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Bank of England cuts interest rates to ward off Brexit recession – live updates Bank of England cuts interest rates to ward off Brexit recession – live updates
(35 minutes later)
6.22pm BST
18:22
This is really good:
This is the lowest interest rates have been since the Bank of England was founded in 1694 pic.twitter.com/wRW7yNeofv
6.10pm BST
18:10
Rating agency Fitch has just warned that today’s stimulus package won’t fully protect the UK economy from the Brexit vote.
It says:
The Bank of England’s (BoE) decision to cut rates, expand its bond buying and set up a new funding scheme for lenders is a proactive policy response to the EU referendum. But it is only likely to cushion, rather than fully offset, the shock to UK growth that June’s Brexit vote will cause, Fitch Ratings says.
The balance sheet expansion goes beyond our expectations and includes innovative measures to mitigate potential unintended consequences of policy easing.
5.59pm BST5.59pm BST
17:5917:59
There could be more bad news for savers and pension; Shaun Port, CIO of investment site Nutmeg, reckons rates could be cut again:There could be more bad news for savers and pension; Shaun Port, CIO of investment site Nutmeg, reckons rates could be cut again:
Make no mistake, this is a crisis response - especially in view of the zero expected GDP growth forecast for the second half of 2016.Make no mistake, this is a crisis response - especially in view of the zero expected GDP growth forecast for the second half of 2016.
“Today’s rate cut will not be the last if the Bank’s forecasts for growth turn out to be correct.“Today’s rate cut will not be the last if the Bank’s forecasts for growth turn out to be correct.
5.42pm BST5.42pm BST
17:4217:42
Our Money editor, Patrick Collinson, writes that today’s rate cut is a big blow to people saving for a pension:Our Money editor, Patrick Collinson, writes that today’s rate cut is a big blow to people saving for a pension:
Pension savers could be big losers from the Bank of England rate cut, as critics warned of a “hammer blow” to workplace schemes and forecast that pension payouts would fall to record lows.Pension savers could be big losers from the Bank of England rate cut, as critics warned of a “hammer blow” to workplace schemes and forecast that pension payouts would fall to record lows.
Within minutes of the Bank’s decision to cut the base rate to 0.25%, yields on government bonds, otherwise known as gilts, dived to all-time lows.Within minutes of the Bank’s decision to cut the base rate to 0.25%, yields on government bonds, otherwise known as gilts, dived to all-time lows.
Companies that still offer final salary pension schemes will as a result see the cost of maintaining them soar. Hymans Robertson, a pensions consultancy, said the rate cut meant a £70bn increase in the amount company schemes needed to meet their commitments to scheme members, to a total of £2.4trn.Companies that still offer final salary pension schemes will as a result see the cost of maintaining them soar. Hymans Robertson, a pensions consultancy, said the rate cut meant a £70bn increase in the amount company schemes needed to meet their commitments to scheme members, to a total of £2.4trn.
“To put this in context, UK GDP currently stands at £1.8trn. This has pushed the aggregate UK [company scheme] deficit up to £945bn – the worst it has ever been,” it said.“To put this in context, UK GDP currently stands at £1.8trn. This has pushed the aggregate UK [company scheme] deficit up to £945bn – the worst it has ever been,” it said.
UK interest rate cut is a 'hammer blow' for workplace pensions https://t.co/LXkaIw7cXoUK interest rate cut is a 'hammer blow' for workplace pensions https://t.co/LXkaIw7cXo
5.14pm BST5.14pm BST
17:1417:14
European stock markets have just closed for the night, with solid gains across the board.European stock markets have just closed for the night, with solid gains across the board.
The Bank of England’s stimulus package has sparked a wave of buying, which pushed the FTSE 100 index up 105 points, or 1.6%, to 6740.The Bank of England’s stimulus package has sparked a wave of buying, which pushed the FTSE 100 index up 105 points, or 1.6%, to 6740.
The rally is proof that the Bank of England’s stimulus programme is more wide-ranging than the City expected.The rally is proof that the Bank of England’s stimulus programme is more wide-ranging than the City expected.
Tony Cross, market analyst at Trustnet Direct, sums up the situation:Tony Cross, market analyst at Trustnet Direct, sums up the situation:
All those suggestions that the market had already priced in a rate cut from the Bank of England couldn’t have been further from the mark – yes the MPC took some bold action but the fact that the FTSE-100 is finishing the day over 100 points higher shows just how much of an impact the move had.All those suggestions that the market had already priced in a rate cut from the Bank of England couldn’t have been further from the mark – yes the MPC took some bold action but the fact that the FTSE-100 is finishing the day over 100 points higher shows just how much of an impact the move had.
