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Hurricane Matthew: storm weakens but still threatens Georgia and Carolinas – live | |
(35 minutes later) | |
10.12pm BST | |
22:12 | |
National Hurricane Center downgrades Matthew to Cat 2 | |
Hurricane Matthew has been downgraded to a Category 2 storm, according to the latest update from the National Hurricane Center issued just now. | |
In a release, the center said that “we have been very fortunate that Matthew’s strongest winds have remained a short distance offshore of the Florida Coast thus far, but this should not be a reason to let down our guard,” adding that only a small deviation to the left of the forecast track could bring the winds onshore. | |
The western eyewall of the storm, which contains the strongest winds, is still expected to move “over or very near” the coast of north-eastern Florida and Georgia tonight. | |
10.03pm BST | |
22:03 | |
Some pictures of the flooding on Florida’s Atlantic coast as Hurricane Matthew slams low-lying towns with heavy rain and heavy storm-surge: | |
9.47pm BST | 9.47pm BST |
21:47 | 21:47 |
The US Geological Survey (USGS) is working to try to work out what effect this storm could have on coastal erosion. | The US Geological Survey (USGS) is working to try to work out what effect this storm could have on coastal erosion. |
In a release, Hilary Stockdon, a research oceanographer with the USGS, said that “strong winds will create dangerous waves and surge over a large stretch of the coastline, leading to extensive beach and dune erosion.” | In a release, Hilary Stockdon, a research oceanographer with the USGS, said that “strong winds will create dangerous waves and surge over a large stretch of the coastline, leading to extensive beach and dune erosion.” |
The report continues: | The report continues: |
Results of the modeling indicate Hurricane Matthew could have a significant impact on the beaches and dunes of the Southeastern United States. | Results of the modeling indicate Hurricane Matthew could have a significant impact on the beaches and dunes of the Southeastern United States. |
As of Thursday morning, the coastal change model estimates that Florida’s large eastern coastline has an 80-percent likely chance of beach erosion from Miami to the state border. | As of Thursday morning, the coastal change model estimates that Florida’s large eastern coastline has an 80-percent likely chance of beach erosion from Miami to the state border. |
Georgia’s smaller coastline is estimated to have a 95-percent likely chance of beach erosion while South Carolina has an 85-percent likely chance of experiencing beach erosion across it’s coastline. Because the projections are based on storm-surge forecasts, they change each time the storm surge forecast is updated. | Georgia’s smaller coastline is estimated to have a 95-percent likely chance of beach erosion while South Carolina has an 85-percent likely chance of experiencing beach erosion across it’s coastline. Because the projections are based on storm-surge forecasts, they change each time the storm surge forecast is updated. |
Beach erosion is only the first level of damage a major storm can cause, the USGS said. | Beach erosion is only the first level of damage a major storm can cause, the USGS said. |
As waves and surge reach higher than the top of the dune, overwash occurs, often transporting large amounts of sand across coastal environments, depositing sand inland and causing significant changes to the landscape. | As waves and surge reach higher than the top of the dune, overwash occurs, often transporting large amounts of sand across coastal environments, depositing sand inland and causing significant changes to the landscape. |
A real-time USGS map of the coastal change hazards can be found here. | A real-time USGS map of the coastal change hazards can be found here. |
9.34pm BST | 9.34pm BST |
21:34 | 21:34 |
More than 1m people in Florida are now without power, the Associated Press is reporting. | More than 1m people in Florida are now without power, the Associated Press is reporting. |
State officials released updated totals on Friday that showed that the powerful Category 3 storm had knocked out electricity over a wide stretch of the state’s eastern coast. | State officials released updated totals on Friday that showed that the powerful Category 3 storm had knocked out electricity over a wide stretch of the state’s eastern coast. |
Most of the customers in Flagler and Volusia County the home to Daytona Beach were without power. Other hard hit areas include Brevard and Indian River counties. | Most of the customers in Flagler and Volusia County the home to Daytona Beach were without power. Other hard hit areas include Brevard and Indian River counties. |
