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| Malcolm Turnbull agrees to Nationals demands as ministerial reshuffle looms - politics live | Malcolm Turnbull agrees to Nationals demands as ministerial reshuffle looms - politics live |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| 12.09am BST00:09 | |
| Greg Hunt on water: my work here is done | |
| Environment minister Greg Hunt just passed the water amendment which capped government buybacks. While Labor has kittens about giving water to the Nationals, Hunt says he did not want water anyways. | |
| It wasn’t a portfolio element that I sought but I was asked to have and we didn’t just achieve the outcome, we’ve just had the two greatest years of water reform in Australian history and my work is complete and in Barnaby, you’ve got somebody who lives in the basin, who has the ear of the farm community, who has had the portfolio and is a very good man. | |
| 11.51pm BST23:51 | |
| Costings of Nationals package: we trust our Liberal brothers and sisters | |
| Nationals senator Matt Canavan says the families element of the Nationals deal which will be considered by cabinet would cost $130m, which if agreed to, would be funded from the “broader families package”. | |
| He points out the movement of the water portfolio about to $2.5bn worth of responsibility to agriculture and thus the Nats. I would point out that the money has not been increased. It is just moved to a new master. But there will be more funding for mobile black spots, which is a big issue in the bush, and for regional students to study in universities. | |
| All up, the estimates are between $2 and $4 billion. Not everything has been precisely costed at this stage but we have made a high-level agreement, because we trust our Liberal brothers and sisters, and we will work out some of those details in a new government when that isf ormed. | |
| Here is Canavan’s reasoning for the stay at home parents policy, which he has been pushing for sometime. Remember this was the thing that upset the Nats when Tony Abbott was trying to get his “rolled gold paid parental leave” policy up. | |
| I’ve been saying for some months that I don’t think the tax system should try and socially engineer parental outcomes. I think it’s very important we give parents the opportunity to stay home and look after their children, particularly when they’re young and it’s really important for the child, too. All research says that if you can spend full-time with new-born babies it make a big difference and this [initiative] provides a little more assistance for parents with children below 1 to be able to make that choice and I’m all about giving parents more choice and giving parents more ability to spend more time with their families. | |
| Updated at 11.57pm BST | |
| 11.41pm BST23:41 | 11.41pm BST23:41 |
| Where’s that big smile Josh? | Where’s that big smile Josh? |
| 11.36pm BST23:36 | 11.36pm BST23:36 |
| The whole world has turned upside down. 2GB broadcaster Alan Jones and Bill Shorten had a little love-in, on the perils of politics and Tony Abbott’s generous spirit. | The whole world has turned upside down. 2GB broadcaster Alan Jones and Bill Shorten had a little love-in, on the perils of politics and Tony Abbott’s generous spirit. |
| Shorten: | Shorten: |
| There is a human dimension which gets sometimes lost in the press coverage and the argument and the toing and froing and I know his family and I know his staff and I know him and you can’t argue that he didn’t believe in what he was doing at all times. He did. | There is a human dimension which gets sometimes lost in the press coverage and the argument and the toing and froing and I know his family and I know his staff and I know him and you can’t argue that he didn’t believe in what he was doing at all times. He did. |
| Jones: | Jones: |
| And it’s true what you said, I laughed when you said about your frustration. Just when you were going to get angry with him, something very personal and sometimes quite flattering and gentle would come across the pathway. I don’t know whether it was the Jesuit training or what it was, but there was underneath all that a very generous spirit. | And it’s true what you said, I laughed when you said about your frustration. Just when you were going to get angry with him, something very personal and sometimes quite flattering and gentle would come across the pathway. I don’t know whether it was the Jesuit training or what it was, but there was underneath all that a very generous spirit. |
| 11.27pm BST23:27 | 11.27pm BST23:27 |
| Attorney general George Brandis was very fulsome in his reasons for supporting Malcolm Turnbull last night on 7.30 Report and on Sunrise this morning. | Attorney general George Brandis was very fulsome in his reasons for supporting Malcolm Turnbull last night on 7.30 Report and on Sunrise this morning. |
