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| Donald Trump hails Britain's decision to leave EU – campaign live | Donald Trump hails Britain's decision to leave EU – campaign live |
| (about 1 hour later) | |
| 4.48pm BST | |
| 16:48 | |
| Ewen MacAskill: nasty guy? Let’s go to the tape: | |
| Ewen, the Guardian’s defence and intelligence correspondent, pointed out to Trump that no top British politicians wanted to meet him during his Scottish sojourn. | |
| “You said there was a love fest – David Cameron said he didn’t want to meet you,” Ewen says. “Alex Salmond said he didn’t want to meet you.” | |
| “David Cameron would have met me. David Cameron was negotiating to meet me,” Trump asserts. “But right now I don’t think David Cameron doesn’t want to meet anybody.” | |
| “You’re regarded as toxic,” Ewen observes. | |
| “Nasty, nasty guy,” Trump says. | |
| 4.38pm BST | |
| 16:38 | |
| Protester interrupts Trump with swastika golf balls | |
| Comedian Lee Nelson (real name Simon Brodkin) popped up at the Donald Trump appearance at his Turnberry golf course, approached the candidate and handed out golf balls bearing swastikas. | |
| “These are the new balls available from the clubhouse as part of the new Trump Turnberry range. I forgot to hand them out before,” Nelson said. “I’m very sorry, Mr. Trump. And thank you. I apologize.” | |
| “Get him out,” Trump said. He was got out. | |
| 4.27pm BST | |
| 16:27 | |
| A month ago, Donald Trump did not know what “Brexit” meant. He also rejected a link between his anti-immigrant nationalism and European nativist movements. | |
| Here’s the key bit from Trump’s interview with Michael Wollf in the Hollywood Reporter, published on 1 June: | |
| I ask if he sees himself as having similarities with leaders of the growing anti-immigrant (some would say outright racist) European nativist movements, like Marine Le Pen in France and Matteo Salvini in Italy, whom The Wall Street Journal reported Trump had met with and endorsed in Philadelphia. (“Matteo, I wish you become the next Italian premier soon,” Trump was quoted as saying.) In fact, he insists he didn’t meet Salvini. “I didn’t want to meet him.” | |
| And, in sum, he doesn’t particularly see similarities — or at least isn’t interested in them — between those movements and the anti-immigrant nationalism he is promoting in this country. | |
| “And Brexit? Your position?” I ask. | |
| “Huh?” | |
| “Brexit.” | |
| “Hmm.” | |
| “The Brits leaving the EU,” I prompt, realizing that his lack of familiarity with one of the most pressing issues in Europe is for him no concern nor liability at all. | |
| “Oh yeah, I think they should leave.” | |
| It is hard not to feel that Trump understands himself, and that we’re all in on this kind of spectacular joke. His shamelessness is just so … shameless. | |
| On Wednesday, Trump told Fox News “my inclination would be to get out”, but he attached a rather significant caveat: “I don’t think anybody should listen to me because I haven’t really focused on it very much”. | |
| When you watch markets, recall: Trump didn’t recognize “Brexit," said “Sure, leave!” when explained. “Let’s just shake things up!" | |
| Updated | |
| at 4.39pm BST | |
| 4.12pm BST | |
| 16:12 | |
| Is Trump going to win now? | |
| Is Trump going to win now? That’s the question on many lips. It may seem like a premature and rather panicky leap to infer from the result of the British referendum a completely overhauled reality in American politics. But the Dow is down 400 points right now, so clearly something has changed. | |
| Guardian columnist Richard Wolffe discerns in the Brexit vote a warning for Trump’s opponents: | |
| But before Americans begin to chuckle at Boris Johnson and Britain’s self-immolation, they should try to learn the lessons of what just happened in the old country. Otherwise they will be preparing for a Trump inaugural parade that rolls past a new Trump hotel on Pennsylvania Avenue in seven short months. | |
| First, the rise of charismatic, far-right leaders can only happen when the weak leaders of the center-right surrender to them. [...] The second lesson is about the siren call of nationalism. [...] The third lesson is a generational one. British voters under 34 were overwhelmingly supportive of staying inside the EU, but they were also the least likely to vote. [...] The fourth lesson is that voters don’t seem to care about the hypocrisy and inconsistency of the anti-elite politicians. [...] The final lesson is that protest votes are not, in fact, a token gesture. They have a very real impact in the real world. | |
| Related: Britain allowed its populist right to rise. America should heed the warning | Richard Wolffe | |
| James Hohman writes in the Washington Post that the Brexit result demonstrated “strong tides of anti-establishment anger, nationalism and populism” sweeping the world. He observes several areas of overlap between the British political predicament and the American political crossroads: resentment of elites, xenophobia, isolationism, flawed polling, complacency. | |
| Polls consistently underestimating right-wing support -- Cameron & Bibi, now Brexit. So if polls show Clinton up 5, could Trump be even? | |
| Others have pointed out that the Brexit vote demonstrated the power of hotbutton issues such as immigration and free trade to move voters. More than one commentator has pointed out that after Margaret Thatcher came to power, Ronald Reagan was elected. | |
