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For Russia and Putin, a Surprise Gift From America For Russia and Putin, a Surprise Gift From America
(about 2 hours later)
MOSCOW — The victory of Donald J. Trump declared early Wednesday was an unexpected bonus for the Kremlin, which had used the long, tortured United States election campaign to prove the global reach of its disruptive disinformation operations and to cast doubt on the entire Western democratic process. MOSCOW — The victory of Donald J. Trump declared early on Wednesday was an unexpected bonus for the Kremlin, which had used the long, tortured United States election campaign to prove the global reach of its disruptive disinformation operations and to cast doubt on the entire Western democratic process.
In some ways the result was less important to President Vladimir V. Putin than the fact that Moscow could exploit the entire campaign as evidence that the West was in chaotic decline. In some ways the result was less important to President Vladimir V. Putin than the fact that Moscow could exploit the campaign as evidence that the West was in chaotic decline.
Still, given Mr. Trump’s positive statements toward Russia on crucial issues like its annexation of Crimea and the sense that his lack of foreign policy experience could be exploited, Russian analysts predicted that the champagne corks would be popping at the Kremlin. Mr. Putin coolly congratulated Mr. Trump on his victory on Wednesday, expressing hope that the two could work together in a “constructive dialogue” to solve international crises, including the issue of security, according to a summary of the message on the official Kremlin website.
“Trump’s presidency will make the U.S. sink into a full-blown crisis, including an economic one,” said Vladimir Frolov, a prominent international affairs analyst. Yet, there was no mistaking the enthusiasm with which the Kremlin viewed Mr. Trump’s ascension. His lack of foreign policy experience, questioning of NATO, open admiration for the Russian leader and seeming acceptance of Russia’s annexation of Crimea all seemed to play into the Kremlin’s hands.
“The U.S. will be occupied with its own issues and will not bother Putin with questions,” he said. “As a consequence, Moscow will have a window of opportunity in geopolitical terms. For instance, it can claim control over the former Soviet Union and a part of the Middle East. What is there not to like?” Prominent analysts gloated about the opportunity this presented for Russia to extend its global influence and, possibly, shed economic sanctions imposed by the United States and Europe over Crimea and Ukraine.
The mood extended beyond the Kremlin. The state-controlled news media has given constant attention to the campaign, particularly to the fact that Mr. Trump, far from demonizing Mr. Putin like most Western politicians, praised him as a strong leader. “Undoubtedly, they are drinking champagne, and for two reasons: one is political, the other psychological,” said Gleb O. Pavlovsky, a political consultant who once worked for the Kremlin.
“Trump said he respects the president. He said he will talk to Russia,” said Maria V. Katasonova, 21, the organizer of a Trump support party at the Union Jack pub in Moscow that went on all night. “It is a positive moment that will turn down the temperature of international relations.” The political reason is that Russia benefits from disarray in the global order, he said, and psychologically the Kremlin feels more in tune with the anti-establishment view of Trump. Overall, he and others said, there is joy that the liberal establishment in the West has suffered another defeat.
There was little love for Hillary Clinton in Russia. Mr. Putin has always accused her of supporting the mass demonstrations that greeted his return to the presidency in 2012, and senior officials repeatedly derided her as one of the key architects of regime change that brought war to the Middle East and Ukraine. The mood extended beyond the Kremlin. The state-controlled news media has given constant attention to the campaign, particularly to the fact that Mr. Trump, far from demonizing Mr. Putin, as most Western politicians do, praised him as a strong leader.
“A lot of Russians like Trump. One phrase explains it: War and peace,” said Ms. Katasonova, who was wearing a blue Trump-Pence T-shirt. “Hillary is war, Trump is peace.” “Trump said he respects the president,” said Maria V. Katasonova, 21, the organizer of a Trump support party at the Union Jack pub in Moscow that went on all night. “He said
he will talk to Russia. It is a positive moment that will turn down the temperature of international relations.”
