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South Africa budget targets top earners | South Africa budget targets top earners |
(about 20 hours later) | |
South Africa finance minister Pravin Gordhan has announced a new top tax bracket of 45% in his 2017 budget. | South Africa finance minister Pravin Gordhan has announced a new top tax bracket of 45% in his 2017 budget. |
The new tax bracket, the previous one was 41%, applies to annual incomes of more than 1.5m rand ($114,000, £91,000) and will hit around 100,000 people. | |
Mr Gordhan is battling weak tax receipts which, during the current financial year have been 30bn rand ($2.3bn, £1.8bn) less than expected. | Mr Gordhan is battling weak tax receipts which, during the current financial year have been 30bn rand ($2.3bn, £1.8bn) less than expected. |
He added that government debt had risen to 2.2 trillion rand ($168bn, £135bn). | He added that government debt had risen to 2.2 trillion rand ($168bn, £135bn). |
The shortfall in tax revenue was the largest since 2009-10, with the biggest gap coming in personal income tax, which brought in 15.2 billion rand ($1.1bn, £929m) less than expected. | The shortfall in tax revenue was the largest since 2009-10, with the biggest gap coming in personal income tax, which brought in 15.2 billion rand ($1.1bn, £929m) less than expected. |
The problem was flagged in a mini-budget in October but grew by more than a third from the projected figure at the time. | The problem was flagged in a mini-budget in October but grew by more than a third from the projected figure at the time. |
To counter that, Mr Gordhan revealed a package which should produce a swing of 38 billion rand ($2.9bn, £2.3bn). | To counter that, Mr Gordhan revealed a package which should produce a swing of 38 billion rand ($2.9bn, £2.3bn). |
More than two-thirds will come from the tax increase, which also includes a rise in dividend withholding tax, with the rest from reduced spending. | More than two-thirds will come from the tax increase, which also includes a rise in dividend withholding tax, with the rest from reduced spending. |
Analysis by Matthew Davies, Africa Business Report Editor | |
The big question analysts will now ask is, has Pravin Gordhan done enough to stave off a downgrade from the ratings agencies? | The big question analysts will now ask is, has Pravin Gordhan done enough to stave off a downgrade from the ratings agencies? |
The likes of Moody's and Standard & Poor's, which pronounce on South Africa's sovereign debt in April and June, were watching closely. | The likes of Moody's and Standard & Poor's, which pronounce on South Africa's sovereign debt in April and June, were watching closely. |
The finance minister said the economy would grow by 1.3% this year, which, by his own admission, is not good enough. | The finance minister said the economy would grow by 1.3% this year, which, by his own admission, is not good enough. |
He said the deficit would be 3.1% of GDP, but that would fall in subsequent years. But the question remains...will the deficit fall fast enough and will economic growth pick up? | He said the deficit would be 3.1% of GDP, but that would fall in subsequent years. But the question remains...will the deficit fall fast enough and will economic growth pick up? |
The future is, however, uncertain. With an increasingly combative political climate within the ruling ANC, analysts say that if he does lose his job in a widely-predicted cabinet reshuffle, this budget and some of its prudent measures, will completely unravel. | The future is, however, uncertain. With an increasingly combative political climate within the ruling ANC, analysts say that if he does lose his job in a widely-predicted cabinet reshuffle, this budget and some of its prudent measures, will completely unravel. |
And that, it's thought, will seal the deal for a series of credit downgrades and the accompanying market turmoil. | And that, it's thought, will seal the deal for a series of credit downgrades and the accompanying market turmoil. |
Mr Gordhan also warned of "growing impatience and ferment" over post-apartheid inequality and said: "Economic growth is slow, unemployment is far too high and many businesses and families are under stress. | Mr Gordhan also warned of "growing impatience and ferment" over post-apartheid inequality and said: "Economic growth is slow, unemployment is far too high and many businesses and families are under stress. |
"The relationships between labour and capital, rich and poor, black and white still reflect the entrenched legacy of colonialism and apartheid." | "The relationships between labour and capital, rich and poor, black and white still reflect the entrenched legacy of colonialism and apartheid." |
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