we are entitled to use the carryover credits.” |
| Melissa Price is no longer talking. She is nodding like a trooper though. | Melissa Price is no longer talking. She is nodding like a trooper though. |
| Angus Taylor just had this exchange with the Sydney Morning Herald’s David Crowe: | Angus Taylor just had this exchange with the Sydney Morning Herald’s David Crowe: |
| Crowe: You call this a carbon tax, if this is a carbon tax is your safeguard mechanism a carbon tax also? | Crowe: You call this a carbon tax, if this is a carbon tax is your safeguard mechanism a carbon tax also? |
| Taylor: It is a fundamental misunderstanding of what the safeguard mechanism was meant to do. The intention is to deal with heavy polluters. That has been the policy, it is working and we are committed to 22 and reviewing that. | Taylor: It is a fundamental misunderstanding of what the safeguard mechanism was meant to do. The intention is to deal with heavy polluters. That has been the policy, it is working and we are committed to 22 and reviewing that. |
| Crowe: This policy deals with heavy polluters, how can you call it a tax when this is the number of companies being affected? | Crowe: This policy deals with heavy polluters, how can you call it a tax when this is the number of companies being affected? |
| Taylor: The target is completely different, what drives the outcomes here is the target. When you have a 45% emission reduction target, you are demanding almost half, half the emissions go. And that is going to cost a lot, we see independent modelling telling us the impact of that, $9,000 a year for the average Australian worker, 360,000 jobs or more, assuming the carryover is used. If you set a target like this, that’s the outcome, they are using the safeguard as a Trojan horse for a carbon tax. | Taylor: The target is completely different, what drives the outcomes here is the target. When you have a 45% emission reduction target, you are demanding almost half, half the emissions go. And that is going to cost a lot, we see independent modelling telling us the impact of that, $9,000 a year for the average Australian worker, 360,000 jobs or more, assuming the carryover is used. If you set a target like this, that’s the outcome, they are using the safeguard as a Trojan horse for a carbon tax. |
| Shhhhhhhh. | Shhhhhhhh. |
| Be very, very quiet. The Melissa Price environment minister is speaking. We don’t want to startle her. | Be very, very quiet. The Melissa Price environment minister is speaking. We don’t want to startle her. |
| I’ve just come back from a whirlwind trip to Queensland (the greatest nation on earth) and I can tell you the Coalition are W-O-R-R-I-E-D. The big election story is in Victoria this year, at least at this stage, but in Queensland, the state that held in 2016, things are looking a bit wobbly. One of the seats on the bubble is Ross Vasta’s seat of Bonner. | I’ve just come back from a whirlwind trip to Queensland (the greatest nation on earth) and I can tell you the Coalition are W-O-R-R-I-E-D. The big election story is in Victoria this year, at least at this stage, but in Queensland, the state that held in 2016, things are looking a bit wobbly. One of the seats on the bubble is Ross Vasta’s seat of Bonner. |
| Which makes this email blast from Australian Christian Lobby head Wendy Francis verrrrrrry interesting: | Which makes this email blast from Australian Christian Lobby head Wendy Francis verrrrrrry interesting: |
| Dear ACL friends | Dear ACL friends |
| I have worked with ACL now for 9 years and I am well placed to know the DNA of this organisation. We do not support one political party over another. That being said, I believe that the upcoming federal election is the most important in my lifetime and there are huge ramifications associated with the outcome. To educate voters I have been asking the following three questions of candidates and sitting members. | I have worked with ACL now for 9 years and I am well placed to know the DNA of this organisation. We do not support one political party over another. That being said, I believe that the upcoming federal election is the most important in my lifetime and there are huge ramifications associated with the outcome. To educate voters I have been asking the following three questions of candidates and sitting members. |
| Abortion | Abortion |
| What is your response to the news that the ALP will use federal funding to ensure free abortions are offered in public hospitals even to full term? | What is your response to the news that the ALP will use federal funding to ensure free abortions are offered in public hospitals even to full term? |
| Freedom of belief | Freedom of belief |
| Do you believe that schools, Bible colleges, and religious institutions should be forced to employ people who fundamentally disagree with their beliefs? | Do you believe that schools, Bible colleges, and religious institutions should be forced to employ people who fundamentally disagree with their beliefs? |
| Gender | Gender |
| Do you agree with States being required to remove gender from all documents such as birth certificates, drivers licenses, social security forms? | Do you agree with States being required to remove gender from all documents such as birth certificates, drivers licenses, social security forms? |
| In your electorate of Bonner, your sitting member, Ross Vasta, has a voting record which aligns with Truth on all of these issues and many others. | In your electorate of Bonner, your sitting member, Ross Vasta, has a voting record which aligns with Truth on all of these issues and many others. |
| He has asked me if there would be any of our supporters who would be prepared to support him by placing one of his signs in their yard. I pass this on for your consideration. If you would be happy to assist him with this request can you please contact his office at ross.vasta.mp@aph.gov.au I know he would be very grateful. | He has asked me if there would be any of our supporters who would be prepared to support him by placing one of his signs in their yard. I pass this on for your consideration. If you would be happy to assist him with this request can you please contact his office at ross.vasta.mp@aph.gov.au I know he would be very grateful. |
