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Bank of England and ECB promise to protect markets from Brexit panic - business live Bank of England and ECB promise to protect markets from Brexit panic - business live
(35 minutes later)
11.41am BST
11:41
The pound has dropped by two cents in the last few minutes, after Scotland’s first minister, Nicola Sturgeon, floated the prospect of a second independence referendum.
Sturgeon is holding a press conference right now. She says that another referendum is now very likely, and that Scotland shouldn’t be taken out of the EU against its will.
This has knocked the pound back to $1.367, from $1.39 at 11am BST.
Strong from Sturgeon: Scotland forced to leave EU against our will would be "democratically unacceptable" #Brexit
Sturgeon: I think a 2nd independence referendum is now highly likely
11.31am BST
11:31
The US stock market is expected to fall by over 2.5% when New York traders gets their teeth into Brexit, in three hour’s time.
Dow Futures down 500, Crude drops 5%, Gold rallies 5%,10 year yield down to 1.5%. Buckle up #Brexit #CNBC
11.29am BST
11:29
UK house prices to be hit by Brexit
House prices are a popular conversation point at British dinner parties, school gates and cafes at the best of times.
So this morning, many people are wondering what the EU referendum means for the property market. And the early verdict is that it’s going to dampen demand, and push prices down.
Jan Crosby, head of housing at KPMG UK, predicts at least six months of uncertainty -- and longer in London. He expects prices to take a 5% hit, but more in the capital.
“As we enter a new phase of uncertainty following the UK’s vote to leave the EU, it is very likely people will put big decisions on hold, and one of the biggest decisions people ever make is a house purchase.
This means we can expect short term transaction volumes to decrease and to stay deflated for some time – perhaps until next spring. While we may not notice much of a change over summer, given the traditional hiatus in the housing market, the usual pick up in autumn may not materialise.
Richard Donnell, insight director at property consultancy Hometrack, also expects demand for new houses to slide:
“The immediate impact is likely to be a fall in housing turnover and a rapid deceleration in house price growth as buyers adopt a wait and see the short-term impact on financial markets and the economy at large.
Related: House price fall could follow Brexit, say experts
Updated
at 11.35am BST
11.12am BST
11:12
Fidelity predicts mild UK recession
David Cameron’s resignation means Britain is now gripped by a political crisis, as well as an economic one.
Dominic Rossi, global CIO of Equities at Fidelity International, believes the political shock will be more serious. But he also believes Britain will fall back into recession, at a time of growing risk worldwide.
“From an economic point of view, we can expect lower growth in the UK and across Europe, and that is now being discounted in equity markets. We also expect a mild recession in the UK over the course of this year and into next year.
However, what matters more is that political risk premia will now rise around the world and this implies lower valuations. Today’s result will set off a domino effect of political risk. Whether it’s the US election later this year or the French election next year, investors are going to be far more cautious.
11.06am BST11.06am BST
11:0611:06
Jonathan Hill, the British European Commissioner, could become an early casualty of the referendum.Jonathan Hill, the British European Commissioner, could become an early casualty of the referendum.
Hill is currently responsibly for financial stability, financial services and capital markets union. But not for much longer, if some MEPs get their way.Hill is currently responsibly for financial stability, financial services and capital markets union. But not for much longer, if some MEPs get their way.
German MEP Elmar Brok says European Parliament will call on Juncker to immediately strip British commissioner of financial services briefGerman MEP Elmar Brok says European Parliament will call on Juncker to immediately strip British commissioner of financial services brief
10.55am BST10.55am BST
10:5510:55
The Brexit vote is already causing problems for some holidaymakers in Greece, according to this tweet from the island of Kos.The Brexit vote is already causing problems for some holidaymakers in Greece, according to this tweet from the island of Kos.
It's beginning already! We're in Greece, no cash exchange & no cash machine withdrawals for Brits. Great #brexitfail pic.twitter.com/9dG0LnhSCBIt's beginning already! We're in Greece, no cash exchange & no cash machine withdrawals for Brits. Great #brexitfail pic.twitter.com/9dG0LnhSCB
10.44am BST10.44am BST
10:4410:44
ECB promises more liquidity to stem Brexit panicECB promises more liquidity to stem Brexit panic
Hot on the heels of the Bank of England, the European Central Bank has promised to provide extra liquidity to protect the financial world.Hot on the heels of the Bank of England, the European Central Bank has promised to provide extra liquidity to protect the financial world.
