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House sales 'down 50% this year' | House sales 'down 50% this year' |
(about 2 hours later) | |
House sales in Northern Ireland have dropped by 50% compared to the same time last year, the latest University of Ulster price survey has indicated. | |
The 120 Northern Ireland estate agents surveyed sold a total of 1,044 houses in the second quarter of this year. | The 120 Northern Ireland estate agents surveyed sold a total of 1,044 houses in the second quarter of this year. |
However, although sales are down in comparison with the same time last year, they have increased from 896 in the first quarter of 2008. | However, although sales are down in comparison with the same time last year, they have increased from 896 in the first quarter of 2008. |
The survey found that the average house price in NI now stands at £226,934. | The survey found that the average house price in NI now stands at £226,934. |
Its authors, Professor Alastair Adair, Professor Stanley McGreal and Louise Brown, said the overall picture "when balanced out" suggested that there has only been a 4% reduction in prices. | Its authors, Professor Alastair Adair, Professor Stanley McGreal and Louise Brown, said the overall picture "when balanced out" suggested that there has only been a 4% reduction in prices. |
Transactions | Transactions |
"However, the main impact on the market is in the volume of transactions which have been more than halved over the year," they added. | "However, the main impact on the market is in the volume of transactions which have been more than halved over the year," they added. |
"While a correction in the market is taking place, it is important to stress that price levels have not collapsed and the marking down of prices appears to be incremental rather than a one-off correction." | "While a correction in the market is taking place, it is important to stress that price levels have not collapsed and the marking down of prices appears to be incremental rather than a one-off correction." |
Bank of Ireland economist Alan Bridle said the survey showed that price changes varied widely across different parts of Northern Ireland and across different types of properties. | Bank of Ireland economist Alan Bridle said the survey showed that price changes varied widely across different parts of Northern Ireland and across different types of properties. |
"People should be cautious about making over-simplistic judgments," he said. | "People should be cautious about making over-simplistic judgments," he said. |
"For instance, there are different factors affecting both the resale and the new-build markets. | "For instance, there are different factors affecting both the resale and the new-build markets. |
"With a very quiet resale market, I believe there is a high probability of the average price dropping closer to the £200,000 level before the end of year, with a period of adjustment stretching into 2009. | "With a very quiet resale market, I believe there is a high probability of the average price dropping closer to the £200,000 level before the end of year, with a period of adjustment stretching into 2009. |
"Anyone looking for the green shoots of recovery should keep an eye on transaction levels which are likely to turn before prices do, but it might be a while." | "Anyone looking for the green shoots of recovery should keep an eye on transaction levels which are likely to turn before prices do, but it might be a while." |
The Housing Executive's head of research, Joe Frey said Northern Ireland's housing market was facing a challenging time. | The Housing Executive's head of research, Joe Frey said Northern Ireland's housing market was facing a challenging time. |
"The current situation provides government with an opportunity to accelerate the building of social and affordable homes," he said. | "The current situation provides government with an opportunity to accelerate the building of social and affordable homes," he said. |
Average price by region | Average price by region |
• Belfast - £247,648, an increase of 3.3% from last year. | • Belfast - £247,648, an increase of 3.3% from last year. |
• North Down - £251.526, down by 2.3% from last year. | • North Down - £251.526, down by 2.3% from last year. |
• Lisburn - £230,2430, down by 17.3% from last year. | • Lisburn - £230,2430, down by 17.3% from last year. |
• East Antrim - £190,133, down by 7.8% from last year. | • East Antrim - £190,133, down by 7.8% from last year. |
• Antrim/Ballymena - £209,820, down by 8.1% from last year. | • Antrim/Ballymena - £209,820, down by 8.1% from last year. |
• Coleraine/Limavady/North Coast - 203,728, down by 26.5% from last year. | • Coleraine/Limavady/North Coast - 203,728, down by 26.5% from last year. |
• Derry/Strabane - £221,227, an increase of 16.7% from last year. | • Derry/Strabane - £221,227, an increase of 16.7% from last year. |
• Mid-Ulster - £201,746, down by 16.8% from last year. | • Mid-Ulster - £201,746, down by 16.8% from last year. |
• Enniskillen/Fermanagh/South Tyrone - £193,406, down by 20.8% from last year. | • Enniskillen/Fermanagh/South Tyrone - £193,406, down by 20.8% from last year. |
• Craigavon/Armagh - £185,016, down by 20.1% from last year. | • Craigavon/Armagh - £185,016, down by 20.1% from last year. |
• Mid and South Down, the average price of £236,480, down 2.4% from last year. | • Mid and South Down, the average price of £236,480, down 2.4% from last year. |
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