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EU referendum: First Scottish results declared | |
(35 minutes later) | |
The first Scottish result has been declared in the EU referendum - with a majority of people in Orkney voting in favour of Remain. | |
The islands declared their result at about 00:05, with Remain winning 7,189 votes (63%) and Leave on 4,193 (37%). Turnout was 68.4%. | |
It was followed by Clackmannashire, which backed Remain by 58% to 42%. | |
Counts are being held by 32 Scottish councils. Turnout is expected to be lower than elsewhere in the UK. | |
The result of the UK-wide referendum is due at around breakfast time. | |
YouGov has published an on-the-day poll which has Remain on 52% and Leave 48%. | |
YouGov carried out a similar poll on the day of the Scottish independence referendum in 2014 that predicted a result of 54%-46% in favour of remaining in the UK - very close to the actual result of 55%-45%. | YouGov carried out a similar poll on the day of the Scottish independence referendum in 2014 that predicted a result of 54%-46% in favour of remaining in the UK - very close to the actual result of 55%-45%. |
And Ipsos-Mori poll from Wednesday and Thursday put Remain on 54% and Leave on 46%. | |
Gibralter was the first area to declare at about 23:35, with islanders voting overwhelmingly for Remain, as had been expected. | Gibralter was the first area to declare at about 23:35, with islanders voting overwhelmingly for Remain, as had been expected. |
It was followed by Newcastle Upon Tyne, where Remain won 65,404 votes and Leave 63,598 - with the result closer than predicted. | |
UKIP leader Nigel Farage has said he thinks the UK has voted to remain in the EU, but insisted he was not conceding defeat. | |
Tom Harris, head of the Scottish Vote Leave campaign, admitted he was "glad it's over" and added: "Whoever wins tonight, this is the end of the campaign". | Tom Harris, head of the Scottish Vote Leave campaign, admitted he was "glad it's over" and added: "Whoever wins tonight, this is the end of the campaign". |
Strongest weeks | |
The pound has risen sharply against the dollar and could be on track for one of its strongest weeks on the markets - in terms of increase in value - for 30 years. | The pound has risen sharply against the dollar and could be on track for one of its strongest weeks on the markets - in terms of increase in value - for 30 years. |
It is widely expected that the vast majority of Scotland's 32 local authority areas will back Remain. | It is widely expected that the vast majority of Scotland's 32 local authority areas will back Remain. |
But the referendum will be decided purely on whether Leave or Remain receives the most votes across the UK. | But the referendum will be decided purely on whether Leave or Remain receives the most votes across the UK. |
About 46.5 million people were registered to vote - including four million in Scotland - in what is the third nationwide referendum in UK history. | About 46.5 million people were registered to vote - including four million in Scotland - in what is the third nationwide referendum in UK history. |
Opinion polls published ahead of the referendum suggested the two sides were neck-and-neck, although most showed Remain holding a slight lead on the eve of the vote. | Opinion polls published ahead of the referendum suggested the two sides were neck-and-neck, although most showed Remain holding a slight lead on the eve of the vote. |
Analysis by Laura Kuenssberg, BBC political editor | Analysis by Laura Kuenssberg, BBC political editor |
A funny thing happens on polling days like this, politicians, campaigners and journalists trade tiny scraps of information in an eager attempt to build up a picture - "It was mobbed at my polling station", "the sun's shining in the North West, that's definitely a good sign for the government", "So and so in the paper shop told me they were definitely voting for you and they've chosen the winning side at every election since 1979." | A funny thing happens on polling days like this, politicians, campaigners and journalists trade tiny scraps of information in an eager attempt to build up a picture - "It was mobbed at my polling station", "the sun's shining in the North West, that's definitely a good sign for the government", "So and so in the paper shop told me they were definitely voting for you and they've chosen the winning side at every election since 1979." |
Well this isn't a local election, or a general election, it's something totally different. | Well this isn't a local election, or a general election, it's something totally different. |
And the only thing the people I've been talking to today have in common is that they don't have a clue what the result will be. | And the only thing the people I've been talking to today have in common is that they don't have a clue what the result will be. |
There is a lot of anecdotal influence of high turnout, endless speculation about whether the torrential rain and flash flooding in some parts of the country will have made a difference. | There is a lot of anecdotal influence of high turnout, endless speculation about whether the torrential rain and flash flooding in some parts of the country will have made a difference. |
The expectation is that high turnout should help the Remain side. They've had an "enthusiasm gap" as I've written about before, their supporters are essentially less motivated that those who've been waiting for years for the chance to get out of the EU. | The expectation is that high turnout should help the Remain side. They've had an "enthusiasm gap" as I've written about before, their supporters are essentially less motivated that those who've been waiting for years for the chance to get out of the EU. |
Read more from Laura | Read more from Laura |
Leave's best chance of winning an area in Scotland was predicted to be Dumfries and Galloway, where a declaration is due at about 03:30. | Leave's best chance of winning an area in Scotland was predicted to be Dumfries and Galloway, where a declaration is due at about 03:30. |
Scotland's largest cities, Glasgow and Edinburgh, are expected to declare at about 05:00 and 03:30 respectively, with both thought to be among the UK's most pro-EU areas. | Scotland's largest cities, Glasgow and Edinburgh, are expected to declare at about 05:00 and 03:30 respectively, with both thought to be among the UK's most pro-EU areas. |
The official result of the referendum will be declared at Manchester Town Hall, with the exact time dependent on the level of turnout and how close the result is. | |
The BBC will have comprehensive coverage online with live updates throughout polling day and overnight, as well as up-to-the minute results. | The BBC will have comprehensive coverage online with live updates throughout polling day and overnight, as well as up-to-the minute results. |
BBC One, the BBC News Channel and BBC Parliament are broadcasting a results show hosted by David Dimbleby alongside BBC experts and special guests, which will have regular updates from Scotland. | BBC One, the BBC News Channel and BBC Parliament are broadcasting a results show hosted by David Dimbleby alongside BBC experts and special guests, which will have regular updates from Scotland. |
Coverage continues throughout the night and Sophie Raworth, Andrew Neil and Victoria Derbyshire will pick up the coverage on Friday morning. | Coverage continues throughout the night and Sophie Raworth, Andrew Neil and Victoria Derbyshire will pick up the coverage on Friday morning. |
Viewers outside the UK can join the results programme on BBC World News. | Viewers outside the UK can join the results programme on BBC World News. |
BBC Radio 4 will be broadcasting the EU referendum results in a programme from 23:00, that will run until Friday's Today programme at 06:00. | BBC Radio 4 will be broadcasting the EU referendum results in a programme from 23:00, that will run until Friday's Today programme at 06:00. |
BBC Radio 5 Live will also have live coverage as the results come in, and Good Morning Scotland will be on the air on BBC Radio Scotland from 06:00 with all the latest results, reaction and analysis. | BBC Radio 5 Live will also have live coverage as the results come in, and Good Morning Scotland will be on the air on BBC Radio Scotland from 06:00 with all the latest results, reaction and analysis. |