| Trump himself has asserted that the Brexit vote is a bellwether – but he would say that. He speaks for an eager quadrant of the US political establishment, however, including erstwhile rival Ted Cruz, who, like Trump, has hailed the Brexit vote as a victory: | |
| The results of the #EUref should serve as a wake-up call for internationalist bureaucrats from Brussels to D.C https://t.co/WucKMoZc50 | |
| “The United States can learn from the referendum and attend to the issues of security, immigration and economic autonomy that drove this historic vote,” Cruz continued. | |
| Guardian Washington correspondent David Smith spoke with pollster Frank Luntz, who claimed to have seen the future: | |
| Frank Luntz, a leading political consultant and pollster, said: “I have seen the future. If a wave of voter populism can sweep Britain out of Europe, it can sweep Donald Trump to the presidency in America. | |
| “The anger I heard in Britain is far wider and deeper in America. Just as leave exceeded every poll, so did Donald Trump in the primaries. And that may well continue into the fall.” | |
| Not so fast... | |
| If Trump is to win, he will have to overcome his own dismal unpopularity, extremely substantial demographic challenges, equally substantial electoral map challenges, horrid poll numbers from pollsters with good track records in US presidential elections, a majority feeling of favorableness about the current president and optimism about the economy, and even, perhaps, certain strengths of his opponent. | |
| The evidence so far is that Trump has had significant difficulty expanding his appeal beyond the core of Republican voters who powered him through the primaries, despite for example Trump’s direct appeal to Bernie Sanders supporters, who have responded with disdain. | |
| Benchmark Politics identifies multiple points on which the Brexit-Trump comparison breaks down. D), Trump, observes that the US presidential election is a contest between individuals and one of them is personally unpopular in a record-breaking way that would seem relatively unresponsive to voting in Britain: | |
| Brexit =/= US race. BREXIT A) didn't have a gender gap, B) Does not have an electoral college, C) Is causing a financial crisis, D) Trump... | |
| @PCalith @benchmarkpol ...G) Featured a national leader with underwater approval numbers H) Featured a less diverse country.... | |
| What’s your take? Does the Brexit increase Trump’s chances in November? | |
| 3.13pm BST | 3.13pm BST |
| 15:13 | 15:13 |
| Obama: 'special relationship is enduring' | Obama: 'special relationship is enduring' |
| President Barack Obama says the special relationship is enduring, and “the United Kingdom’s membership in NATO remains a vital cornerstone”. | President Barack Obama says the special relationship is enduring, and “the United Kingdom’s membership in NATO remains a vital cornerstone”. |
| Here’s the president’s statement: | Here’s the president’s statement: |
| The people of the United Kingdom have spoken, and we respect their decision. The special relationship between the United States and the United Kingdom is enduring, and the United Kingdom’s membership in NATO remains a vital cornerstone of U.S. foreign, security, and economic policy. So too is our relationship with the European Union, which has done so much to promote stability, stimulate economic growth, and foster the spread of democratic values and ideals across the continent and beyond. The United Kingdom and the European Union will remain indispensable partners of the United States even as they begin negotiating their ongoing relationship to ensure continued stability, security, and prosperity for Europe, Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and the world. | The people of the United Kingdom have spoken, and we respect their decision. The special relationship between the United States and the United Kingdom is enduring, and the United Kingdom’s membership in NATO remains a vital cornerstone of U.S. foreign, security, and economic policy. So too is our relationship with the European Union, which has done so much to promote stability, stimulate economic growth, and foster the spread of democratic values and ideals across the continent and beyond. The United Kingdom and the European Union will remain indispensable partners of the United States even as they begin negotiating their ongoing relationship to ensure continued stability, security, and prosperity for Europe, Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and the world. |
| 3.09pm BST | 3.09pm BST |
| 15:09 | 15:09 |
| Clinton sees 'need for calm, steady, experienced leadership' | Clinton sees 'need for calm, steady, experienced leadership' |
| Hillary Clinton has released a statement on the Brexit, saying “We respect the choice the people of the United Kingdom have made.” | Hillary Clinton has released a statement on the Brexit, saying “We respect the choice the people of the United Kingdom have made.” |
| “This time of uncertainty only underscores the need for calm, steady, experienced leadership in the White House,” Clinton says. | “This time of uncertainty only underscores the need for calm, steady, experienced leadership in the White House,” Clinton says. |
| The statement calls for protection for working families from economic uncertainty and attests to “America’s steadfast commitment to the special relationship with Britain”. | The statement calls for protection for working families from economic uncertainty and attests to “America’s steadfast commitment to the special relationship with Britain”. |
| Here it is in full: | Here it is in full: |