Gains amongst the blue chips are eye-catchingly broad-based with Aviva (+6.7%) still leading the charge off the back of more positive news following the acquisition of Friends Life plus word of a dividend hike, whilst Standard Chartered (+5%) continues to feel the benefit of yesterday’s storming return to profit.Gains amongst the blue chips are eye-catchingly broad-based with Aviva (+6.7%) still leading the charge off the back of more positive news following the acquisition of Friends Life plus word of a dividend hike, whilst Standard Chartered (+5%) continues to feel the benefit of yesterday’s storming return to profit.
4.48pm BST4.48pm BST
16:4816:48
Carney: We're watching the banksCarney: We're watching the banks
Mark Carney is piling pressure on Britain’s commercial banks to pass the rate cut onto consumers, in an interview with Sky News:Mark Carney is piling pressure on Britain’s commercial banks to pass the rate cut onto consumers, in an interview with Sky News:
Mark Carney tells me: “We will be watching” banks to ensure they pass on interest rate cutsMark Carney tells me: “We will be watching” banks to ensure they pass on interest rate cuts
As we covered earlier, the governor insisted twice during today’s press conference that banksAs we covered earlier, the governor insisted twice during today’s press conference that banks
This was the key quote:This was the key quote:
The banks have no excuse, with today’s announcement, not to pass on cut in bank rate and they should write to their customers and make that point.The banks have no excuse, with today’s announcement, not to pass on cut in bank rate and they should write to their customers and make that point.
But while Barclays and Santander have already pledged to cut mortgage rates, RBS and Lloyds are holding back.....But while Barclays and Santander have already pledged to cut mortgage rates, RBS and Lloyds are holding back.....
UpdatedUpdated
at 5.17pm BSTat 5.17pm BST
4.36pm BST4.36pm BST
16:3616:36
Economics professor Mariana Mazzucato tweets that properly targeted government spending, not lower interest rates, is the key to improving the economy.Economics professor Mariana Mazzucato tweets that properly targeted government spending, not lower interest rates, is the key to improving the economy.
Surely Carney knows about a liquidity trap? Way to get investment up is bold FISCAL (not monetary) policy creating new opportunities. T May?Surely Carney knows about a liquidity trap? Way to get investment up is bold FISCAL (not monetary) policy creating new opportunities. T May?
4.07pm BST4.07pm BST
16:0716:07
This is why future pensioners, and savers, are in such a bind:This is why future pensioners, and savers, are in such a bind:
Since Brexit (voted for by pensioners) UK 10y yield has plunged from 1.40% to record low 0.65%...decimating pensions pic.twitter.com/CtVUoufWuFSince Brexit (voted for by pensioners) UK 10y yield has plunged from 1.40% to record low 0.65%...decimating pensions pic.twitter.com/CtVUoufWuF
UpdatedUpdated
at 4.19pm BSTat 4.19pm BST
3.59pm BST3.59pm BST
15:5915:59
Savers must 'reassess' strategy after rate cutSavers must 'reassess' strategy after rate cut
Holly Mackay, founder and MD of Boring Money, is urging savers to be proactive, rather than simply accept even lower returns on their funds:Holly Mackay, founder and MD of Boring Money, is urging savers to be proactive, rather than simply accept even lower returns on their funds:
Anyone with cash savings has to reassess this strategy as interest moves from poor, to dire.Anyone with cash savings has to reassess this strategy as interest moves from poor, to dire.
Many Brits have an aversion to the stock market but it’s time to ask if we’re just shooting ourselves in the financial foot. Investing online is cheaper, more reputable and easier to do than ever. Mortgage hunters may find some good deals although some providers have already factored an assumed cut over the summer into existing rates.”Many Brits have an aversion to the stock market but it’s time to ask if we’re just shooting ourselves in the financial foot. Investing online is cheaper, more reputable and easier to do than ever. Mortgage hunters may find some good deals although some providers have already factored an assumed cut over the summer into existing rates.”
Cash savers be like... #BoE pic.twitter.com/c5xxioJTPICash savers be like... #BoE pic.twitter.com/c5xxioJTPI
UpdatedUpdated
at 4.02pm BSTat 4.02pm BST
3.56pm BST3.56pm BST
15:5615:56
How pensions have been hammered by low ratesHow pensions have been hammered by low rates
Financial services group Hargreaves Lansdown have sent over a chart that shows, in alarming detail, how pension pots have been hit by record low borrowing costs.Financial services group Hargreaves Lansdown have sent over a chart that shows, in alarming detail, how pension pots have been hit by record low borrowing costs.
