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EU referendum: Row over '10 years of uncertainty' claim EU referendum: Row over '10 years of uncertainty' claim
(about 2 hours later)
Ministers are warning of at least 10 years of "uncertainty" if the UK votes to leave the European Union.Ministers are warning of at least 10 years of "uncertainty" if the UK votes to leave the European Union.
A government analysis says the economy, financial markets and the rights of Britons living overseas could be affected during a complex negotiation to "unravel" the UK's membership.A government analysis says the economy, financial markets and the rights of Britons living overseas could be affected during a complex negotiation to "unravel" the UK's membership.
But Commons leader Chris Grayling, who is campaigning for a UK exit, said the 10-year claim was "ludicrous". But Commons Leader Chris Grayling, who is campaigning for a UK exit, said the 10-year claim was "ludicrous".
He accused the government of running a "relentless campaign of fear".He accused the government of running a "relentless campaign of fear".
The government's analysis comes amid a row about the conditions under which anti-EU ministers such as Mr Grayling are being allowed to campaign for a vote to leave in the 23 June referendum. Meanwhile Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon, who wants to remain in the EU, warned David Cameron against fighting a "miserable, negative, fear-based" referendum campaign.
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Such accusations were rejected by Cabinet Office Minister Matt Hancock, who told BBC Radio 4's Today programme the government's analysis was "a cautious assessment".
He said it was "incumbent" on the Leave campaign to explain what would happen if it wins the referendum.
The government's assessment of the exit process warns of a "complex negotiation" involving the 27 remaining EU member states, saying it would be difficult to complete a successful withdrawal inside the official two-year window.
Whitehall row
But Mr Grayling told the BBC: "Why on earth would we think it would take twice as long as the Second World War to be able to sort out our trading relationships with Europe and elsewhere?"
He said EU states had more to lose, because "they sell far more to us than we sell to them".
The debate comes amid a row about the conditions under which anti-EU ministers such as Mr Grayling are being allowed to campaign for a vote to leave in the 23 June referendum.
Ministers campaigning to leave have accused the government of behaving unconstitutionally in banning them from seeing some official documents during the campaign.Ministers campaigning to leave have accused the government of behaving unconstitutionally in banning them from seeing some official documents during the campaign.
The cabinet is split over the issue with 17 full members in favour of staying in the EU and five wanting to leave.The cabinet is split over the issue with 17 full members in favour of staying in the EU and five wanting to leave.
The government's official policy is that Britain should remain in the EU - and civil servants are duty-bound to support government policies.The government's official policy is that Britain should remain in the EU - and civil servants are duty-bound to support government policies.
Cabinet Secretary Sir Jeremy Heywood's guidance says ministers opposing the official government line should not be given access to government papers on the referendum or Prime Minister David Cameron's EU renegotiations - apart from ones they had already seen.Cabinet Secretary Sir Jeremy Heywood's guidance says ministers opposing the official government line should not be given access to government papers on the referendum or Prime Minister David Cameron's EU renegotiations - apart from ones they had already seen.
One cabinet minister told BBC assistant political editor Norman Smith "the Cabinet Office does not have the power to make the order to withhold information from individual secretaries of state".One cabinet minister told BBC assistant political editor Norman Smith "the Cabinet Office does not have the power to make the order to withhold information from individual secretaries of state".
The government is expected to be pressed to make a Commons statement on the issue later, with Sir Jeremy being accused of exceeding his authority in the way the rules are being implemented, Norman Smith added.The government is expected to be pressed to make a Commons statement on the issue later, with Sir Jeremy being accused of exceeding his authority in the way the rules are being implemented, Norman Smith added.
Downing Street indicated it would not back down on the issue.Downing Street indicated it would not back down on the issue.