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Inflation climbs to 3.8% in June Inflation climbs to 3.8% in June
(9 minutes later)
Rising food and fuel costs pushed UK inflation up to 3.8% in June from 3.3% in May, official figures have shown. Rising food and fuel costs pushed UK inflation up to an 11-year high of 3.8% in June from 3.3% in May, figures show.
The rise means inflation is now well above the government's 2% target, and may reduce the chance of a UK rate cut.The rise means inflation is now well above the government's 2% target, and may reduce the chance of a UK rate cut.
The Bank of England, which has already said inflation may top 4% this year, has to balance the need to control inflation with worries over growth.The Bank of England, which has already said inflation may top 4% this year, has to balance the need to control inflation with worries over growth.
The RPI inflation measure - often used as a benchmark in pay negotiations - rose to 4.6% in June from 4.3% in May.The RPI inflation measure - often used as a benchmark in pay negotiations - rose to 4.6% in June from 4.3% in May.
Food and non-alcoholic drinks were the main factors fuelling the rise in inflation, with prices increasing by a record 2.1%, the ONS said.Food and non-alcoholic drinks were the main factors fuelling the rise in inflation, with prices increasing by a record 2.1%, the ONS said.
Meanwhile, surging oil prices have driven up the cost of fuel with the average price of petrol increasing by 5.3p a litre.Meanwhile, surging oil prices have driven up the cost of fuel with the average price of petrol increasing by 5.3p a litre.
The only ray of sunshine for consumers during the month was a drop in the cost of shoes and clothes as retailers cut prices in an attempt to attract more business.The only ray of sunshine for consumers during the month was a drop in the cost of shoes and clothes as retailers cut prices in an attempt to attract more business.
Rate dilemmaRate dilemma
The figures, which came in above forecasts for the third month in a row, mean the Bank of England is now likely to have less breathing space to cut interest rates.The figures, which came in above forecasts for the third month in a row, mean the Bank of England is now likely to have less breathing space to cut interest rates.
The Bank is currently trying to balance growing evidence of an economic slowdown against the problem of rising inflation.The Bank is currently trying to balance growing evidence of an economic slowdown against the problem of rising inflation.
The fact that the economy's slowing will bring inflation down, but not till next year John Cridland, CBIThe fact that the economy's slowing will bring inflation down, but not till next year John Cridland, CBI
"The Bank of England can't cut rates until it is convinced inflation is moving downwards," said James Knightley, economist at ING."The Bank of England can't cut rates until it is convinced inflation is moving downwards," said James Knightley, economist at ING.
However, the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) warned it would be a "serious mistake" if the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to tackle rising inflation by raising rates.However, the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) warned it would be a "serious mistake" if the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to tackle rising inflation by raising rates.
"Further increases in CPI inflation, to levels above 4%, are inevitable in the next few months whatever the MPC decides to do," said BCC economic adviser David Kern."Further increases in CPI inflation, to levels above 4%, are inevitable in the next few months whatever the MPC decides to do," said BCC economic adviser David Kern.
Economic gloomEconomic gloom
The inflation figures add to mounting bad news for the economy.The inflation figures add to mounting bad news for the economy.
Earlier on Tuesday, the British Retail Consortium said that like-for-like sales on the UK's High Streets were down 0.4% in June compared with a year earlier.Earlier on Tuesday, the British Retail Consortium said that like-for-like sales on the UK's High Streets were down 0.4% in June compared with a year earlier.
On Monday, figures showed that factory gate prices - a measure of how much manufacturers charge for their goods - rose 10% in the year to June, the first double-digit annual rise for more than 20 years.On Monday, figures showed that factory gate prices - a measure of how much manufacturers charge for their goods - rose 10% in the year to June, the first double-digit annual rise for more than 20 years.
However, the CBI business group said that while UK businesses will be facing a few "tricky" months as consumers tighten their purse strings, there could be a "silver lining" in store for the economy.However, the CBI business group said that while UK businesses will be facing a few "tricky" months as consumers tighten their purse strings, there could be a "silver lining" in store for the economy.
"The fact that the economy's slowing will bring inflation down, but not till next year," said CBI deputy director general John Cridland."The fact that the economy's slowing will bring inflation down, but not till next year," said CBI deputy director general John Cridland.