The storm was strong enough to also cause outages in Central Florida. More than 100,000 who live in the Orlando area are without electricity. | The storm was strong enough to also cause outages in Central Florida. More than 100,000 who live in the Orlando area are without electricity. |
In Jacksonville Beach, currently close to the storm’s eye-wall, parts of the pier appear to have been ripped apart by the stormy seas: | In Jacksonville Beach, currently close to the storm’s eye-wall, parts of the pier appear to have been ripped apart by the stormy seas: |
HAPPENING NOW: Parts of Jacksonville Beach Pier have been ripped away into ocean. @wjxt4 #HurricaneMatthew pic.twitter.com/ZK3dRPgwrv | HAPPENING NOW: Parts of Jacksonville Beach Pier have been ripped away into ocean. @wjxt4 #HurricaneMatthew pic.twitter.com/ZK3dRPgwrv |
9.24pm BST | 9.24pm BST |
21:24 | 21:24 |
Some more granular detail on what to expect over the next day or so from the National Hurricane Center. | Some more granular detail on what to expect over the next day or so from the National Hurricane Center. |
Matthew is expected to change little in intensity during the next 6 to 12 hours, but it should begin to weaken at a faster pace in 24 hours. | Matthew is expected to change little in intensity during the next 6 to 12 hours, but it should begin to weaken at a faster pace in 24 hours. |
Matthew is reaching the northwestern edge of the subtropical ridge and encounter the mid-latitude westerlies. This flow pattern should steer the hurricane northward and then northeastward during the next 36 hours. After that time, the flow pattern is forecast to change again and a weakening Matthew should then turn southward and southwestward. | Matthew is reaching the northwestern edge of the subtropical ridge and encounter the mid-latitude westerlies. This flow pattern should steer the hurricane northward and then northeastward during the next 36 hours. After that time, the flow pattern is forecast to change again and a weakening Matthew should then turn southward and southwestward. |
We have been very fortunate that Matthew’s category 3 winds have remained a short distance offshore of the Florida Coast thus far, but this should not be a reason to let down our guard. Only a small deviation to the left of the forecast track could bring these winds onshore. | We have been very fortunate that Matthew’s category 3 winds have remained a short distance offshore of the Florida Coast thus far, but this should not be a reason to let down our guard. Only a small deviation to the left of the forecast track could bring these winds onshore. |
The key takeaways: | The key takeaways: |
Updated | Updated |
at 9.25pm BST | at 9.25pm BST |
9.20pm BST | 9.20pm BST |
21:20 | 21:20 |
Second US death as a result of Hurricane Matthew | Second US death as a result of Hurricane Matthew |
A woman in Volusia County, Florida, was killed by a falling tree after going out to feed her animals, officials said. | A woman in Volusia County, Florida, was killed by a falling tree after going out to feed her animals, officials said. |
8.56pm BST | 8.56pm BST |
20:56 | 20:56 |
So far, Hurricane Matthew has spared Florida its worst winds, with the eye-wall only glancingly striking parts of the coast, Dr Steven Godby, an expert on natural hazards at Nottingham Trent University, told the Guardian. | So far, Hurricane Matthew has spared Florida its worst winds, with the eye-wall only glancingly striking parts of the coast, Dr Steven Godby, an expert on natural hazards at Nottingham Trent University, told the Guardian. |
Matthew is grazing the coast of Florida without quite making landfall as the forecast models have been predicting and, if this remains the case, then the Florida coast will be spared the most powerful winds which are wrapped around the storm’s inner core. | Matthew is grazing the coast of Florida without quite making landfall as the forecast models have been predicting and, if this remains the case, then the Florida coast will be spared the most powerful winds which are wrapped around the storm’s inner core. |
On the downside this means that the north Florida and Georgia coastlines can expect several hours of high winds, enough to cause structural damage and affect power supplies. | On the downside this means that the north Florida and Georgia coastlines can expect several hours of high winds, enough to cause structural damage and affect power supplies. |