It shows how the purchasing power of a £100,000 annuity has been steadily eroded, meaning that people who retire today get much less than those who retired in 2003:It shows how the purchasing power of a £100,000 annuity has been steadily eroded, meaning that people who retire today get much less than those who retired in 2003:
Tom McPhail, their head of retirement policy, says it isn’t sustainable.Tom McPhail, their head of retirement policy, says it isn’t sustainable.
“Monetary policy is proving to be pretty unpleasant medicine for pension schemes. It may be supporting asset values and keeping the economy turning but it is also driving down annuity rates and driving up final salary scheme liabilities.“Monetary policy is proving to be pretty unpleasant medicine for pension schemes. It may be supporting asset values and keeping the economy turning but it is also driving down annuity rates and driving up final salary scheme liabilities.
This means employers are having to pump more and more money into final salary schemes and individuals are having to save more and more into their personal pension if they want to buy an annuity. Too much of this medicine is not healthy for anyone’s finances and for final salary schemes in particular, there is a risk that it may actually be killing the patient. The Government is going to have to intervene soon.”This means employers are having to pump more and more money into final salary schemes and individuals are having to save more and more into their personal pension if they want to buy an annuity. Too much of this medicine is not healthy for anyone’s finances and for final salary schemes in particular, there is a risk that it may actually be killing the patient. The Government is going to have to intervene soon.”
3.46pm BST3.46pm BST
15:4615:46
Salman Ahmed, chief investment strategist at Lombard Odier Investment Managers, believes today’s stimulus package is a real game-changer.Salman Ahmed, chief investment strategist at Lombard Odier Investment Managers, believes today’s stimulus package is a real game-changer.
“The announcement today from the Bank of England that interest rates were to be cut was not surprising after much debate and disappointing economic fundamentals in the lead up to and following Brexit. What did surprise was the aggressive package of quantitative easing unveiled, encompassing both government and corporate bonds, and additional term funding for banks. This was along with the indication from Mr Carney in his press conference that negative interest rates are not on the long-term agenda, but we can expect further easing via direct asset purchases.“The announcement today from the Bank of England that interest rates were to be cut was not surprising after much debate and disappointing economic fundamentals in the lead up to and following Brexit. What did surprise was the aggressive package of quantitative easing unveiled, encompassing both government and corporate bonds, and additional term funding for banks. This was along with the indication from Mr Carney in his press conference that negative interest rates are not on the long-term agenda, but we can expect further easing via direct asset purchases.
“This an important change in emphasis and is likely a result of global monetary policy shift we have been witnessing in recent months.“This an important change in emphasis and is likely a result of global monetary policy shift we have been witnessing in recent months.
3.44pm BST
15:44
Campaigners who argued, in vain, for Britain to stay in the European Union are arguing that their warnings have been proved accurate.
Chuka Umunna MP, Chair of Vote Leave Watch, says:
“It’s clear that quitting the European Union has been a hammer-blow for working people across Britain. Thanks to the impossible promises of Vote Leave Tories like Boris Johnson, David Davis and Liam Fox people around the country will face job losses, higher prices, and falling pay packets – while they enjoy a promotion and sit around the cabinet table.
“The promises of Tory Leavers that Brexit would lead to higher growth and more jobs have never seemed so hollow. The myths told by senior figures in Theresa May’s new government will result in working people being worse off. They need to be held to account for the damage they have done to our economy.
3.26pm BST
15:26
Three months ago, the Bank of England had expected the UK’s jobless rate to keep falling. Not any more...
Thanks, Brexiteers. pic.twitter.com/AmxVak80Uo
Updated
at 3.27pm BST
3.21pm BST
15:21
From the City, Conner Campbell of SpreadEx explains how the markets have reacted to today’s news:
Well it looks like the Bank of England certainly delivered, at least from the market’s points of view, satisfying both parts of its ‘Super Thursday’ moniker for the first time since the title’s inception.
So, to the nuts and bolts of what the central bank announced this afternoon: a unanimous decision saw the headline interest rate cut from 0.5% to 0.25%, while everyone but Kristin Forbes voted for up to £10 billion in corporate bond purchases. The most controversial step was the £60 billion expansion (to £435 billion) of the current Q3 programme, an expansion opposed by Forbes, Ian McCafferty and Martin Weale. The MPC also unveiled a new £100 billion ‘term funding scheme’ designed to encourage banks to lend.