| Please pray for our nation. | Please pray for our nation. |
| Kind regards, Wendy | Kind regards, Wendy |
| *extreme David Attenborough voice* | *extreme David Attenborough voice* |
| It is a very rare sighting of the Melissa Price environment minister in the open. | It is a very rare sighting of the Melissa Price environment minister in the open. |
| The Price environment minister usually does press conferences on the run, if at all. We’re excited to see her not only standing still, but attempting to communicate. | The Price environment minister usually does press conferences on the run, if at all. We’re excited to see her not only standing still, but attempting to communicate. |
| This was just announced: | This was just announced: |
| Minister for the Environment, Melissa Price, and Minister for Energy, Angus Taylor, will hold a doorstop to discuss Labor’s economy wrecking climate announcement.” | Minister for the Environment, Melissa Price, and Minister for Energy, Angus Taylor, will hold a doorstop to discuss Labor’s economy wrecking climate announcement.” |
| I wonder what their take will be? The media alert is so ambiguous. | I wonder what their take will be? The media alert is so ambiguous. |
| Mike Bowers has been out and about this morning: | Mike Bowers has been out and about this morning: |
| Which reminds me – we have officially entered Australian politicians and would-be politicians looking at things season: | Which reminds me – we have officially entered Australian politicians and would-be politicians looking at things season: |
| It’s always the summer of 69 in some people’s hearts. | It’s always the summer of 69 in some people’s hearts. |
| It is a cast of thousands for Labor’s official climate announcement (which is being held at an electric vehicle charging station in Civic, in Canberra’s centre). | It is a cast of thousands for Labor’s official climate announcement (which is being held at an electric vehicle charging station in Civic, in Canberra’s centre). |
| Mark Butler, Anthony Albanese, Kim Carr, Pat Conroy and (candidate) Alicia Payne have joined Bill Shorten: | Mark Butler, Anthony Albanese, Kim Carr, Pat Conroy and (candidate) Alicia Payne have joined Bill Shorten: |
| First of all – what is the cost of not taking action on climate change? It is huge. It was estimated that last year $18bn is the cost of the extreme weather events we’ve been having in insurance, in property values, in damage, in lost production. | First of all – what is the cost of not taking action on climate change? It is huge. It was estimated that last year $18bn is the cost of the extreme weather events we’ve been having in insurance, in property values, in damage, in lost production. |
| There is a huge opportunity cost when we don’t take action. We’re confident by the sensible, evidence-based, pragmatic and consultative policies we’re putting forward, that we can protect traditional jobs in steel, in cement, in aluminium. | There is a huge opportunity cost when we don’t take action. We’re confident by the sensible, evidence-based, pragmatic and consultative policies we’re putting forward, that we can protect traditional jobs in steel, in cement, in aluminium. |
| Industries I’ve spent my working life representing blue-collar workers in. I’m confident that with our fund to work with emissions intensive trade sectors like that, we can make sure that the changes for them are done in a way which protects those jobs. | Industries I’ve spent my working life representing blue-collar workers in. I’m confident that with our fund to work with emissions intensive trade sectors like that, we can make sure that the changes for them are done in a way which protects those jobs. |
| But I’m ambitious for new jobs in Australia. I don’t want us just to be ... financial service vendors or casualised part time workers. I want us to have full-time jobs in renewable energy. We have the best scientists in the world, so why on earth aren’t we adding that to value-added manufacturing? We have some of the best resources of lithium in the world. We can put together ... in Australia, we have all of the parts for a lithium battery. So why can’t we be a nation that says we want to step up and have more manufacturing jobs? | But I’m ambitious for new jobs in Australia. I don’t want us just to be ... financial service vendors or casualised part time workers. I want us to have full-time jobs in renewable energy. We have the best scientists in the world, so why on earth aren’t we adding that to value-added manufacturing? We have some of the best resources of lithium in the world. We can put together ... in Australia, we have all of the parts for a lithium battery. So why can’t we be a nation that says we want to step up and have more manufacturing jobs? |
| In terms of electricity, we see that under this current government, even in the last three years since they got elected the second time around, the price has gone up 20%. I don’t know if it was you, Mark [Butler], or someone observed yesterday, who observed yesterday, that this $1.45 a week for pensioners, a one-off payment, a total of $75. | In terms of electricity, we see that under this current government, even in the last three years since they got elected the second time around, the price has gone up 20%. I don’t know if it was you, Mark [Butler], or someone observed yesterday, who observed yesterday, that this $1.45 a week for pensioners, a one-off payment, a total of $75. |
| It’s like a very small refund for their failure to do anything on energy policy in the last three years. I have no doubt that we will put downward pressure on energy prices.” | It’s like a very small refund for their failure to do anything on energy policy in the last three years. I have no doubt that we will put downward pressure on energy prices.” |