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Ecuador election: Who will succeed Rafael Correa? | Ecuador election: Who will succeed Rafael Correa? |
(3 days later) | |
Ecuadoreans will go to the polls on Sunday to elect a successor to President Rafael Correa after three terms of what he and his administration have dubbed "21st-Century socialism". | Ecuadoreans will go to the polls on Sunday to elect a successor to President Rafael Correa after three terms of what he and his administration have dubbed "21st-Century socialism". |
Why does it matter? | Why does it matter? |
After 10 years in power and three election wins, President Correa will not be running again, so change at the top is inevitable. | After 10 years in power and three election wins, President Correa will not be running again, so change at the top is inevitable. |
When he was first elected in 2007, Mr Correa was one of a group of left-wing leaders in power in Latin America, including Argentina's Nestor Kirchner, Bolivia's Evo Morales, Brazil's Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Cuba's Raul Castro, Nicaragua's Daniel Ortega and Venezuela's Hugo Chavez. | When he was first elected in 2007, Mr Correa was one of a group of left-wing leaders in power in Latin America, including Argentina's Nestor Kirchner, Bolivia's Evo Morales, Brazil's Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, Cuba's Raul Castro, Nicaragua's Daniel Ortega and Venezuela's Hugo Chavez. |
Some observers spoke of a "pink tide" sweeping across the continent. | Some observers spoke of a "pink tide" sweeping across the continent. |
A decade on, Argentina and Brazil are led by conservative presidents, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro faces a hostile legislative and Evo Morales is on his last term after Bolivians rejected a proposal to change the constitution to allow him to run again. | A decade on, Argentina and Brazil are led by conservative presidents, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro faces a hostile legislative and Evo Morales is on his last term after Bolivians rejected a proposal to change the constitution to allow him to run again. |
Will Ecuadoreans follow the lead of Argentines and Peruvians and turn their backs on left-wing politics and favour a conservative candidate? | Will Ecuadoreans follow the lead of Argentines and Peruvians and turn their backs on left-wing politics and favour a conservative candidate? |
Or will they favour the man who served as Mr Correa's vice-president? | Or will they favour the man who served as Mr Correa's vice-president? |
Who are the main contenders? | Who are the main contenders? |
With Mr Correa not running again, his governing leftist Alianza PAIS (Country Alliance) party threw its weight behind former vice-president Lenin Moreno. | With Mr Correa not running again, his governing leftist Alianza PAIS (Country Alliance) party threw its weight behind former vice-president Lenin Moreno. |
Despite having been a key figure in Mr Correa's cabinet between 2007-2013, Mr Moreno has sought to differentiate himself from the outgoing leader. | Despite having been a key figure in Mr Correa's cabinet between 2007-2013, Mr Moreno has sought to differentiate himself from the outgoing leader. |
Challenged when he disagreed with the president about tax policies, Mr Moreno simply stated: "The President has the right to think differently. Each one decides in his own government." | Challenged when he disagreed with the president about tax policies, Mr Moreno simply stated: "The President has the right to think differently. Each one decides in his own government." |
Observers say the 63-year-old's style is less confrontational than that of Mr Correa and they suspect Mr Moreno may try to jettison some aspects of his predecessor's socialist policies. | Observers say the 63-year-old's style is less confrontational than that of Mr Correa and they suspect Mr Moreno may try to jettison some aspects of his predecessor's socialist policies. |
As vice-president, Mr Moreno, who became paraplegic after being shot in the back in 1998, set out to improve the rights of people with disabilities. | As vice-president, Mr Moreno, who became paraplegic after being shot in the back in 1998, set out to improve the rights of people with disabilities. |
Not only did he give motivational talks, he also published books on humour and happiness with titles proclaiming: "Being Happy is Easy and Fun". | Not only did he give motivational talks, he also published books on humour and happiness with titles proclaiming: "Being Happy is Easy and Fun". |
Most recently, he served as UN Special Envoy on Disability and Accessibility. | Most recently, he served as UN Special Envoy on Disability and Accessibility. |
Among his main campaign promises are increasing employment opportunities and ensuring that all Ecuadoreans have the chance to go on to higher education. | Among his main campaign promises are increasing employment opportunities and ensuring that all Ecuadoreans have the chance to go on to higher education. |
Most polls suggest Mr Moreno is likely to get a majority of the votes on 19 February, but not the 40% needed to win outright in the first round. | Most polls suggest Mr Moreno is likely to get a majority of the votes on 19 February, but not the 40% needed to win outright in the first round. |
The 'business-friendly' man | The 'business-friendly' man |
His main rival is centre-right businessman and former presidential candidate Guillermo Lasso. | His main rival is centre-right businessman and former presidential candidate Guillermo Lasso. |
The 61-year-old is running for the Creando Oportunidades (Creating Opportunities) party. | The 61-year-old is running for the Creando Oportunidades (Creating Opportunities) party. |