| We respect the choice the people of the United Kingdom have made. Our first task has to be to make sure that the economic uncertainty created by these events does not hurt working families here in America. We also have to make clear America’s steadfast commitment to the special relationship with Britain and the transatlantic alliance with Europe. This time of uncertainty only underscores the need for calm, steady, experienced leadership in the White House to protect Americans’ pocketbooks and livelihoods, to support our friends and allies, to stand up to our adversaries, and to defend our interests. It also underscores the need for us to pull together to solve our challenges as a country, not tear each other down.” | We respect the choice the people of the United Kingdom have made. Our first task has to be to make sure that the economic uncertainty created by these events does not hurt working families here in America. We also have to make clear America’s steadfast commitment to the special relationship with Britain and the transatlantic alliance with Europe. This time of uncertainty only underscores the need for calm, steady, experienced leadership in the White House to protect Americans’ pocketbooks and livelihoods, to support our friends and allies, to stand up to our adversaries, and to defend our interests. It also underscores the need for us to pull together to solve our challenges as a country, not tear each other down.” |
| "We respect the choice the people of the United Kingdom have made." —Hillary #BrexitVote pic.twitter.com/58yM8oDkL6 | "We respect the choice the people of the United Kingdom have made." —Hillary #BrexitVote pic.twitter.com/58yM8oDkL6 |
| 1.43pm BST | 1.43pm BST |
| 13:43 | 13:43 |
| Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Donald Trump has hailed Britain’s decision to leave the European Union, telling reporters in Scotland: “They took back control of their country. It’s a great thing.” | Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Donald Trump has hailed Britain’s decision to leave the European Union, telling reporters in Scotland: “They took back control of their country. It’s a great thing.” |
| Trump, visiting Scotland for a ribbon-cutting on one of his golf courses, pointed out that he had called for the Brexit while Obama had opposed it, and he said the vote could foretell his election as president. “I think I see a big parallel – people want to take their country back,” he said. | Trump, visiting Scotland for a ribbon-cutting on one of his golf courses, pointed out that he had called for the Brexit while Obama had opposed it, and he said the vote could foretell his election as president. “I think I see a big parallel – people want to take their country back,” he said. |
| “Are you traveling with foreign policy advisers?” Trump was asked. | “Are you traveling with foreign policy advisers?” Trump was asked. |
| “I’ve been in touch with them,” he replied “but there’s nothing to talk about ... ultimately I think it will be a good thing.” | “I’ve been in touch with them,” he replied “but there’s nothing to talk about ... ultimately I think it will be a good thing.” |
| .@KatyTurNBC: Are you traveling with foreign policy advisers?Trump: "There's nothing to talk about..." #Brexit https://t.co/Wb3QIiSpbO | .@KatyTurNBC: Are you traveling with foreign policy advisers?Trump: "There's nothing to talk about..." #Brexit https://t.co/Wb3QIiSpbO |
| Trump took further questions on the Brexit ... | Trump took further questions on the Brexit ... |
| Trump claims "David Cameron is negotiating to meet me" | Trump claims "David Cameron is negotiating to meet me" |
| Asked if he supports breakup of EU, Trump says it "looks like it's on it's way" and he "could see it happening" but has "no opinion" on it. | Asked if he supports breakup of EU, Trump says it "looks like it's on it's way" and he "could see it happening" but has "no opinion" on it. |
| ... then he talked a lot about his golf course: | ... then he talked a lot about his golf course: |
| Donald Trump had a remarkable opportunity to appear presidential this morning. Instead, he's talking about drainage on a golf course. | Donald Trump had a remarkable opportunity to appear presidential this morning. Instead, he's talking about drainage on a golf course. |
| On historic day Trump speaking with a fluency and specificity I've never heard from him -- about his Scottish hotels and golf course zoning. | On historic day Trump speaking with a fluency and specificity I've never heard from him -- about his Scottish hotels and golf course zoning. |
| Trump: I have a lot of friends in Germany who have always been really proud Germans to a level you wouldn't believe. | Trump: I have a lot of friends in Germany who have always been really proud Germans to a level you wouldn't believe. |
| Trump: "When the pound goes down, more people are coming to Turnberry, to be honest." | Trump: "When the pound goes down, more people are coming to Turnberry, to be honest." |
| At the Trump Scotland presser:Q: "...but the country's not a golf course"Trump: "No it's not, but you'd be amazed at how similar it is." | At the Trump Scotland presser:Q: "...but the country's not a golf course"Trump: "No it's not, but you'd be amazed at how similar it is." |
| Guardian reporter says Trump is politically "toxic." Trump responds by calling him "a nasty, nasty guy." | Guardian reporter says Trump is politically "toxic." Trump responds by calling him "a nasty, nasty guy." |
| The Trump campaign released a statement hailing the Brexit. It read in part: | The Trump campaign released a statement hailing the Brexit. It read in part: |
