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Brazil's economy shrank 3.8% in 2015 | Brazil's economy shrank 3.8% in 2015 |
(35 minutes later) | |
Brazil's GDP fared worse than almost any other major economy in 2015, contracting by 3.8%, according to the national statistics agency IBGE. | |
The country, the seventh-largest economy in the world, has seen economic growth fall sharply in recent times. | The country, the seventh-largest economy in the world, has seen economic growth fall sharply in recent times. |
This is due in part to low commodity prices and sluggish global growth. | This is due in part to low commodity prices and sluggish global growth. |
But political paralysis has hampered the country's efforts to tackle its economic problems, including a budget deficit that has reached 10.8% of GDP. | But political paralysis has hampered the country's efforts to tackle its economic problems, including a budget deficit that has reached 10.8% of GDP. |
President Dilma Rousseff is trying to head off the opposition's efforts to impeach her over alleged accounting irregularities, which means she cannot afford to alienate supporters in her Workers' Party by cutting spending or raising taxes. | |
Investigations are also continuing into a high-level bribery and corruption scandal involving major construction projects. Ms Rousseff's predecessor as president, fellow Workers' Party politician Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, is one of the people under investigation. | |
Inflation surge | |
Brazil's economic performance last year vies with that of Russia as the worst in a major economy for 2015. Official figures for Russia's GDP last year have not yet been released. | |
It was also Brazil's worst set of figures since 1990. | |
Analysts say Brazil is now caught in a classic case of stagflation - a combination of high inflation and a recession. | Analysts say Brazil is now caught in a classic case of stagflation - a combination of high inflation and a recession. |
On Wednesday, policymakers at the country's central bank voted to keep the benchmark Selic interest rate at its current level of 14.25%. | On Wednesday, policymakers at the country's central bank voted to keep the benchmark Selic interest rate at its current level of 14.25%. |
High interest rates have traditionally been used in Brazil as a policy tool to keep inflation in check. But inflation has surged in any case, now standing at 11%, while high rates are hurting businesses. | High interest rates have traditionally been used in Brazil as a policy tool to keep inflation in check. But inflation has surged in any case, now standing at 11%, while high rates are hurting businesses. |
"While we don't think Brazil is on the cusp of a fiscal crisis, the position is fragile," said emerging markets economist Edward Glossop at Capital Economics. | "While we don't think Brazil is on the cusp of a fiscal crisis, the position is fragile," said emerging markets economist Edward Glossop at Capital Economics. |
"If nothing else, it is facing an extended period of budget austerity - and the longer the government fudges or delays the necessary adjustment, the more painful it will be." | "If nothing else, it is facing an extended period of budget austerity - and the longer the government fudges or delays the necessary adjustment, the more painful it will be." |