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Inflation climbs to 3.8% in June | Inflation climbs to 3.8% in June |
(9 minutes later) | |
Rising food and fuel costs pushed UK inflation up to an 11-year high of 3.8% in June from 3.3% in May, figures show. | |
The rise means inflation is now well above the government's 2% target, and may reduce the chance of a UK rate cut. | The rise means inflation is now well above the government's 2% target, and may reduce the chance of a UK rate cut. |
The Bank of England, which has already said inflation may top 4% this year, has to balance the need to control inflation with worries over growth. | The Bank of England, which has already said inflation may top 4% this year, has to balance the need to control inflation with worries over growth. |
The RPI inflation measure - often used as a benchmark in pay negotiations - rose to 4.6% in June from 4.3% in May. | The RPI inflation measure - often used as a benchmark in pay negotiations - rose to 4.6% in June from 4.3% in May. |
Food and non-alcoholic drinks were the main factors fuelling the rise in inflation, with prices increasing by a record 2.1%, the ONS said. | Food and non-alcoholic drinks were the main factors fuelling the rise in inflation, with prices increasing by a record 2.1%, the ONS said. |
Meanwhile, surging oil prices have driven up the cost of fuel with the average price of petrol increasing by 5.3p a litre. | Meanwhile, surging oil prices have driven up the cost of fuel with the average price of petrol increasing by 5.3p a litre. |
The only ray of sunshine for consumers during the month was a drop in the cost of shoes and clothes as retailers cut prices in an attempt to attract more business. | The only ray of sunshine for consumers during the month was a drop in the cost of shoes and clothes as retailers cut prices in an attempt to attract more business. |
Rate dilemma | Rate dilemma |
The figures, which came in above forecasts for the third month in a row, mean the Bank of England is now likely to have less breathing space to cut interest rates. | The figures, which came in above forecasts for the third month in a row, mean the Bank of England is now likely to have less breathing space to cut interest rates. |
The Bank is currently trying to balance growing evidence of an economic slowdown against the problem of rising inflation. | The Bank is currently trying to balance growing evidence of an economic slowdown against the problem of rising inflation. |
The fact that the economy's slowing will bring inflation down, but not till next year John Cridland, CBI | The fact that the economy's slowing will bring inflation down, but not till next year John Cridland, CBI |
"The Bank of England can't cut rates until it is convinced inflation is moving downwards," said James Knightley, economist at ING. | "The Bank of England can't cut rates until it is convinced inflation is moving downwards," said James Knightley, economist at ING. |
However, the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) warned it would be a "serious mistake" if the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to tackle rising inflation by raising rates. | However, the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) warned it would be a "serious mistake" if the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to tackle rising inflation by raising rates. |
"Further increases in CPI inflation, to levels above 4%, are inevitable in the next few months whatever the MPC decides to do," said BCC economic adviser David Kern. | "Further increases in CPI inflation, to levels above 4%, are inevitable in the next few months whatever the MPC decides to do," said BCC economic adviser David Kern. |
Economic gloom | Economic gloom |
The inflation figures add to mounting bad news for the economy. | The inflation figures add to mounting bad news for the economy. |
Earlier on Tuesday, the British Retail Consortium said that like-for-like sales on the UK's High Streets were down 0.4% in June compared with a year earlier. | Earlier on Tuesday, the British Retail Consortium said that like-for-like sales on the UK's High Streets were down 0.4% in June compared with a year earlier. |
On Monday, figures showed that factory gate prices - a measure of how much manufacturers charge for their goods - rose 10% in the year to June, the first double-digit annual rise for more than 20 years. | On Monday, figures showed that factory gate prices - a measure of how much manufacturers charge for their goods - rose 10% in the year to June, the first double-digit annual rise for more than 20 years. |
However, the CBI business group said that while UK businesses will be facing a few "tricky" months as consumers tighten their purse strings, there could be a "silver lining" in store for the economy. | However, the CBI business group said that while UK businesses will be facing a few "tricky" months as consumers tighten their purse strings, there could be a "silver lining" in store for the economy. |
"The fact that the economy's slowing will bring inflation down, but not till next year," said CBI deputy director general John Cridland. | "The fact that the economy's slowing will bring inflation down, but not till next year," said CBI deputy director general John Cridland. |