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House prices 'dropped 1% in June' House prices 'dropped 1% in June'
(30 minutes later)
House prices in England and Wales fell by 1% in June from May, according to figures from the Land Registry.House prices in England and Wales fell by 1% in June from May, according to figures from the Land Registry.
That drop meant that the annual rate of increase was 0.1%, the tenth consecutive month that the annual rate of growth has slowed.That drop meant that the annual rate of increase was 0.1%, the tenth consecutive month that the annual rate of growth has slowed.
The average price of a home in England and Wales slipped to £180,781.The average price of a home in England and Wales slipped to £180,781.
Despite the current slowdown, which has been caused by tougher lending demands, a social housing group predicted that house prices would rise 25% by 2013.Despite the current slowdown, which has been caused by tougher lending demands, a social housing group predicted that house prices would rise 25% by 2013.
Rising or falling?Rising or falling?
According to the National Housing Federation (NHA), average house prices in England were set to rise by 25% over the next five years because demand for housing was outstripping the construction of new homes. According to the National Housing Federation (NHF), average house prices in England were set to rise by 25% over the next five years because demand for housing would outstrip the construction of new homes.
People are living longer, they're delaying getting married and they're more likely to get divorced - meaning that we now have more households than ever David OrrNational Housing FederationPeople are living longer, they're delaying getting married and they're more likely to get divorced - meaning that we now have more households than ever David OrrNational Housing Federation
The NHA said that house prices in England would fall by 4.4% in 2008, and be 2.1% lower in 2009. The NHF said that house prices in England would fall by 4.4% in 2008, and be 2.1% lower in 2009.
However, it predicts that prices will have recovered by 2010 and would rise by more than 9% in 2012 and 2013.However, it predicts that prices will have recovered by 2010 and would rise by more than 9% in 2012 and 2013.
While there are questions about how accurate five-year forecasts can be, there is a general concern that new homes being built will not meet demand.While there are questions about how accurate five-year forecasts can be, there is a general concern that new homes being built will not meet demand.
"As soon as the economic outlook improves, house prices will resume their previous upward trajectory," said the Federation's chief executive David Orr."As soon as the economic outlook improves, house prices will resume their previous upward trajectory," said the Federation's chief executive David Orr.
Market viewMarket view
In the meantime, analysts are trying to work out how fast and how far house prices will drop.In the meantime, analysts are trying to work out how fast and how far house prices will drop.
The Land Registry figures show that during June the house price fall was particularly marked in London, which saw prices drop by 2.5% from May. The Land Registry figures are based on prices at the completion of sales and so lag behind some of the other surveys which rely on mortgage data.
The figures show that during June the house price fall was particularly marked in London, which saw prices drop by 2.5% from May.
It also found that sales volumes remained much lower across England and Wales than in the same month a year ago.It also found that sales volumes remained much lower across England and Wales than in the same month a year ago.
The North East of England was the only area to see a monthly rise in prices, up 4.1% in June and 3.1% for the year. That made the average house price in the region worth £133,508.The North East of England was the only area to see a monthly rise in prices, up 4.1% in June and 3.1% for the year. That made the average house price in the region worth £133,508.