| I think it will probably be remembered as a government that on occasions struggled to explain itself to the Australian people. I along with a number of my senior colleagues were becoming very concerned that the situation was becoming irretrievable and that we were at very real peril of losing the 2016 election to the Labor party which in my view, would be a catastrophe for Australia. | I think it will probably be remembered as a government that on occasions struggled to explain itself to the Australian people. I along with a number of my senior colleagues were becoming very concerned that the situation was becoming irretrievable and that we were at very real peril of losing the 2016 election to the Labor party which in my view, would be a catastrophe for Australia. |
| 11.20pm BST23:20 | 11.20pm BST23:20 |
| Senator Matt Canavan is speaking about the Nationals agreement with the Liberals, under Malcolm Turnbull. | Senator Matt Canavan is speaking about the Nationals agreement with the Liberals, under Malcolm Turnbull. |
| He starts by making a wild claim on deputy prime minister Warren Truss. | He starts by making a wild claim on deputy prime minister Warren Truss. |
| I just want to say I think Warren Truss is the Jarryd Hayne of Australian politics this morning. | I just want to say I think Warren Truss is the Jarryd Hayne of Australian politics this morning. |
| Former environment minister Labor’s Tony Burke says he is horrified that the government has handed water back to the Nats. But Canavan, one of the Nats young turks, says: | Former environment minister Labor’s Tony Burke says he is horrified that the government has handed water back to the Nats. But Canavan, one of the Nats young turks, says: |
| There is always got to be a balance between economic, social and environmental outcomes in the Murray-Darling Basin and one of those important outcomes is to ensure we protect the food production sector. It delivers 40% of our food so everyone can keep getting access to cheap and affordable food. There’s two million people who live in the basin. We need to protect their jobs. And of course we need to protect the thousands of wetlands that are in the basin too. But we have done that in a Coalition government. Water used to be this the agricultural department before 2007 and this just returns to what we have then. | There is always got to be a balance between economic, social and environmental outcomes in the Murray-Darling Basin and one of those important outcomes is to ensure we protect the food production sector. It delivers 40% of our food so everyone can keep getting access to cheap and affordable food. There’s two million people who live in the basin. We need to protect their jobs. And of course we need to protect the thousands of wetlands that are in the basin too. But we have done that in a Coalition government. Water used to be this the agricultural department before 2007 and this just returns to what we have then. |
| 11.09pm BST23:09 | 11.09pm BST23:09 |
| Ministry bets | Ministry bets |
| Barrie Cassidy is reporting that even though Joe Hockey will not stand down, Scott Morrison will be offered the treasury portfolio. Cassidy’s bets include: | Barrie Cassidy is reporting that even though Joe Hockey will not stand down, Scott Morrison will be offered the treasury portfolio. Cassidy’s bets include: |
| 11.05pm BST23:05 | 11.05pm BST23:05 |
| 6 things Barnaby Joyce could do on water. By the pesky Tony Windsor. | 6 things Barnaby Joyce could do on water. By the pesky Tony Windsor. |
| In the course of my live blogging, I have been having a Twitter conversation with former New England independent Tony Windsor. Windsor has been messing with the mind of his successor, the agriculture minister Barnaby Joyce. Given Joyce now has water in his portfolio, he is calling on Joyce to use it to do something about the $1.2bn Shenhua Watermark mine on the Liverpool Plains. Windsor is toying with running in his old seat against Joyce. | In the course of my live blogging, I have been having a Twitter conversation with former New England independent Tony Windsor. Windsor has been messing with the mind of his successor, the agriculture minister Barnaby Joyce. Given Joyce now has water in his portfolio, he is calling on Joyce to use it to do something about the $1.2bn Shenhua Watermark mine on the Liverpool Plains. Windsor is toying with running in his old seat against Joyce. |
| @pnank @gabriellechan @The_Nationals If Joyce gets water he can't hide behind his "done everything I can " excuse on Liv Plains groundwater | @pnank @gabriellechan @The_Nationals If Joyce gets water he can't hide behind his "done everything I can " excuse on Liv Plains groundwater |
| @gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals The Water Trigger relates to mining and CSG - his Ministry can prevent Shenhua proceeding | @gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals The Water Trigger relates to mining and CSG - his Ministry can prevent Shenhua proceeding |
| @gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could request a full risk profile of cumulative risks to water on the LIv Plains including Shenhua | @gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could request a full risk profile of cumulative risks to water on the LIv Plains including Shenhua |