There was little love for the Democratic nominee, Hillary Clinton. Mr. Putin has always accused her of supporting the mass demonstrations that greeted his return to the presidency in 2012, and senior officials repeatedly derided her as one of the key architects of regime change that, in the officials’ view, brought war and chaos to Libya, Syria and Ukraine.
“A lot of Russians like Trump,” said Ms. Katasonova, who was wearing a blue Trump-Pence T-shirt. “ One phrase explains it: ‘war and peace.’ Hillary is war, Trump is peace.”
By dawn, the crowd of supporters had dwindled to about a dozen from 100 the previous night. Still drinking whiskey and beer, they cheered every announcement of a Trump win on CNN.By dawn, the crowd of supporters had dwindled to about a dozen from 100 the previous night. Still drinking whiskey and beer, they cheered every announcement of a Trump win on CNN.
The wall of the bar was decorated with dewy portraits of Mr. Putin, Mr. Trump and Marine Le Pen, the leader of the far-right National Front in France. Russia has given financial backing to Ms. Le Pen, a major critic of the European Union and Europe’s welcome mat for immigrants, and other organizations on the far right and far left in Europe.The wall of the bar was decorated with dewy portraits of Mr. Putin, Mr. Trump and Marine Le Pen, the leader of the far-right National Front in France. Russia has given financial backing to Ms. Le Pen, a major critic of the European Union and Europe’s welcome mat for immigrants, and other organizations on the far right and far left in Europe.
Ever since annexing Crimea in March 2014, Russia has heightened a disinformation campaign in the West, painting it as violent, disorderly, flooded with immigrants and inherently undemocratic. Drawing from traditions since the Cold War, the “active measures” promoted by Russia included fake coverage about rape by immigrants or arms sales to the Middle East. Ever since annexing Crimea in March 2014, Russia has heightened a disinformation campaign in the West, painting it as violent, disorderly, flooded with immigrants and inherently undemocratic. Drawing from traditions developed during the Cold War, the “active measures” promoted by Russia included fake coverage about rape by immigrants, or arms sales to the Middle East.
News outlets like the RT satellite television network and Sputnik show Western Europe as awash in demonstrations and also supported the vote in Britain to leave the European Union, known as Brexit. News outlets like the RT satellite television network and Sputnik show Western Europe as awash in demonstrations. They also supported the vote in Britain to leave the European Union, known as Brexit.
If Europe was important, however, finding the means to sow doubt and insecurity about the political system in the United States, the last remaining superpower, was the big prize.If Europe was important, however, finding the means to sow doubt and insecurity about the political system in the United States, the last remaining superpower, was the big prize.
Television has been relentless in trying to paint the American system as flawed, suggesting that the process was not better than that in Russia. One prominent Russian politician even joked about it before the votes came in.Television has been relentless in trying to paint the American system as flawed, suggesting that the process was not better than that in Russia. One prominent Russian politician even joked about it before the votes came in.
Gennady A. Zyuganov, the longstanding leader of the Communist Party, said that Mrs. Clinton was smart but not good for the country. “If Americans will vote honestly, I think Trump will make it, but if they will vote like here, then Hillary will win,” he said. Gennadi A. Zyuganov, the longstanding leader of the Communist Party, said that Mrs. Clinton was smart but not good for Russia. “If Americans will vote honestly, I think Trump will make it, but if they will vote like here, then Hillary will win,” he said.
If the Cold War was rooted in ideological differences, the new Russian goal is to show that all political systems are equally bad. Also by interfering in conflicts like those in Ukraine and Syria, Mr. Putin has sought to reassert Russia’s role as a global power to be reckoned with.If the Cold War was rooted in ideological differences, the new Russian goal is to show that all political systems are equally bad. Also by interfering in conflicts like those in Ukraine and Syria, Mr. Putin has sought to reassert Russia’s role as a global power to be reckoned with.