A direct hit on the coast would have brought far more damage but this scenario means a wider area will be affected. | A direct hit on the coast would have brought far more damage but this scenario means a wider area will be affected. |
However, Godby said that a wobble to the west by 20-30 miles would bring the most powerful winds around the eye of Matthew ashore. | However, Godby said that a wobble to the west by 20-30 miles would bring the most powerful winds around the eye of Matthew ashore. |
A very large hurricane #Matthew continues to rotate northward along the east cost of Florida Friday afternoon. pic.twitter.com/1b5ckfEzLL | A very large hurricane #Matthew continues to rotate northward along the east cost of Florida Friday afternoon. pic.twitter.com/1b5ckfEzLL |
8.46pm BST | 8.46pm BST |
20:46 | 20:46 |
According to the latest National Hurricane Center position update, issued at 3PM EST, the center of Hurricane Matthew is about 25 miles off the east coast of Florida between St Augustine and Jacksonville, and is currently moving north/northwest at 12 miles an hour. | According to the latest National Hurricane Center position update, issued at 3PM EST, the center of Hurricane Matthew is about 25 miles off the east coast of Florida between St Augustine and Jacksonville, and is currently moving north/northwest at 12 miles an hour. |
This is the opposite view @RussellANjax had. People looking out from St. Augustine B&B at rising water. @ActionNewsJax #HurricaneMatthew pic.twitter.com/ahdB6X7izQ | This is the opposite view @RussellANjax had. People looking out from St. Augustine B&B at rising water. @ActionNewsJax #HurricaneMatthew pic.twitter.com/ahdB6X7izQ |
Its maximum sustained wind speed is 115 miles per hour, the NHC said. | Its maximum sustained wind speed is 115 miles per hour, the NHC said. |
8.39pm BST | 8.39pm BST |
20:39 | 20:39 |
It’s not just people who need to hunker down for a storm like Hurricane Matthew: zoos and wildlife parks face unique challenges in keeping their animals safe from the storm - and from each other - in confined spaces while they wait for the storm to pass. | It’s not just people who need to hunker down for a storm like Hurricane Matthew: zoos and wildlife parks face unique challenges in keeping their animals safe from the storm - and from each other - in confined spaces while they wait for the storm to pass. |
St Augustine Alligator Farm and Zoological Park in St Augustine, Florida, has moved all its birds and mammals to the concrete safety of the Komodo Dragon building, and the park has been giving regular updates via its Facebook page: | St Augustine Alligator Farm and Zoological Park in St Augustine, Florida, has moved all its birds and mammals to the concrete safety of the Komodo Dragon building, and the park has been giving regular updates via its Facebook page: |
8.22pm BST | 8.22pm BST |
20:22 | 20:22 |
Nicky Woolf here, taking over from my colleague Jessica Glenza. | Nicky Woolf here, taking over from my colleague Jessica Glenza. |
Hurricane Matthew’s trail of destruction in Haiti has stunned those viewing the aftermath, with the number of dead soaring as high as 842. | Hurricane Matthew’s trail of destruction in Haiti has stunned those viewing the aftermath, with the number of dead soaring as high as 842. |
Tens of thousands have been made homeless, and crops have been destroyed. | Tens of thousands have been made homeless, and crops have been destroyed. |
With fatalities mounting, various government agencies and committees differed on total deaths. A Reuters count of deaths reported by civil protection and local officials put the toll at 842. | With fatalities mounting, various government agencies and committees differed on total deaths. A Reuters count of deaths reported by civil protection and local officials put the toll at 842. |
Hurricane Matthew arrived thrashing at the door of Rosemika’s house in Croix-des-Bouquets, Haiti, at 6am on Tuesday, the Guardian’s Sam Jones reports. | Hurricane Matthew arrived thrashing at the door of Rosemika’s house in Croix-des-Bouquets, Haiti, at 6am on Tuesday, the Guardian’s Sam Jones reports. |
“It happened so quickly and suddenly,” the 10-year-old told aid workers. “I heard my neighbour screaming: ‘Water! Water everywhere!’ It had completely surrounded us.” | “It happened so quickly and suddenly,” the 10-year-old told aid workers. “I heard my neighbour screaming: ‘Water! Water everywhere!’ It had completely surrounded us.” |