Carney claimed that there was a ‘clear case’ to act now, with the week’s woeful PMIs joined by fresh forecasts from the BoE that 250,000 people stand to lose their jobs post-Brexit. The Bank also now expects the UK economy to grow by a meagre 0.8% next year (against the 2.3% previously estimated), with inflation set to jump to 0.8% in 2016 and 1.9% in 2017.
The news saw the markets behave just as you would expect; the FTSE surged 1.4%, climbing back above 6700 in the process, while the pound plunged by the same amount against both the dollar and the euro. What is interesting, however, is that this still leaves both instruments within the same trading brackets they have been bouncing around for the last few weeks, reflecting, perhaps, the extent to which today’s action from Carney and co. was expected. It also doesn’t necessarily give either the UK index or sterling any fresh direction for the coming weeks and months, leaving both at the mercy of the next wave of Brexit-impacted data.
3.20pm BST
15:20
Barclays is passing today’s interest rate cut onto mortgage customers in full.
It says:
“Customers with Barclays Bank Base Rate Tracker mortgages and customers on the Barclays Standard Variable Rate will see their rates reduce by 0.25%.
We will provide advance notification to those customers whose mortgage payments will change.”
But the bank is also hinting that savers will take a hit.....
“Our savings rates are currently under review following the reduction to the Bank of England Base Rate. Once a decision has been made, we will contact the relevant customers to let them know what the changes mean for them, providing appropriate time for them to consider their options before changes come into effect.”
3.11pm BST
15:11
Hammond: Bank is protecting the economy from Brexit process
Chancellor Philip Hammond has told Sky News that today’s stimulus package should mean fewer people lose their jobs in the months ahead, as the Brexit process unfolds.
Hammond says:
We are determined to build an economy that works for everyone. Right now we are trying to protect jobs and economic growth.
The measure that have been taken today are designed to ensure that any increase in unemployment as a result of the economic slowdown is kept to the absolute minimum possible.
And to support economic growth through the next 18 months, two years, as we face this period of uncertainty as we negotiate our exit from the European Union.
2.56pm BST
14:56
Here’s our news story about how two of Britain’s biggest banks haven’t, yet, agreed to pass on today’s rate cut in full:
Mortgage lenders delay moves to pass on interest rate cut https://t.co/0kxZRg2MpF
2.50pm BST
14:50
Larry Elliott, our economics editor, says Mark Carney has taken an “all action” approach to fighting a Brexit-induced recession.
[The Bank] was slow to react to the great recession of 2008 and 2009, and was not going to be accused of making the same mistake twice. The risks of doing nothing were higher than the risks of providing oodles of fresh stimulus.
The backdrop to the four-part package is the assumption that there is going to be a marked slowdown in activity as a result of the 23 June referendum. Recession is avoided, but only just and only because the Bank’s nine-strong monetary policy committee (MPC) assumes that lower interest rates, a new scheme to encourage commercial banks to pass on lower borrowing costs and £70bn worth of additional money creation will boost activity over the coming months and years.
Related: This is the Bank of England's all-action response to Brexit
2.40pm BST
14:40
If you’re just tuning in, here’s our news story about the Bank of England’s historic rate cut:
Related: Bank of England cuts interest rates to 0.25% and expands QE
Here’s our explanation about quantitative easing - one of the four pillars of today’s stimulus package.
Related: Quantitative easing: all you need to know
And here’s our Q&A about the rate cut:
Related: UK interest rate cut: how it will affect you
2.26pm BST
14:26
UK borrowing costs hit record lows
UK government bonds are also soaring, following the news that the Bank of England will buy another £60bn of gilts.
This has driven down the interest rate on 10-year gilts down to 0.68%, from 0.78%.
That means the UK government can borrow cheaper than ever before - making it a great time to borrow to invest.....
2.23pm BST
14:23
Shares surge, but pound slumps.
The London stock market has surged since the Bank of England announced its new stimulus package.
The FTSE 100 index has jumped by 97 points, or 1.5%. Financial stocks are leading the rally, with Aviva up 7%, Standard Chartered up 5.3%, and Prudential gaining 3.5%.
And the smaller FTSE index, which is more focused on the UK economy, has gained 1.3%.
The pound continues to slide, though; sterling has lost two whole cents against the US dollar to $1.314.
That’s a chunky fall, but still higher than immediately after the Brexit vote.
£/$ drops on #BankofEngland stimulus, but still not at previous low. Median analyst estimate for yr-end = $1.27 pic.twitter.com/8tacMa34aD