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UK economy comes to a standstill | UK economy comes to a standstill |
(about 1 hour later) | |
UK economic growth ground to a halt between April and June, according to the latest official figures. | UK economic growth ground to a halt between April and June, according to the latest official figures. |
The Office for National Statistics said the economy stalled, showing no growth from the first quarter of 2008. | The Office for National Statistics said the economy stalled, showing no growth from the first quarter of 2008. |
It ends a run of more than 15 years of consecutive growth in the UK and will raise expectations of a rate cut. | It ends a run of more than 15 years of consecutive growth in the UK and will raise expectations of a rate cut. |
The 0% growth figure was down from an earlier estimate of 0.2% and lower than the 0.3% growth recorded in the first three months of 2008. | The 0% growth figure was down from an earlier estimate of 0.2% and lower than the 0.3% growth recorded in the first three months of 2008. |
'Challenging times' | |
The figures were the weakest since 1992 and the news sent the pound lower against the dollar and the euro. | The figures were the weakest since 1992 and the news sent the pound lower against the dollar and the euro. |
The government said the economy was feeling the effects of global pressures such as high commodity prices and the continuing credit squeeze. | |
"The Government's priority is to guide Britain through these challenging times, while also supporting those hit hardest as a result of these global factors," a Treasury spokesman said. | |
But the Conservatives said that Labour's economic record had been tarnished. | |
The figures are very weak and suggest the UK economy is already in recession George Buckley, Deutsche Bank The symbolism of stagnationQ&A: What is a recession?How families are coping with the economic squeezeIn quotes: growth stalls | The figures are very weak and suggest the UK economy is already in recession George Buckley, Deutsche Bank The symbolism of stagnationQ&A: What is a recession?How families are coping with the economic squeezeIn quotes: growth stalls |
"For years Gordon Brown boasted about consecutive quarters of economic growth," Shadow Chancellor George Osborne said. | |
"Now economic growth has ground to a halt and Brown's bubble has burst." | |
Friday's figures showed that the services sector, the backbone of the UK economy, grew just 0.2%, while manufacturing output fell by 0.8%. Household spending dropped by 0.1%. | |
Exports also fell as Europe, the UK's main trading partner, saw growth contract in the same period. | Exports also fell as Europe, the UK's main trading partner, saw growth contract in the same period. |
The UK economy grew 1.4% from the second quarter of 2007, revised down from an initial estimate of 1.6%. | The UK economy grew 1.4% from the second quarter of 2007, revised down from an initial estimate of 1.6%. |
"The figures are very weak and suggest the UK economy is already in recession," said George Buckley, an economist at Deutsche Bank. | "The figures are very weak and suggest the UK economy is already in recession," said George Buckley, an economist at Deutsche Bank. |
The economy technically enters a recession when it shrinks for two consecutive quarters. | The economy technically enters a recession when it shrinks for two consecutive quarters. |
Rate dilemma | Rate dilemma |
Bank of England governor Mervyn King has warned that the UK economy is in for a difficult and painful period due to a combination of high inflation and rapidly slowing growth. | Bank of England governor Mervyn King has warned that the UK economy is in for a difficult and painful period due to a combination of high inflation and rapidly slowing growth. |
Inflation, which at 4.4% is well above the 2% target rate, could make it more difficult for the Bank to cut interest rates to spur the economy. | |
But analysts said the zero growth reading could lead to lower borrowing costs by the end of this year. | |
"This really does put a rate cut firmly on the agenda although it is unlikely to come until we have seen the peak in inflation," said Brian Hilliard, an analyst at SG. | "This really does put a rate cut firmly on the agenda although it is unlikely to come until we have seen the peak in inflation," said Brian Hilliard, an analyst at SG. |