| The people of the United Kingdom have exercised the sacred right of all free peoples ... Come November, the American people will have the chance to re-declare their independence. | The people of the United Kingdom have exercised the sacred right of all free peoples ... Come November, the American people will have the chance to re-declare their independence. |
| The Guardian’s Ewen MacAskill was on the scene when Trump arrived: | The Guardian’s Ewen MacAskill was on the scene when Trump arrived: |
| He landed by helicopter on the front lawn of his Trump Turnberry golf resort shortly after 9am on Friday to find a Britain shell-shocked by the Brexit vote. | He landed by helicopter on the front lawn of his Trump Turnberry golf resort shortly after 9am on Friday to find a Britain shell-shocked by the Brexit vote. |
| Wearing a white baseball cap, Trump strode the couple of hundred yards up the gravel path to the Ayrshire hotel accompanied by his family. He was not scheduled to speak to the press but could not resist responding to shouted questions from the media scrum. . | Wearing a white baseball cap, Trump strode the couple of hundred yards up the gravel path to the Ayrshire hotel accompanied by his family. He was not scheduled to speak to the press but could not resist responding to shouted questions from the media scrum. . |
| He described the referendum result as a historic vote and predicted many such uprisings around the world. “It will not be the last. There is lots of anger.” | He described the referendum result as a historic vote and predicted many such uprisings around the world. “It will not be the last. There is lots of anger.” |
| Referring specifically to the UK, he said: “They are angry over people coming and taking control. They are angry about many things.” | Referring specifically to the UK, he said: “They are angry over people coming and taking control. They are angry about many things.” |
| He said the UK would recover. “It will heal,” he said. | He said the UK would recover. “It will heal,” he said. |
| @realdonaldtrump Scotland voted Remain, you weapons-grade plum. | @realdonaldtrump Scotland voted Remain, you weapons-grade plum. |
| The White House issued a statement that said: “The president has been briefed on the incoming returns in the UK referendum, and he will continue to be updated by his team as the situation warrants. We expect the president will have an opportunity to speak to Prime Minister Cameron over the course of the next day, and we will release further comment as soon as appropriate.” | The White House issued a statement that said: “The president has been briefed on the incoming returns in the UK referendum, and he will continue to be updated by his team as the situation warrants. We expect the president will have an opportunity to speak to Prime Minister Cameron over the course of the next day, and we will release further comment as soon as appropriate.” |
| They expected a pivot but @realDonaldTrump gave us a divot. | They expected a pivot but @realDonaldTrump gave us a divot. |
| Sanders to vote for Clinton | Sanders to vote for Clinton |
| Bernie Sanders said on MSNBC that he would be voting for Hillary Clinton and that he sees his main work ahead as defeating Trump: | Bernie Sanders said on MSNBC that he would be voting for Hillary Clinton and that he sees his main work ahead as defeating Trump: |
| Will @BernieSanders vote for Hillary Clinton in November? Sanders: 'Yes.' https://t.co/AJ6DVhjHO6 | Will @BernieSanders vote for Hillary Clinton in November? Sanders: 'Yes.' https://t.co/AJ6DVhjHO6 |
| In an event in New York City onThursday night, Sanders encouraged supporters to pick up the progressive baton that he grasped more than a year ago, reports the Guardian’s Lauren Gambino: | In an event in New York City onThursday night, Sanders encouraged supporters to pick up the progressive baton that he grasped more than a year ago, reports the Guardian’s Lauren Gambino: |
| “Never, ever lose your sense of outrage,” Sanders said, straining his voice to be heard above the thundering applause that filled the Town Hall, a historic venue in Midtown Manhattan. | “Never, ever lose your sense of outrage,” Sanders said, straining his voice to be heard above the thundering applause that filled the Town Hall, a historic venue in Midtown Manhattan. |
| The democratic socialist reached back into history, describing the political revolution that he championed as a continuation of the long struggle for social and economic equality, starting with the deadly Triangle Shirtwaist factory fire of 1911 that launched a workers’ rights movement. | The democratic socialist reached back into history, describing the political revolution that he championed as a continuation of the long struggle for social and economic equality, starting with the deadly Triangle Shirtwaist factory fire of 1911 that launched a workers’ rights movement. |
| “Election days come and go but what is much more important is that political and social revolutions continue,” he said. | “Election days come and go but what is much more important is that political and social revolutions continue,” he said. |
| Related: Bernie Sanders: my political revolution is just getting started | Related: Bernie Sanders: my political revolution is just getting started |
| Thank you for reading and please join us in the comments. | Thank you for reading and please join us in the comments. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 1.52pm BST | at 1.52pm BST |