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Fillon payment inquiry: What you need to know | Fillon payment inquiry: What you need to know |
(30 days later) | |
He was once the favourite to win the French presidency, but centre-right candidate Francois Fillon's fortunes have been dramatically dented by a "fake jobs" row. | |
His Welsh-born wife, Penelope, has become caught up in a controversy surrounding her work as a parliamentary assistant. As the presidential race hots up, Mr Fillon, a one-time prime minister, faces a formal judicial investigation and has spoken of a "political assassination". | |
What did Penelope do wrong? | What did Penelope do wrong? |
Nothing, say Francois Fillon and his wife, who insist everything was above board. But prosecutors decided there was sufficient evidence to open a full judicial inquiry into abuse of public funds. | |
The question is: did she do the work she was paid for? Satirical weekly Le Canard Enchaine alleged in late January that she did not - and got €831,400 (£710,000; $900,000) for her trouble. | |
She was employed as her husband's parliamentary assistant from 1988-90 and again in 1998-2002 and then by his successor, Marc Jouland, from 2002-2007. She worked again for Mr Fillon from 2012-13. That is all very well if she actually did the work, but one report suggests she did not have a parliamentary pass or a work email. | She was employed as her husband's parliamentary assistant from 1988-90 and again in 1998-2002 and then by his successor, Marc Jouland, from 2002-2007. She worked again for Mr Fillon from 2012-13. That is all very well if she actually did the work, but one report suggests she did not have a parliamentary pass or a work email. |
According to Le Canard, she also pocketed €100,000 for writing just a handful of articles for a literary review La Revue des Deux Mondes, owned by a billionaire friend of the family, Marc Ladreit de Lacharriere. | According to Le Canard, she also pocketed €100,000 for writing just a handful of articles for a literary review La Revue des Deux Mondes, owned by a billionaire friend of the family, Marc Ladreit de Lacharriere. |
And then there are the children too. Marie and Charles Fillon were paid by their father's office for legal work, but were not yet qualified lawyers, says the weekly. Investigators have also been looking into this. | |
Is Francois Fillon out of the race? | |
It does not look good. Mr Fillon has fought relentlessly to stay in the campaign and until now has kept much of his party behind him. | |
But that might change. | |
Mr Fillon, 62, said initially that he would resign if he was placed under formal investigation. That is now likely to happen on 15 March, when he has been summoned to appear before lead judge Serge Tournaire. | |
And yet he is still there, arguing that he is being unfairly targeted. "The closer we get to the date of the presidential election, the more scandalous it would be to deprive the right and centre of a candidate," he said. | |
That change of mind has pushed a key member of his Republican team, Bruno Lemaire, to leave the campaign saying he believes in keeping his word. After all, Mr Fillon built his campaign on a platform of honesty and honour. | |
Mr Fillon has now slipped to third in the opinion polls. One poll suggested 76% of voters were unimpressed with his claims of innocence. | |
If he were among the top two candidates to reach the second round on 7 May, he could win, but that seems unlikely at this point. | |
Does Fillon have a defence? | Does Fillon have a defence? |
Francois Fillon initially complained of an "institutional coup d'etat" orchestrated by the left. There may well have been a campaign to target him. | |
Now that the judiciary is pushing ahead with a full investigation he speaks of a "political assassination", of being in the cross-hairs of magistrates and media. | |
But he will need more than rhetoric to help him. | |
Asked by French TV about the work that his wife had done, he said: "She corrected my speeches, she received countless guests, she represented me in protests, she passed on people's requests... she did it willingly for years." | Asked by French TV about the work that his wife had done, he said: "She corrected my speeches, she received countless guests, she represented me in protests, she passed on people's requests... she did it willingly for years." |
Family lawyer Antonin Levy insisted that Penelope Fillon had explained that her absence from any workplace was because her husband had no constituency office. "That role was filled from their home, and in your view who is at home... if there is no office? Penelope Fillon, of course," he said. | |
The Fillons' lawyers have reiterated the family's innocence, promising that would be recognised eventually by independent judges. | |
Does Fillon have a leg to stand on? | Does Fillon have a leg to stand on? |
Well, yes he does. It is really not unusual for French MPs to employ a member of their own family. French website Mediapart worked out that 115 out of 577 MPs did just that, either on a full- or part-time basis. | |
And in France there is nothing illegal about it, assuming they actually do the work. | And in France there is nothing illegal about it, assuming they actually do the work. |
What might prove awkward is that few people have any recollection of Mrs Fillon doing any work. Michel Crepu, an ex-editor of the literary review that apparently paid her €100,000, told Le Canard Enchaine that she published two or three literary reviews but he had never met her and "never seen her in the office". | What might prove awkward is that few people have any recollection of Mrs Fillon doing any work. Michel Crepu, an ex-editor of the literary review that apparently paid her €100,000, told Le Canard Enchaine that she published two or three literary reviews but he had never met her and "never seen her in the office". |
Then there are Penelope Fillon's own words. French TV broadcast a video from a 2007 Sunday Telegraph interview in which she says: "I've never been his assistant or anything of that kind... I didn't handle his PR either." | |
Mr Fillon dismissed the remarks as out of context, and said first and foremost she had been a partner rather than a subordinate. | |
Is it too late for him to resign? | |
It certainly is too late to re-run a vote in which more than four million people took part. | |
If the Republicans want to replace him, that chance is fast disappearing. The deadline for candidates to submit their applications is 17 March, two days after Mr Fillon faces the judge. | |
Primary runner-up and Bordeaux Mayor Alain Juppe, 71, was the only potential alternative but he has shown no interest in running. He refused to stand in as a "Plan B". | |
So who stands to gain from the controversy? | |
Francois Fillon's main rivals in the presidential race are the clear winners so far. | |
Far-right National Front leader Marine Le Pen is expected to win the first round of the presidential vote in April, although she is still on course for defeat in the May run-off, opinion polls suggest. | Far-right National Front leader Marine Le Pen is expected to win the first round of the presidential vote in April, although she is still on course for defeat in the May run-off, opinion polls suggest. |
Ms Le Pen has her own "fake jobs" row to deal with. The FN is under investigation for alleged misuse of EU funds and the Ms Le Penhas refused a police interview because she has immunity as a member of the European Parliament. | |
At least three FN officials, including her personal assistant, are under judicial investigation in France over the affair. | |
So it is Emmanuel Macron, the centrist, young ex-economy minister, who has come from nowhere and is fast emerging as the person with most to gain. If a Republican candidate fails to make the run-off, then he would be favourite. | So it is Emmanuel Macron, the centrist, young ex-economy minister, who has come from nowhere and is fast emerging as the person with most to gain. If a Republican candidate fails to make the run-off, then he would be favourite. |