In a brief statement, the ECB said it was closely monitoring financial markets and is in close contact with other central banks.In a brief statement, the ECB said it was closely monitoring financial markets and is in close contact with other central banks.
It says:It says:
The ECB stands ready to provide additional liquidity, if needed, in euro and foreign currencies.The ECB stands ready to provide additional liquidity, if needed, in euro and foreign currencies.
The ECB has prepared for this contingency in close contact with the banks that it supervises and considers that the euro area banking system is resilient in terms of capital and liquidity.The ECB has prepared for this contingency in close contact with the banks that it supervises and considers that the euro area banking system is resilient in terms of capital and liquidity.
The ECB will continue to fulfil its responsibilities to ensure price stability and financial stability in the euro area.The ECB will continue to fulfil its responsibilities to ensure price stability and financial stability in the euro area.
There were rumours last week that central banks could launch co-ordinated action to calm the markets after a Brexit victory.There were rumours last week that central banks could launch co-ordinated action to calm the markets after a Brexit victory.
Central banks are expected to use ‘swap lines’ to share currency with each other so that, for example, a British bank isn’t short of euros.Central banks are expected to use ‘swap lines’ to share currency with each other so that, for example, a British bank isn’t short of euros.
ECB closely monitoring financial markets following UK referendum, ready to provide additional liquidity if needed https://t.co/QNrkEz2d4rECB closely monitoring financial markets following UK referendum, ready to provide additional liquidity if needed https://t.co/QNrkEz2d4r
10.36am BST10.36am BST
10:3610:36
Not every City boss is weeping about the referendum result.Not every City boss is weeping about the referendum result.
Howard Shore, executive chairman of stockbroking firm Shore Capital Group, argues that the British people made the right decision.Howard Shore, executive chairman of stockbroking firm Shore Capital Group, argues that the British people made the right decision.
We now have a fantastic opportunity to deregulate the economy and better compete on a global stage in the 21st century.We now have a fantastic opportunity to deregulate the economy and better compete on a global stage in the 21st century.
Shore also argues that Europe shouldn’t punish the UK for its decision:Shore also argues that Europe shouldn’t punish the UK for its decision:
“The closeness of the result should encourage EU leaders to think pragmatically, arriving at a solution where Britain is out of the political union, but retains the ties that are of mutual benefit; and creates a two speed Europe for those wanting to stay out of the Eurozone and its inevitable move towards closer political union. As has been said many times, the Germans have no appetite to exclude us from the single market – only yesterday its industry chief, Markus Kerber, noted the foolishness of imposing trade barriers.”“The closeness of the result should encourage EU leaders to think pragmatically, arriving at a solution where Britain is out of the political union, but retains the ties that are of mutual benefit; and creates a two speed Europe for those wanting to stay out of the Eurozone and its inevitable move towards closer political union. As has been said many times, the Germans have no appetite to exclude us from the single market – only yesterday its industry chief, Markus Kerber, noted the foolishness of imposing trade barriers.”
10.29am BST10.29am BST
10:2910:29
Despite today’s selloff the FTSE 100 is basically flat for the week (it’s currently down 300 points, or 4.8%)Despite today’s selloff the FTSE 100 is basically flat for the week (it’s currently down 300 points, or 4.8%)
The FTSE over the last five days: pic.twitter.com/OsM1DlTuqGThe FTSE over the last five days: pic.twitter.com/OsM1DlTuqG
Over at another City trading firm, XTB, there is scepticism that the optimism of many clients is going to end well.Over at another City trading firm, XTB, there is scepticism that the optimism of many clients is going to end well.
David Cheetham, the firm’s market analyst, says that clients are trying to “pick a bottom” - a City term for buying shares at their cheapest point. But he fears that the selloff will intensify.David Cheetham, the firm’s market analyst, says that clients are trying to “pick a bottom” - a City term for buying shares at their cheapest point. But he fears that the selloff will intensify.
He tells Simon Goodley that:He tells Simon Goodley that:
We are going to have a long period of uncertainty which is not conducive to strong financial markets. I feel we will retest lows”.We are going to have a long period of uncertainty which is not conducive to strong financial markets. I feel we will retest lows”.