| @gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could use the balance of power to declare the LP a no go zone due to high risk to water | @gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could use the balance of power to declare the LP a no go zone due to high risk to water |
| @gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could have a serious conversation with Malcolm about cross over points re Water Act & water trigger | @gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could have a serious conversation with Malcolm about cross over points re Water Act & water trigger |
| @gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could seek mentoring as Bob Baldwin did from Malcolm on how water leg works & relates to M Darling | @gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could seek mentoring as Bob Baldwin did from Malcolm on how water leg works & relates to M Darling |
| 10.55pm BST22:55 | 10.55pm BST22:55 |
| There is a whole lot of King is Dead, Long Live the King, going on this morning. Finance minister minister Mathias Cormann, a staunch Abbott supporter has just done a doorstop, talking about the leadership as “ancient history”. | There is a whole lot of King is Dead, Long Live the King, going on this morning. Finance minister minister Mathias Cormann, a staunch Abbott supporter has just done a doorstop, talking about the leadership as “ancient history”. |
| I look forward to doing everything I can to support the new leader, to support Malcolm Turnbull. I support unequivocally the new leader. I’m a team player. It is incumbent for all of us to unite behind the leadership team of Malcolm Turnbull and Julie Bishop. All of this is now ancient history... I think all of us now need to put the past behind us. | I look forward to doing everything I can to support the new leader, to support Malcolm Turnbull. I support unequivocally the new leader. I’m a team player. It is incumbent for all of us to unite behind the leadership team of Malcolm Turnbull and Julie Bishop. All of this is now ancient history... I think all of us now need to put the past behind us. |
| Josh Frydenberg, the assistant treasurer and Abbott supporter, looks a little glum on ABC 24. He is one of the rising stars of the government but presumably he is one of a number of Abbott supporters who await their ministry fate. He is trying to smile though, when asked about the poll bounce. | Josh Frydenberg, the assistant treasurer and Abbott supporter, looks a little glum on ABC 24. He is one of the rising stars of the government but presumably he is one of a number of Abbott supporters who await their ministry fate. He is trying to smile though, when asked about the poll bounce. |
| I mean there is, you know, rolling polls in this business that we’re in of politics but certainly Malcolm Turnbull is off to a good start. He performed very well in parliament yesterday. I don’t think Labor put a glove on him and clearly we’ve now got an agreement with the National Party which is important because we are a Coalition and we will get on and continue to prosecute our economic and national security agenda. | I mean there is, you know, rolling polls in this business that we’re in of politics but certainly Malcolm Turnbull is off to a good start. He performed very well in parliament yesterday. I don’t think Labor put a glove on him and clearly we’ve now got an agreement with the National Party which is important because we are a Coalition and we will get on and continue to prosecute our economic and national security agenda. |
| 10.46pm BST22:46 | 10.46pm BST22:46 |
| Just by the by, the United States “central command”, Australian fighter jets have dropped their first bombs inside Syria. Turnbull will have to get his head around that one. | Just by the by, the United States “central command”, Australian fighter jets have dropped their first bombs inside Syria. Turnbull will have to get his head around that one. |
| Remember he met with the director general of security Duncan Lewis straight after his first leadership meeting yesterday. | Remember he met with the director general of security Duncan Lewis straight after his first leadership meeting yesterday. |
| 10.44pm BST22:44 | 10.44pm BST22:44 |
| Lenore Taylor has written a fabulous profile of the new PM here, dubbed the Malcolm Experiment. Here is a taste: | Lenore Taylor has written a fabulous profile of the new PM here, dubbed the Malcolm Experiment. Here is a taste: |
