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Bank insider urges deep rate cuts | Bank insider urges deep rate cuts |
(about 5 hours later) | |
The current financial crisis may be more far-reaching than even the 1929 crash, a Bank of England policymaker has warned. | The current financial crisis may be more far-reaching than even the 1929 crash, a Bank of England policymaker has warned. |
Professor David Blanchflower is a member of the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), and has often been a lone voice in urging rate cuts. | Professor David Blanchflower is a member of the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), and has often been a lone voice in urging rate cuts. |
Now he has said big interest rate cuts are needed to avoid a deep recession. | Now he has said big interest rate cuts are needed to avoid a deep recession. |
UK rates are at 4.5%, after the Bank cut them by half a percentage point earlier this month. | UK rates are at 4.5%, after the Bank cut them by half a percentage point earlier this month. |
The cut was part of a co-ordinated move with both the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank (ECB). | The cut was part of a co-ordinated move with both the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank (ECB). |
On Wednesday the Fed cut its key rate further, to just 1%. | On Wednesday the Fed cut its key rate further, to just 1%. |
"My view remains that interest rates do need to come down significantly - and quickly," Prof Blanchflower told an academic audience in Canterbury. | "My view remains that interest rates do need to come down significantly - and quickly," Prof Blanchflower told an academic audience in Canterbury. |
"If rates are not cut aggressively we do face the prospect of a relatively deep and long-lasting recession." | "If rates are not cut aggressively we do face the prospect of a relatively deep and long-lasting recession." |
'Synchronised downturn' | 'Synchronised downturn' |
His comments follow those recently made by Bank of England governor Mervyn King and Prime Minister Gordon Brown that the UK is probably heading towards recession. | His comments follow those recently made by Bank of England governor Mervyn King and Prime Minister Gordon Brown that the UK is probably heading towards recession. |
And Prof Blanchflower said international financial problems could turn out to have long-lasting repercussions. | And Prof Blanchflower said international financial problems could turn out to have long-lasting repercussions. |
"It is even possible that this event may turn out to be more significant than the 1929 crash which primarily involved bank failures in the United States," he said. | "It is even possible that this event may turn out to be more significant than the 1929 crash which primarily involved bank failures in the United States," he said. |
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"The current difficulties in financial markets are more global in nature and more comparable to what happened in the First World War." | "The current difficulties in financial markets are more global in nature and more comparable to what happened in the First World War." |
He also said a range of surveys of UK economic activity had shown a marked downturn since last summer. | He also said a range of surveys of UK economic activity had shown a marked downturn since last summer. |
"It is not sufficient to consider the data month by month until it emerges that the UK is in recession. | "It is not sufficient to consider the data month by month until it emerges that the UK is in recession. |
"I believe this trend has been apparent for some time. The synchronised downturn in so many business surveys should have led us to realise sooner that the UK economy was entering a recession." | "I believe this trend has been apparent for some time. The synchronised downturn in so many business surveys should have led us to realise sooner that the UK economy was entering a recession." |