UpdatedUpdated
at 10.30am BSTat 10.30am BST
10.27am BST10.27am BST
10:2710:27
The pound is the worst-performing asset today:The pound is the worst-performing asset today:
#Brexit fallout: Every single currency in the world is gaining against the #pound... pic.twitter.com/QaySJI3oXc#Brexit fallout: Every single currency in the world is gaining against the #pound... pic.twitter.com/QaySJI3oXc
10.18am BST10.18am BST
10:1810:18
Fitch Ratings, the Paris based agency, says that decision to leave the EU is “credit negative for most sectors in the UK”, due to weaker medium-term growth and investment prospects and uncertainty about future trade arrangements.Fitch Ratings, the Paris based agency, says that decision to leave the EU is “credit negative for most sectors in the UK”, due to weaker medium-term growth and investment prospects and uncertainty about future trade arrangements.
10.14am BST10.14am BST
10:1410:14
Angela MonaghanAngela Monaghan
Alex White, regional director for Europe at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said he was still digesting the implications of the vote, but had these initial thoughts:Alex White, regional director for Europe at the Economist Intelligence Unit, said he was still digesting the implications of the vote, but had these initial thoughts:
“It’s pretty disastrous. You tend to get a little bit of an overreaction [in markets] and then a small correction but we’re not going back to anything like the status quo for a long time.“It’s pretty disastrous. You tend to get a little bit of an overreaction [in markets] and then a small correction but we’re not going back to anything like the status quo for a long time.
“I expect you’ll get ‘buyers remorse’ very quickly. People will feel this. They’ll see it in their pension statements.”“I expect you’ll get ‘buyers remorse’ very quickly. People will feel this. They’ll see it in their pension statements.”
White added that the statements from the Prime Minister and from Mark Carney struck the right tone.White added that the statements from the Prime Minister and from Mark Carney struck the right tone.
“Both of them did a pretty good job. Cameron made the best of a bad situation.”“Both of them did a pretty good job. Cameron made the best of a bad situation.”
UpdatedUpdated
at 10.18am BSTat 10.18am BST
10.12am BST10.12am BST
10:1210:12
Moody's hints at rating downgrade.Moody's hints at rating downgrade.
Rating agency Moody’s has issued a report on Brexit, warning that the UK’s economic and financial performance will suffer from “a prolonged period of policy uncertainty”.Rating agency Moody’s has issued a report on Brexit, warning that the UK’s economic and financial performance will suffer from “a prolonged period of policy uncertainty”.
It warns that investment flows into Britain will be his by the heightened uncertainty; which means lower growth.It warns that investment flows into Britain will be his by the heightened uncertainty; which means lower growth.
That will be “credit negative for the UK sovereign and other UK debt issuers”, Moody’s adds - in other words, the UK could be downgraded.That will be “credit negative for the UK sovereign and other UK debt issuers”, Moody’s adds - in other words, the UK could be downgraded.
10.06am BST10.06am BST
10:0610:06
Simon GoodleySimon Goodley
IG has a trading desk that deals solely with European clients.IG has a trading desk that deals solely with European clients.
Do they think the UK has gone mad? “Pretty much, yes,” one trader tells me.Do they think the UK has gone mad? “Pretty much, yes,” one trader tells me.
10.03am BST10.03am BST
10:0310:03
Airline group AIG warns on profits after Brexit vote Airline group IAG warns on profits after Brexit vote
IAG, the parent company of British Airways, has become the first FTSE 100 company to warn today that the EU referendum will hit its earnings.IAG, the parent company of British Airways, has become the first FTSE 100 company to warn today that the EU referendum will hit its earnings.
It has issued a short statement to the City, saying it no longer expects to hit its profit forecasts for 2016.It has issued a short statement to the City, saying it no longer expects to hit its profit forecasts for 2016.
International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. (IAG) believes that the vote to leave the European Union will not have a long term material impact on its business. In the short term, however, in the run up to the UK referendum during June, IAG experienced a weaker than expected trading environment.International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. (IAG) believes that the vote to leave the European Union will not have a long term material impact on its business. In the short term, however, in the run up to the UK referendum during June, IAG experienced a weaker than expected trading environment.
Following the outcome of the referendum, and given current market volatility, while IAG continues to expect a significant increase in operating profit this year, it no longer expects to generate an absolute operating profit increase similar to 2015.Following the outcome of the referendum, and given current market volatility, while IAG continues to expect a significant increase in operating profit this year, it no longer expects to generate an absolute operating profit increase similar to 2015.
Brexit profit warning from British Airways https://t.co/BWkJHsOjETBrexit profit warning from British Airways https://t.co/BWkJHsOjET
IAG’s shares are now down 20%, making it one of the worst-performing members of the FTSE 100.IAG’s shares are now down 20%, making it one of the worst-performing members of the FTSE 100.
UpdatedUpdated
at 10.05am BST at 11.13am BST