Dmitry Kiselyev, the most prominent anchor on state television, called the United States election campaign the dirtiest in that country’s history, saying it provoked “disgust” toward what is somehow still called democracy. He also said that whoever was elected would not be legitimate and would face constant legal challenges.Dmitry Kiselyev, the most prominent anchor on state television, called the United States election campaign the dirtiest in that country’s history, saying it provoked “disgust” toward what is somehow still called democracy. He also said that whoever was elected would not be legitimate and would face constant legal challenges.
As voting started, Margarita Simonyan, the head of the English-language RT satellite television network and a former high school exchange student in New Hampshire, posted on Twitter, “Democracy. R.I.P.”As voting started, Margarita Simonyan, the head of the English-language RT satellite television network and a former high school exchange student in New Hampshire, posted on Twitter, “Democracy. R.I.P.”
More directly, senior security officials in Washington linked Russia to hacking attacks at the Democratic Party headquarters that led to leaked emails in October that proved embarrassing to the Clinton campaign.More directly, senior security officials in Washington linked Russia to hacking attacks at the Democratic Party headquarters that led to leaked emails in October that proved embarrassing to the Clinton campaign.
Mr. Trump encouraged Russia to disclose more of Mrs. Clinton’s emails, leading her to accuse him of being a “Russian puppet.” Mr. Trump, in the last debate, shot back, “Not a puppet, not a puppet.”Mr. Trump encouraged Russia to disclose more of Mrs. Clinton’s emails, leading her to accuse him of being a “Russian puppet.” Mr. Trump, in the last debate, shot back, “Not a puppet, not a puppet.”
Mr. Putin denied any direct state role in the leaks, saying that the American news media should pay attention to the content, not the source. Still, he gloated that Russia was front and center in the campaign, no longer ignored.Mr. Putin denied any direct state role in the leaks, saying that the American news media should pay attention to the content, not the source. Still, he gloated that Russia was front and center in the campaign, no longer ignored.
“Today, the No. 1 problem in the entire election campaign is Russia. It is the main talking point,” Mr. Putin told a group of mostly foreign Russia experts in October.“Today, the No. 1 problem in the entire election campaign is Russia. It is the main talking point,” Mr. Putin told a group of mostly foreign Russia experts in October.
“That is very welcome of course, but only partially,” he continued. “Why partially? Because all participants in this process are abusing anti-Russian rhetoric and spoiling our interstate relations. And this is bad both for our countries and for the entire international community.” “That is very welcome, of course, but only partially,” he continued. “Why partially? Because all participants in this process are abusing anti-Russian rhetoric and spoiling our interstate relations. And this is bad both for our countries and for the entire international community.”
As the results began to hint at a Trump victory, his Russian supporters could not quite believe it. “Operation Unthinkable. World history has changed its course,” Egor Kholmogorov, an outspoken nationalist, wrote on his Facebook page.As the results began to hint at a Trump victory, his Russian supporters could not quite believe it. “Operation Unthinkable. World history has changed its course,” Egor Kholmogorov, an outspoken nationalist, wrote on his Facebook page.
Of course, various more sober policy analysts were sanguine about whether Mr. Trump’s positive statements about Russia would result in improved ties and perhaps easing some economic sanctions imposed after the annexation of Crimea and the destabilization of Ukraine.Of course, various more sober policy analysts were sanguine about whether Mr. Trump’s positive statements about Russia would result in improved ties and perhaps easing some economic sanctions imposed after the annexation of Crimea and the destabilization of Ukraine.
“I don’t think we should exaggerate the importance of the kind words that Trump has said about the Russian leadership,” Aleksei Arabatov, an international relations expert, said in an interview on Echo of Moscow radio station. “He said good things at the beginning, he said bad things, and now he said that he doesn’t know. This is a man who adjusts himself to the circumstances and to the public he speaks in front of.”“I don’t think we should exaggerate the importance of the kind words that Trump has said about the Russian leadership,” Aleksei Arabatov, an international relations expert, said in an interview on Echo of Moscow radio station. “He said good things at the beginning, he said bad things, and now he said that he doesn’t know. This is a man who adjusts himself to the circumstances and to the public he speaks in front of.”