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US consumer prices in record fall | US consumer prices in record fall |
(about 2 hours later) | |
US consumer prices dropped by a record 1% in October compared with the previous month, as fuel costs fell for a third month in a row. | US consumer prices dropped by a record 1% in October compared with the previous month, as fuel costs fell for a third month in a row. |
The news sent Wall Street shares down, while European markets closed sharply lower with losses of more than 4%. | |
Fuel prices were not the only reason for the record drop, as core prices, which exclude food and energy, fell for the first time since 1982. | Fuel prices were not the only reason for the record drop, as core prices, which exclude food and energy, fell for the first time since 1982. |
This bigger-than-expected fall is being seen as a sign of US economic weakness. | |
The consumer prices figures raised investors' fears of a impending recession. | |
On Wall Street, the Dow was down 1.8% in late morning trading. In Europe the falls were sharper, with London down 4.8%, Frankfurt 4.9% lower and Paris down 4%. | |
Separate figures showed that new home starts fell to a record low last month. | Separate figures showed that new home starts fell to a record low last month. |
Commerce Department statistics said new-home starts fell 4.5% in October to an annual pace of 791,000 units, the lowest on record. | Commerce Department statistics said new-home starts fell 4.5% in October to an annual pace of 791,000 units, the lowest on record. |
Building permits, which are seen as a measure of future projects, dropped 12% to an annual rate of 708,000. | Building permits, which are seen as a measure of future projects, dropped 12% to an annual rate of 708,000. |
'Looking ahead' | 'Looking ahead' |
Energy prices fell by a record 8.6% in October after smaller drops in the previous two months. | Energy prices fell by a record 8.6% in October after smaller drops in the previous two months. |
Fuel prices plummeted 14.2%, the biggest drop on record. Food prices rose by 0.3%. | Fuel prices plummeted 14.2%, the biggest drop on record. Food prices rose by 0.3%. |
Analysts say that the fall in consumer prices had been anticipated by the market. | Analysts say that the fall in consumer prices had been anticipated by the market. |
"Looking ahead, the question is will the economy rebound enough with the benefit of a big stimulus plan in 2009 to prevent deflation and get consumers spending again," said Michael Sheldon at RDM Financial. | "Looking ahead, the question is will the economy rebound enough with the benefit of a big stimulus plan in 2009 to prevent deflation and get consumers spending again," said Michael Sheldon at RDM Financial. |
Meanwhile, Sacha Tihanyi at Scotia Capital believes that the latest inflation data "may be giving investors a little bit of confidence the Fed won't feel constrained in dropping rates even further". | Meanwhile, Sacha Tihanyi at Scotia Capital believes that the latest inflation data "may be giving investors a little bit of confidence the Fed won't feel constrained in dropping rates even further". |
The US Federal Reserve cut rates twice during October, taking the key interest rate down to 1%. | The US Federal Reserve cut rates twice during October, taking the key interest rate down to 1%. |
On Tuesday it was reported that US wholesale prices dropped by 2.8% in October, the biggest one-month decline since records began more than 60 years ago. | On Tuesday it was reported that US wholesale prices dropped by 2.8% in October, the biggest one-month decline since records began more than 60 years ago. |
Many forecasters think that the US economy is already in recession. It has already had one quarter of negative growth. | Many forecasters think that the US economy is already in recession. It has already had one quarter of negative growth. |
David Wyss at Standard & Poor's think that the latest inflation data is good news for the Fed, "because it says they don't have to worry about inflation, they can concentrate on fighting recession". | David Wyss at Standard & Poor's think that the latest inflation data is good news for the Fed, "because it says they don't have to worry about inflation, they can concentrate on fighting recession". |