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Student loan change adds £12bn to deficit | Student loan change adds £12bn to deficit |
(35 minutes later) | |
A change in how student loans are recorded in the public finances will add £12bn to the deficit, after a ruling by the Office for National Statistics. | A change in how student loans are recorded in the public finances will add £12bn to the deficit, after a ruling by the Office for National Statistics. |
The amount expected not to be repaid, which could be 45% of lending, will now be reported as public spending. | The amount expected not to be repaid, which could be 45% of lending, will now be reported as public spending. |
This bigger impact on the deficit from student lending could provide an incentive to cut tuition fees. | This bigger impact on the deficit from student lending could provide an incentive to cut tuition fees. |
It will end what has been called a "financial illusion" in student fees. | It will end what has been called a "financial illusion" in student fees. |
The decision by the statistics agency tackles an anomaly in which the cost of lending to students has been missing from the public finances - allowing lending to rise to cover higher fees without any apparent increase in the deficit. | |
High fees, high deficit | |
Approaching half of student lending is expected to be written off - and this will now have to be reclassified as spending, which the ONS says will push up the deficit by an anticipated £12bn. | |
This technical change could have major implications for the current review of university finance in England - which is considering whether to cut fees from £9,250 per year. | |
Higher levels of tuition fees require higher levels of lending - which will now show up as billions more on the deficit. | |
This could provide an incentive for the government to reduce the level of tuition fees, which would limit the impact on the deficit. | |
The change applies to loans to students across the UK, but most of this will be accounted for by lending to students in England. | |
Much of university funding in England is now through tuition fees - and if fees were cut there would be questions about whether there would be a return to more direct funding. |