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Surprise jump in Japanese output Japan unveils economic boost plan
(about 1 hour later)
Japanese industrial output rose by 0.9% in July, but economists said that the stronger-than-expected figure did not ease fears of a recession. Japan has unveiled a stimulus package worth 11.7 trillion yen ($107bn; £59bn) to boost the country's economy.
Other figures also showed Japan's unemployment rate fell from 4.1% to 4%, while core inflation rose to 2.4%. The government hopes that the plan will help people cope with rising prices and stave off a recession.
Japan's economy contracted between April to June. If output also falls between July and September then the country will be in a recession. The plan only includes 2 trillion yen of fresh government spending, with 9 trillion yen in loan guarantees and aid for small businesses.
Japan is finalising a package designed to boost the economy. The package is much smaller than the $167bn the US spent on tax rebates and other measures to revive its economy.
The main aim of the proposed package is to provide financial relief to households and companies struggling with high energy and food bills, although no exact details have been revealed so far. Inflation up
Japan's economy is struggling with consumers facing high energy prices and the country's exporters suffering as the global economy slows.
The economy shrank between April to June. If GDP contracts between July and September then the country will be technically in a recession.
On Friday, data showed that industrial output rose by 0.9% in July, but economists said that the stronger-than-expected figure did not ease fears of a recession.
Other figures released on Friday showed Japan's unemployment rate fell from 4.1% to 4%, while core inflation rose to 2.4%.
Little optimismLittle optimism
The rise in Japan's industrial output, against forecasts of a 0.5% drop, surprised analysts.The rise in Japan's industrial output, against forecasts of a 0.5% drop, surprised analysts.
"As far as July's data is concerned, the situation for industrial output doesn't look so bad, as it showed relatively firm shipments while the inventory ratio declined," said Hiroshi Shiraishi, an economist at Lehman Brothers."As far as July's data is concerned, the situation for industrial output doesn't look so bad, as it showed relatively firm shipments while the inventory ratio declined," said Hiroshi Shiraishi, an economist at Lehman Brothers.
"But for the outlook, while domestic demand is already weak, there is a strong possibility a slowdown in external demand will have a full impact later on. So we can't be optimistic.""But for the outlook, while domestic demand is already weak, there is a strong possibility a slowdown in external demand will have a full impact later on. So we can't be optimistic."
The rise in the core consumer price index, which excludes fruit and vegetable prices but includes oil, was at the top end of analysts' expectations.The rise in the core consumer price index, which excludes fruit and vegetable prices but includes oil, was at the top end of analysts' expectations.
However, analysts said fears of an economic slowdown made it unlikely the Bank of Japan would raise rates.However, analysts said fears of an economic slowdown made it unlikely the Bank of Japan would raise rates.
"At first glance, CPI's rise above 2% may be seen as a factor to prompt the BOJ to raise rates soon, but as it has been saying, the impact of high oil prices will come off in the future," said Junko Nishioka, economist at RBS Securities Japan."At first glance, CPI's rise above 2% may be seen as a factor to prompt the BOJ to raise rates soon, but as it has been saying, the impact of high oil prices will come off in the future," said Junko Nishioka, economist at RBS Securities Japan.
"It's the downside risks to the economy that will make the BOJ hold fire.""It's the downside risks to the economy that will make the BOJ hold fire."