| Australians have high hopes for the Turnbull experiment. A snap poll on his first day as prime minister suggested he is the preferred PM for 70% of the nation. He has at most a year to vindicate the voters’ confidence and also to justify the wrenching decision made by his colleagues on Monday – to do what they had always criticised the Labor party for doing: overthrowing a first-term prime minister in the dead of night. | Australians have high hopes for the Turnbull experiment. A snap poll on his first day as prime minister suggested he is the preferred PM for 70% of the nation. He has at most a year to vindicate the voters’ confidence and also to justify the wrenching decision made by his colleagues on Monday – to do what they had always criticised the Labor party for doing: overthrowing a first-term prime minister in the dead of night. |
| 10.41pm BST22:41 | 10.41pm BST22:41 |
| Malcolm Turnbull is still finalising his ministry and that announcement is expected at the weekend, along with the Canning byelection. Remember that? | Malcolm Turnbull is still finalising his ministry and that announcement is expected at the weekend, along with the Canning byelection. Remember that? |
| Our friends at Crikey have reported the Reachtel poll – with the then hypothetical leadership of Malcolm Turnbull. | Our friends at Crikey have reported the Reachtel poll – with the then hypothetical leadership of Malcolm Turnbull. |
| The Poll Bludger, William Bowe reports yesterday: | The Poll Bludger, William Bowe reports yesterday: |
| A ReachTEL poll conducted in the electorate as the action unfolded last night found the Liberal lead at its usual 52-48, but that this would blow out to 57-43 if Malcolm Turnbull was leader. Under the assumption of Tony Abbott’s leadership, Andrew Hastie had 45.3% of the primary vote, Matt Keogh 36.4%, and the Greens 7.4%. Three earlier Reachtel polls had Hastie between 46.5% and 47.3%, Keogh between 33.0% and 35.5%, and the Greens between 8.0% and 9.6%. The respondent-allocated two-party preferred result is 52-48 to Hastie, suggesting a preference share of a bit under 40% – quite a bit higher than the 25% or so of earlier Reachtel polls, but still below the 2013 result of 48%. | A ReachTEL poll conducted in the electorate as the action unfolded last night found the Liberal lead at its usual 52-48, but that this would blow out to 57-43 if Malcolm Turnbull was leader. Under the assumption of Tony Abbott’s leadership, Andrew Hastie had 45.3% of the primary vote, Matt Keogh 36.4%, and the Greens 7.4%. Three earlier Reachtel polls had Hastie between 46.5% and 47.3%, Keogh between 33.0% and 35.5%, and the Greens between 8.0% and 9.6%. The respondent-allocated two-party preferred result is 52-48 to Hastie, suggesting a preference share of a bit under 40% – quite a bit higher than the 25% or so of earlier Reachtel polls, but still below the 2013 result of 48%. |
| In other words, the Liberals are expecting an immediate poll bounce from the Turnbull leadership. If only we could see the Liberal strategist Mark Textor’s numbers. | In other words, the Liberals are expecting an immediate poll bounce from the Turnbull leadership. If only we could see the Liberal strategist Mark Textor’s numbers. |
| Updated at 11.40pm BST | Updated at 11.40pm BST |
| 10.29pm BST22:29 | 10.29pm BST22:29 |
| Good morning blogans, | Good morning blogans, |
| The most interesting thing on the ReturnBull era - as my colleague Katharine Murphy calls it - is the juggling act the new prime minister is undertaking to balance all the interests in the Liberal-National coalition. | The most interesting thing on the ReturnBull era - as my colleague Katharine Murphy calls it - is the juggling act the new prime minister is undertaking to balance all the interests in the Liberal-National coalition. |
| On the top of the list was the Coalition agreement with the National party. | On the top of the list was the Coalition agreement with the National party. |
| The main point is that responsibility for water goes from the environment portfolio to agriculture. | The main point is that responsibility for water goes from the environment portfolio to agriculture. |
| The interesting thing to remember is most of the deal is predicated on cabinet consideration. Cabinet must consider – but not necessarily act on – the following: | The interesting thing to remember is most of the deal is predicated on cabinet consideration. Cabinet must consider – but not necessarily act on – the following: |
| The Nationals have obviously been reading trade agreements because the deal includes a side letter, with commitment to maintaining current conservative policies on climate change and a plebiscite on same sex marriage after the next election. More on those in a moment. | The Nationals have obviously been reading trade agreements because the deal includes a side letter, with commitment to maintaining current conservative policies on climate change and a plebiscite on same sex marriage after the next election. More on those in a moment. |
| There is a whole lot of commentary around this morning so I will give you a touch of that in a moment. Join us on the Twits @gabriellechan and @mpbowers. Let’s hit publish. | There is a whole lot of commentary around this morning so I will give you a touch of that in a moment. Join us on the Twits @gabriellechan and @mpbowers. Let’s hit publish. |
| Updated at 11.39pm BST | Updated at 11.39pm BST |