Rosemika and her brothers and sisters ran, terrified, to the sanctuary of the hills. Like some of her friends in Haiti’s Ouest department, they lost their home to the fury of the wind and the rain. | Rosemika and her brothers and sisters ran, terrified, to the sanctuary of the hills. Like some of her friends in Haiti’s Ouest department, they lost their home to the fury of the wind and the rain. |
The water “was like a monster, hitting everything violently,” she said. | The water “was like a monster, hitting everything violently,” she said. |
According to a release from the charity Unicef, As many as 500,000 children live in the Grande Anse and Grand South areas of southern Haiti which were worst hit by the storm. According to the release: | According to a release from the charity Unicef, As many as 500,000 children live in the Grande Anse and Grand South areas of southern Haiti which were worst hit by the storm. According to the release: |
Three days after the storm, it remains unclear how many of them need urgent assistance as damage to road infrastructure continues to hamper assessment and relief efforts. | Three days after the storm, it remains unclear how many of them need urgent assistance as damage to road infrastructure continues to hamper assessment and relief efforts. |
“We’re still far from having a full picture of the extent of the damage,” said Marc Vincent, Unicef Representative in Haiti. “We are hoping for the best, but bracing for the worst.” | “We’re still far from having a full picture of the extent of the damage,” said Marc Vincent, Unicef Representative in Haiti. “We are hoping for the best, but bracing for the worst.” |
Up to 80 per cent of homes in the south are reportedly damaged and nearly 16,000 people are staying in temporary shelters. Some 175 schools are believed to have sustained heavy damage and at least 150 schools throughout the country are being used to shelter evacuees. | Up to 80 per cent of homes in the south are reportedly damaged and nearly 16,000 people are staying in temporary shelters. Some 175 schools are believed to have sustained heavy damage and at least 150 schools throughout the country are being used to shelter evacuees. |
7.56pm BST | 7.56pm BST |
19:56 | 19:56 |
Dr. Rick Knabb of the National Hurricane Center and storm surge team lead Jamie Rhome just gave an update on Hurricane Matthew’s impacts along the east coast, reiterating their warning to leave evacuation zones if possible. | Dr. Rick Knabb of the National Hurricane Center and storm surge team lead Jamie Rhome just gave an update on Hurricane Matthew’s impacts along the east coast, reiterating their warning to leave evacuation zones if possible. |
“Unfortunately, the track just offshore in Florida gave people the impression that, ‘Ooo, we’ve dodged a bullet here,’” said Jamie Rhome. That was not the case, he said. “Clearly, you’re seeing the flooding and Jacksonville and Georgia.” | “Unfortunately, the track just offshore in Florida gave people the impression that, ‘Ooo, we’ve dodged a bullet here,’” said Jamie Rhome. That was not the case, he said. “Clearly, you’re seeing the flooding and Jacksonville and Georgia.” |
Knabb said he had also seen people assume storm surge risk was not as great if low tide occurred when the storm hit. In fact, the National Hurricane Center calculates tides with its storm surge predictions, so ranges of 6-9 ft, which is the current prediction for Flagler Beach, Florida, already consider low and high tides. | Knabb said he had also seen people assume storm surge risk was not as great if low tide occurred when the storm hit. In fact, the National Hurricane Center calculates tides with its storm surge predictions, so ranges of 6-9 ft, which is the current prediction for Flagler Beach, Florida, already consider low and high tides. |
“The threat is real – again if you’ve been told by your emergency manager to evacuate – do so,” said Knabb. | “The threat is real – again if you’ve been told by your emergency manager to evacuate – do so,” said Knabb. |
7.46pm BST | 7.46pm BST |
19:46 | 19:46 |
We’re now listening to an update from Dr. Rick Knabb, director of the National Hurricane Center in Florida. Watch with us via the Periscope link below. | We’re now listening to an update from Dr. Rick Knabb, director of the National Hurricane Center in Florida. Watch with us via the Periscope link below. |
Join @NHCDirector Dr. Rick Knabb live on Periscope at 2:40 p.m. EDT this afternoon for the latest on #Matthew https://t.co/Bx7unjQdO1 @NOAA pic.twitter.com/xZSolueiNL | Join @NHCDirector Dr. Rick Knabb live on Periscope at 2:40 p.m. EDT this afternoon for the latest on #Matthew https://t.co/Bx7unjQdO1 @NOAA pic.twitter.com/xZSolueiNL |
7.36pm BST | 7.36pm BST |
