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Remember the last recession? Remember the last recession?
(10 minutes later)
By Tom Geoghegan BBC News Magazine Gordon Brown told MPs this week that Britain was heading for recession, in a speech that echoed Norman Lamont 18 years ago. What was Britain like at the start of the last downturn and what's happened to people who suffered back then? By Tom Geoghegan BBC News Magazine The UK's economic output has fallen for the first time since 1992, when the country was emerging from a recession that had lasted nearly two years. So what was Britain like at the start of the last downturn and what's happened to people who suffered then?
On 5 December 1990, the UK was enduring a cold snap and on the way was a fierce snowstorm that brought much of the country to a standstill.On 5 December 1990, the UK was enduring a cold snap and on the way was a fierce snowstorm that brought much of the country to a standstill.
Those hoping for a thaw could draw no respite from the music charts, where Vanilla Ice was just beginning his three weeks at the top, with Ice, Ice, Baby.Those hoping for a thaw could draw no respite from the music charts, where Vanilla Ice was just beginning his three weeks at the top, with Ice, Ice, Baby.
The 1990 recession: How the news brokeThe 1990 recession: How the news broke
Such signs were ominous, for an economic chill had been descending for months and this led Chancellor Norman Lamont to stand up on that day and tell MPs that the UK was entering a recession, 18 years before Gordon Brown did the exact same. Such signs were ominous, for an economic chill had been descending for months and this led Chancellor Norman Lamont to stand up on that day and tell MPs that the UK was entering a recession.
It was hardly a shock. The country's GDP had just recorded its sharpest drop in 10 years and retail sales in October had fallen 1.1%, a much bigger drop than expected. Inflation was in double figures and interest rates were recently as high as 15%. WHAT ELSE HAPPENED IN 1990? Films: Edward Scissorhands, Pretty Woman, Home AloneSport: Gazza cried, Sir Alex Ferguson was seven minutes from the sack as Man Utd managerMusic: Sinead O'Connor, Happy Mondays, Primal ScreamTelevision: Twin Peaks, Baywatch, The SimpsonsIn the news: Geoffrey Howe resigned, Thatcher ousted, 100 British hostages freed by Iraq Eighteen years later Prime Minister Gordon Brown has warned of the same possibility and on Friday, GDP figures showed the economy shrank for the first time since the end of that downturn in 1992.
Lamont's speech hardly came as a shock. The country's GDP had just recorded its sharpest drop in 10 years and retail sales in October had fallen 1.1%, a much bigger drop than expected. Inflation was in double figures and interest rates were recently as high as 15%. WHAT ELSE HAPPENED IN 1990? Films: Edward Scissorhands, Pretty Woman, Home AloneSport: Gazza cried, Sir Alex Ferguson was seven minutes from the sack as Man Utd managerMusic: Sinead O'Connor, Happy Mondays, Primal ScreamTelevision: Twin Peaks, Baywatch, The SimpsonsIn the news: Geoffrey Howe resigned, Thatcher ousted, 100 British hostages freed by Iraq
The political world was equally stormy. One of Britain's longest serving prime ministers, Margaret Thatcher, had only one week earlier bade a tearful farewell at Downing Street, handing the keys over to John Major.The political world was equally stormy. One of Britain's longest serving prime ministers, Margaret Thatcher, had only one week earlier bade a tearful farewell at Downing Street, handing the keys over to John Major.
After the boom of the 1980s, Britain's hangover was starting to kick in, with bankruptcies and repossessions mounting. After the boom of the 1980s, Britain's hangover was starting to kick in, with bankruptcies and repossessions mounting, and dole queues lengthening.
Even owners of Michelin-starred restaurants weren't spared. With 30 years of experience in the business, Patrick McDonald, 46, now says 1991 was financially his toughest year.Even owners of Michelin-starred restaurants weren't spared. With 30 years of experience in the business, Patrick McDonald, 46, now says 1991 was financially his toughest year.
He had opened his bistro in the spring of 1990 but 18 months later it went under, despite being part of one of the top restaurants in the country at the time: The Epicurean in Stow-on-the-Wold. What's the real impact of the economic slowdown? BBC News is taking the temperature across the UK in a special day of coverage Special report: The downturnHe had opened his bistro in the spring of 1990 but 18 months later it went under, despite being part of one of the top restaurants in the country at the time: The Epicurean in Stow-on-the-Wold. What's the real impact of the economic slowdown? BBC News is taking the temperature across the UK in a special day of coverage Special report: The downturn
"The recession bit harder and harder and harder and one of the high street banks we were mortgaged with decided that it was vulnerable and they called in the mortgage even though we had been paying it."The recession bit harder and harder and harder and one of the high street banks we were mortgaged with decided that it was vulnerable and they called in the mortgage even though we had been paying it.
"It was not only my business but a home for my wife and children. It put us under immense pressure because we didn't have a home to live in.""It was not only my business but a home for my wife and children. It put us under immense pressure because we didn't have a home to live in."
He put the property into voluntary liquidation but before literally throwing the keys at the bank representatives, he stripped out all the fittings - radiators, lights, water boiler - and sold them back to the business that moved in. That enabled him to pay back some of the creditors.Mr McDonald bounced back from his bistro going underHe put the property into voluntary liquidation but before literally throwing the keys at the bank representatives, he stripped out all the fittings - radiators, lights, water boiler - and sold them back to the business that moved in. That enabled him to pay back some of the creditors.Mr McDonald bounced back from his bistro going under
But he bounced back from that setback. The family rented a home, he later set up a consultancy advising chefs and his comeback was sealed when he became one of the first television chefs to host a reality show - Channel 4's If You Can't Stand The Heat. But he bounced back. The family rented a home, he later set up a consultancy advising chefs and his comeback was sealed when he became one of the first television chefs to host a reality show - Channel 4's If You Can't Stand The Heat.
