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Three-way split on rate decision | Three-way split on rate decision |
(18 minutes later) | |
The majority of Bank of England policymakers voted to keep rates steady at 5% at its July meeting, but one voted for a cut and another for a rise. | The majority of Bank of England policymakers voted to keep rates steady at 5% at its July meeting, but one voted for a cut and another for a rise. |
The surprise split underscores the challenge faced by the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) as it balances slowing growth with rising inflation. | The surprise split underscores the challenge faced by the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) as it balances slowing growth with rising inflation. |
Minutes of the meeting on 9-10 July showed that Timothy Besley wanted to raise the cost of borrowing to 5.25%. | Minutes of the meeting on 9-10 July showed that Timothy Besley wanted to raise the cost of borrowing to 5.25%. |
David Blanchflower voted to reduce rates to 4.75%. | David Blanchflower voted to reduce rates to 4.75%. |
'Difficult decision' | 'Difficult decision' |
The Bank said that inflation in June had been higher than expected but that data also suggested that growth was continuing to slow. | The Bank said that inflation in June had been higher than expected but that data also suggested that growth was continuing to slow. |
"For all members of the committee, the decision was a difficult one," the minutes said. | "For all members of the committee, the decision was a difficult one," the minutes said. |
"A rate change this month would be a surprise at a time when credit and other financial markets remained fragile," it added. | "A rate change this month would be a surprise at a time when credit and other financial markets remained fragile," it added. |
The Bank has cut interest rates three times since August as the credit crunch has taken its toll on the wider economy. | The Bank has cut interest rates three times since August as the credit crunch has taken its toll on the wider economy. |
Knife edge | Knife edge |
The BBC's economics editor Hugh Pym said that the next interest rate decision, which is due in August, was also likely to be balanced on a knife-edge. | The BBC's economics editor Hugh Pym said that the next interest rate decision, which is due in August, was also likely to be balanced on a knife-edge. |
He explained that by then there would be more data on the extent of the economic slowdown and the Bank would have updated its inflation forecast. | He explained that by then there would be more data on the extent of the economic slowdown and the Bank would have updated its inflation forecast. |
Ask five economists the same question you will get six different answers Hugh Pym,BBC economics editor Read Hugh's analysis | |
"The old joke says that if you ask five economists the same question you will get six different answers," he said. | |
"It is not such a laughing matter when there are three different answers from the experts striving for the correct response to such troubled times for the economy." | |
Predicament | Predicament |
The vote for a rise in interest rates surprised financial markets and analysts said it signalled that further rate cuts might not be forthcoming. | The vote for a rise in interest rates surprised financial markets and analysts said it signalled that further rate cuts might not be forthcoming. |
Vicky Redwood, UK economist at Capital Economics, said the split would bring talk of a rate rise onto the agenda. | Vicky Redwood, UK economist at Capital Economics, said the split would bring talk of a rate rise onto the agenda. |
"We still think that a rate rise will be avoided. But a rate cut before November at the earliest now looks even more unlikely." | "We still think that a rate rise will be avoided. But a rate cut before November at the earliest now looks even more unlikely." |
It was the first time the nine-strong MPC had been split three ways on the direction of interest rates since May 2006. | It was the first time the nine-strong MPC had been split three ways on the direction of interest rates since May 2006. |