19:36 | 19:36 |
Even though millions of residents along the east coast received orders to evacuate, not all heeded those warnings. Among them is Arthur Cohen, 63, a Jacksonville Beach resident riding out the storm. Cohen described the decision of whether to follow evacuation orders as an emotional one. | Even though millions of residents along the east coast received orders to evacuate, not all heeded those warnings. Among them is Arthur Cohen, 63, a Jacksonville Beach resident riding out the storm. Cohen described the decision of whether to follow evacuation orders as an emotional one. |
“I was feeling good initially, a little anxious yesterday,” said Cohen. “But then, when I saw the further forecast and spoke to people about the building, I felt good again, and I feel very good now. I am very safe.” | “I was feeling good initially, a little anxious yesterday,” said Cohen. “But then, when I saw the further forecast and spoke to people about the building, I felt good again, and I feel very good now. I am very safe.” |
Cohen also sent The Guardian a video from his home where waves can be seen crashing over nearby dunes and water filling city streets. | Cohen also sent The Guardian a video from his home where waves can be seen crashing over nearby dunes and water filling city streets. |
“Well, I’m in a high rise condominium that’s newly built and I’m in the southwest corner 10 stories high, and I’m not concerned about the storm surge affecting us,” he said. | “Well, I’m in a high rise condominium that’s newly built and I’m in the southwest corner 10 stories high, and I’m not concerned about the storm surge affecting us,” he said. |
“We’re seeing small waves now in the street where it’s coming over the dunes and into the street and flooding 1st Avenue here.” | “We’re seeing small waves now in the street where it’s coming over the dunes and into the street and flooding 1st Avenue here.” |
7.11pm BST | 7.11pm BST |
19:11 | 19:11 |
We just received an update from the National Hurricane Center on Hurricane Matthew’s projected path. | We just received an update from the National Hurricane Center on Hurricane Matthew’s projected path. |
Right now, the hurricane is expected to hug the coast, moving northwest along the Florida-Georgia coastline as it weakens over the next two days. The hurricane may make landfall in the next few hours. | Right now, the hurricane is expected to hug the coast, moving northwest along the Florida-Georgia coastline as it weakens over the next two days. The hurricane may make landfall in the next few hours. |
Matthew is still a category three hurricane, with sustained winds at 115 mph. | Matthew is still a category three hurricane, with sustained winds at 115 mph. |
Near St. Augustine, the storm surge has reached 3.11 ft above the normal high water mark for the area, and wind gusts have reached 84 mph. | Near St. Augustine, the storm surge has reached 3.11 ft above the normal high water mark for the area, and wind gusts have reached 84 mph. |
Nearby Flagler Beach may see storm surge of up to 9ft, according to this latest forecast, and beaches as far as North Carolina could see up to 4 ft storm surge. | Nearby Flagler Beach may see storm surge of up to 9ft, according to this latest forecast, and beaches as far as North Carolina could see up to 4 ft storm surge. |
“There is a danger of life-threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the Florida northeast coast, the Georgia coast, the South Carolina coast, and the North Carolina coast from Cocoa Beach, Florida, to Cape Fear, North Carolina,” wrote forecaster Lixion Avila. | “There is a danger of life-threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the Florida northeast coast, the Georgia coast, the South Carolina coast, and the North Carolina coast from Cocoa Beach, Florida, to Cape Fear, North Carolina,” wrote forecaster Lixion Avila. |
Updated | Updated |
at 7.26pm BST | at 7.26pm BST |
5.56pm BST | 5.56pm BST |
17:56 | 17:56 |
Further south in Titusville, west of Cape Canaveral and south of Daytona, residents are surveying the damage left by Matthew, even without a “direct hit”. | Further south in Titusville, west of Cape Canaveral and south of Daytona, residents are surveying the damage left by Matthew, even without a “direct hit”. |
Brian Farmer takes photos in the Bay Towers apartments in Titusville where #HurricaneMatthew tore the roof off, at least 50 displaced pic.twitter.com/eaVHBsYGDO | Brian Farmer takes photos in the Bay Towers apartments in Titusville where #HurricaneMatthew tore the roof off, at least 50 displaced pic.twitter.com/eaVHBsYGDO |