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US interest rates left unchanged US interest rates left unchanged
(about 3 hours later)
The US Federal Reserve has kept its key interest rate unchanged at 2% as it grapples with the twin dangers of possible recession and high inflation.The US Federal Reserve has kept its key interest rate unchanged at 2% as it grapples with the twin dangers of possible recession and high inflation.
Policymakers are having to support a slowing economy, while also ensuring inflationary pressures, driven by high oil prices, do not get out of control. Explaining their decision, policymakers said economic growth was likely to remain weak for some time while the outlook for inflation was "uncertain".
Consumer prices rose at their fastest monthly rate in 11 years during June, although oil prices are now falling. Consumer prices rose at their fastest monthly rate in 11 years in June but oil prices are currently falling.
The Fed cut rates aggressively in late 2007, but have frozen them since April.The Fed cut rates aggressively in late 2007, but have frozen them since April.
Economic uncertainty 'Tight credit'
The Fed's rate setting committee voted 10 to one to keep rates where they are, with Richard Fisher dissenting in favour of a rate hike.
Experts say uncertainty over how severe and prolonged the economic slowdown will be is making the Fed cautious about any shift in policy.Experts say uncertainty over how severe and prolonged the economic slowdown will be is making the Fed cautious about any shift in policy.
The continued slump in the housing market and its impact on consumer confidence has made any imminent rate rise unlikely despite signs of increasing inflationary pressures.The continued slump in the housing market and its impact on consumer confidence has made any imminent rate rise unlikely despite signs of increasing inflationary pressures.
My view has been all along and it remains that the Fed is going to be on hold for a good deal of time Josh Feinman, Deutsche Bank
In a statement, the central bank said "tight credit conditions, the ongoing housing contraction and elevated energy prices are likely to weigh on economic growth over the next few quarters".
In addition, it warned that "inflation has been high and some indicators of inflation expectations have been elevated".
Economic uncertainty
Data published on Tuesday showed that the services sector contracted again in June but not by as much as experts had forecast.Data published on Tuesday showed that the services sector contracted again in June but not by as much as experts had forecast.
Second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth was a stronger-than-expected 1.9%, on an annual basis, although this was aided by government stimulus measures.Second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth was a stronger-than-expected 1.9%, on an annual basis, although this was aided by government stimulus measures.
Unemployment, meanwhile, has risen to a four-year high while consumer spending is weak, rising only 0.2% in June.Unemployment, meanwhile, has risen to a four-year high while consumer spending is weak, rising only 0.2% in June.
Some analysts believe the Fed will adopt a "wait and see" stance as long as the economic outlook does not deteriorate markedly.
"My view has been all along and it remains that the Fed is going to be on hold for a good deal of time," said Deutsche Bank's Josh Feinman.