A banker, Mr Lasso wants to create jobs by promoting foreign investment and has promised to cut taxes for big companies. | A banker, Mr Lasso wants to create jobs by promoting foreign investment and has promised to cut taxes for big companies. |
He also has plans to make Ecuador's central bank independent of the government. The youngest of 11 children, he says he wants to "create an Ecuador with opportunities for all". | He also has plans to make Ecuador's central bank independent of the government. The youngest of 11 children, he says he wants to "create an Ecuador with opportunities for all". |
'No government waste' | 'No government waste' |
Hot on his heels in the polls is Christian-Socialist candidate Cynthia Viteri. | Hot on his heels in the polls is Christian-Socialist candidate Cynthia Viteri. |
The 51-year-old lawyer has also pledged to cut taxes to promote job creation. She wants to slash government spending by at least $700m (£560m) on existing programmes she calls "luxuries". | The 51-year-old lawyer has also pledged to cut taxes to promote job creation. She wants to slash government spending by at least $700m (£560m) on existing programmes she calls "luxuries". |
What awaits the winner? | What awaits the winner? |
If whoever wins the first round on 19 February does not get 40% or more of the vote, a run-off will be held on 2 April. | If whoever wins the first round on 19 February does not get 40% or more of the vote, a run-off will be held on 2 April. |
The eventual winner of the election will be sworn in to a four-year term in May. | The eventual winner of the election will be sworn in to a four-year term in May. |
Economic recovery is likely to be a top priority for Ecuador. The oil-exporting country has suffered from a drop in international oil prices and has seen its GDP contract 1.7% in 2016. | Economic recovery is likely to be a top priority for Ecuador. The oil-exporting country has suffered from a drop in international oil prices and has seen its GDP contract 1.7% in 2016. |
Corruption is another major problem with officials from Brazilian construction giant Odebrecht recently revealing that they paid close to $35.5m in bribes to Ecuadorean officials in exchange for contracts. | Corruption is another major problem with officials from Brazilian construction giant Odebrecht recently revealing that they paid close to $35.5m in bribes to Ecuadorean officials in exchange for contracts. |
Officials of Mr Correa's government, including his former energy minister Carlos Pareja, are also under investigation over the granting of contracts by state-owned oil company Petroecuador. | |
In foreign policy, the new president will have to deal with US President Donald Trump and his potentially more protectionist economic policies. | In foreign policy, the new president will have to deal with US President Donald Trump and his potentially more protectionist economic policies. |
He or she will also have to adapt to a shift of alliances in the region, following the departure from power of left-wing governments in Argentina, Brazil and Peru over the last two years. | He or she will also have to adapt to a shift of alliances in the region, following the departure from power of left-wing governments in Argentina, Brazil and Peru over the last two years. |
What is Mr Correa's legacy? | What is Mr Correa's legacy? |
Rafael Correa was elected in 2007 on a promise of bringing radical social and political reforms to Ecuador. | Rafael Correa was elected in 2007 on a promise of bringing radical social and political reforms to Ecuador. |
During his tenure, Mr Correa increased government spending on social programmes and looked to diversify Ecuador's trade and political relationships. | During his tenure, Mr Correa increased government spending on social programmes and looked to diversify Ecuador's trade and political relationships. |
He forged close ties with the left-wing regional group Alba, which includes Cuba, Nicaragua and Venezuela among others. | He forged close ties with the left-wing regional group Alba, which includes Cuba, Nicaragua and Venezuela among others. |
He also moved Ecuador much closer economically to China, which is now one of the country's major creditors and trade partners. | He also moved Ecuador much closer economically to China, which is now one of the country's major creditors and trade partners. |
Mr Correa has been credited with reducing poverty until 2014, when the oil price slump hit government revenue and its ability to finance poverty reduction programmes. | Mr Correa has been credited with reducing poverty until 2014, when the oil price slump hit government revenue and its ability to finance poverty reduction programmes. |
But recent corruption scandals and Mr Correa's frequent clashes with the media have produced some disillusionment. | But recent corruption scandals and Mr Correa's frequent clashes with the media have produced some disillusionment. |
One poll suggests 70% of Ecuadoreans want "important changes" to be made. | One poll suggests 70% of Ecuadoreans want "important changes" to be made. |
Voting is mandatory and more than 12 million people are entitled to vote for the president, the vice-president and also 137 seats in the legislature. | Voting is mandatory and more than 12 million people are entitled to vote for the president, the vice-president and also 137 seats in the legislature. |
BBC Monitoring reports and analyses news from TV, radio, web and print media around the world. You can follow BBC Monitoring on Twitter and Facebook. | BBC Monitoring reports and analyses news from TV, radio, web and print media around the world. You can follow BBC Monitoring on Twitter and Facebook. |
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