"I've been knocked down a few times but come through. I've employed thousands of people over 30 years and created a lot of jobs and if I was to sit back and not do anything I would be nothing.""I've been knocked down a few times but come through. I've employed thousands of people over 30 years and created a lot of jobs and if I was to sit back and not do anything I would be nothing."
A year after the bistro closed, another small business was folding a couple of hundred miles east, in Norwich.A year after the bistro closed, another small business was folding a couple of hundred miles east, in Norwich.
Severe struggleSevere struggle
Tom MacKeown set up Rags to Riches in 1985, designing and selling upmarket women's wear, but a few years later its troubles began, when the pound suddenly climbed nearly 15% in value against other currencies, making its exports very expensive. Coupled with two wet summers washing out the county shows at which he sold, it was a fatal blow. We struggled severely for two years Tom MacKeownTom MacKeown set up Rags to Riches in 1985, designing and selling upmarket women's wear, but a few years later its troubles began, when the pound suddenly climbed nearly 15% in value against other currencies, making its exports very expensive. Coupled with two wet summers washing out the county shows at which he sold, it was a fatal blow. We struggled severely for two years Tom MacKeown
"It was one of the first times when the pound climbed against the other currencies, so our clothes became unaffordable."It was one of the first times when the pound climbed against the other currencies, so our clothes became unaffordable.
"And because we had borrowed fairly extensively to expand, without the turnover there was no profit margin to pay the bank and we closed the business in 1992.""And because we had borrowed fairly extensively to expand, without the turnover there was no profit margin to pay the bank and we closed the business in 1992."
The family kept their house but struggled severely for a few years as they paid back creditors, giving up their car and holidays abroad. Now Mr MacKeown runs a building firm called Designer Stubble that uses natural materials like straw and clay. The family kept their house but struggled severely for a few years as they paid back creditors, giving up their car and holidays abroad. Now Mr MacKeown runs a building firm called Designer Stubble that uses natural materials like straw and clay, and he says .
The problems with the value of sterling were at the heart of the economic problems of the times.The problems with the value of sterling were at the heart of the economic problems of the times.
With interest rates rising and house prices tumbling, the obvious solution would have been to lower interest rates. But the government's economic policy was built around shadowing the strong German mark - as part of British membership of the Exchange Rate Mechanism or ERM.With interest rates rising and house prices tumbling, the obvious solution would have been to lower interest rates. But the government's economic policy was built around shadowing the strong German mark - as part of British membership of the Exchange Rate Mechanism or ERM.
Although the UK was technically out of recession by the time it left ERM on so-called Black Wednesday in September 1992, its effect continued to be painfully felt, especially in areas that remained in negative equity.Although the UK was technically out of recession by the time it left ERM on so-called Black Wednesday in September 1992, its effect continued to be painfully felt, especially in areas that remained in negative equity.
Sarah Stewart, now 48, believes it cost her marriage. Three years after buying her flat in Newcastle for £18,000 in 1991, she moved south to start a new job and tried to sell it but it was now worth less than she paid for it.Sarah Stewart, now 48, believes it cost her marriage. Three years after buying her flat in Newcastle for £18,000 in 1991, she moved south to start a new job and tried to sell it but it was now worth less than she paid for it.
An offer came in for £15,000 but the lending bank - as many did at the time - said that was too low. Meanwhile it was regularly getting broken into, so repair costs were mounting.An offer came in for £15,000 but the lending bank - as many did at the time - said that was too low. Meanwhile it was regularly getting broken into, so repair costs were mounting.
"I handed back the keys because I couldn't cope with it anymore," says Ms Stewart, who is now a city councillor on the south coast.Brown followed in Lamont's footsteps"I handed back the keys because I couldn't cope with it anymore," says Ms Stewart, who is now a city councillor on the south coast.Brown followed in Lamont's footsteps
"I was so close to having a nervous breakdown and I just knew I had to get shot of it. I thought that was it, until five years later, when I had my first baby, a letter arrived on the doormat from the bank, saying they sold it for £1,300 and so I owed them £17,000.""I was so close to having a nervous breakdown and I just knew I had to get shot of it. I thought that was it, until five years later, when I had my first baby, a letter arrived on the doormat from the bank, saying they sold it for £1,300 and so I owed them £17,000."
After a two-year battle, the bank finally settled at a much lower amount, but by then the fight had cost Ms Stewart her husband, who had enough, and the financial repercussions remain.After a two-year battle, the bank finally settled at a much lower amount, but by then the fight had cost Ms Stewart her husband, who had enough, and the financial repercussions remain.
"I've never recovered my earning potential. I lost two years of my life fighting this claim, then years and years of never being able to buy another house."I've never recovered my earning potential. I lost two years of my life fighting this claim, then years and years of never being able to buy another house.
"It really affected me long-term. My husband left me, leaving me bringing up two kids on my own.""It really affected me long-term. My husband left me, leaving me bringing up two kids on my own."
As a new recession looms, scars from the last one suggest it will be a long road to recovery.As a new recession looms, scars from the last one suggest it will be a long road to recovery.


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