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Beto O’Rourke Places Well in Iowa Poll, Behind Biden and Sanders Beto O’Rourke Places Well in Iowa Poll, Behind Biden and Sanders
(about 4 hours later)
An early poll of Iowa Democratic voters looking for a challenger to unseat President Trump shows them torn between familiar candidates in their 70s and one lightly experienced newcomer who is 46.An early poll of Iowa Democratic voters looking for a challenger to unseat President Trump shows them torn between familiar candidates in their 70s and one lightly experienced newcomer who is 46.
Two old hands — Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont — and the new contender, outgoing Representative Beto O’Rourke of Texas, grabbed the top three spots in a poll of likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers released Saturday. Two old hands — Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont — and the new contender, the departing Representative Beto O’Rourke of Texas, grabbed the top three spots in a poll of likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers released Saturday.
The results reflect the debate among Democrats over whether to run against the chaos-causing Mr. Trump with a solid resume built on experience in Washington, or by nominating a fresh face who stirs passions. A majority in the Iowa survey favored pragmatism: 54 percent said it was more important to nominate someone able to defeat Mr. Trump than someone who aligns with voters’ positions. Similarly, 49 percent preferred a seasoned candidate compared with 36 percent who want a new face. éThe results reflect the debate among Democrats over whether to run against the chaos-causing Mr. Trump with a solid résumé built on experience in Washington, or by nominating a fresh face who stirs passions. A majority in the Iowa survey favored pragmatism: 54 percent said it was more important to nominate someone able to defeat Mr. Trump than someone who aligns with voters’ positions. Similarly, 49 percent preferred a seasoned candidate compared with 36 percent who want a new face.
The results, 14 months before Iowa’s first-in-the-nation caucuses in February 2020, echo other recent polls that show the power of name identification so early in the nominating process, when no top candidates have officially announced they are running. Little known before the midterms, Mr. O’Rourke triggered Beto-mania with a dynamic campaign presence and prolific fund-raising in his narrow loss of a Texas Senate race to Ted Cruz.The results, 14 months before Iowa’s first-in-the-nation caucuses in February 2020, echo other recent polls that show the power of name identification so early in the nominating process, when no top candidates have officially announced they are running. Little known before the midterms, Mr. O’Rourke triggered Beto-mania with a dynamic campaign presence and prolific fund-raising in his narrow loss of a Texas Senate race to Ted Cruz.
But the results also partly contradict the message of the midterms, when an energized base swept in a wave of women and minority candidates to Congress.But the results also partly contradict the message of the midterms, when an energized base swept in a wave of women and minority candidates to Congress.
Other fresher faces trailed well behind the top tier of Mr. Biden, at 32 percent, Mr. Sanders, at 19 percent, and Mr. O’Rourke with 11 percent.Other fresher faces trailed well behind the top tier of Mr. Biden, at 32 percent, Mr. Sanders, at 19 percent, and Mr. O’Rourke with 11 percent.
The second tier comprised Senators Elizabeth Warren, with 9 percent; Kamala Harris, 5 percent; and Cory Booker, at 4 percent. Michael R. Bloomberg, the former New York City mayor , who recently made a splashy Iowa visit, was at 3 percent.The second tier comprised Senators Elizabeth Warren, with 9 percent; Kamala Harris, 5 percent; and Cory Booker, at 4 percent. Michael R. Bloomberg, the former New York City mayor , who recently made a splashy Iowa visit, was at 3 percent.
Other lesser known potential candidates, including Montana Gov. Steve Bullock and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti, were polling at or below 1 percent.Other lesser known potential candidates, including Montana Gov. Steve Bullock and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti, were polling at or below 1 percent.
The poll was conducted for The Des Moines Register, CNN and Mediacom by Ann Selzer, a respected Des Moines pollster. It has a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points.The poll was conducted for The Des Moines Register, CNN and Mediacom by Ann Selzer, a respected Des Moines pollster. It has a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points.