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Malcolm Turnbull agrees to Nationals demands as ministerial reshuffle looms - politics live Malcolm Turnbull agrees to Nationals demands as ministerial reshuffle looms - politics live
(35 minutes later)
11.09pm BST23:09
Ministry bets
Barrie Cassidy is reporting that even though Joe Hockey will not stand down, Scott Morrison will be offered the treasury portfolio. Cassidy’s bets include:
11.05pm BST23:05
6 things Barnaby Joyce could do on water. By the pesky Tony Windsor.
In the course of my live blogging, I have been having a Twitter conversation with former New England independent Tony Windsor. Windsor has been messing with the mind of his successor, the agriculture minister Barnaby Joyce. Given Joyce now has water in his portfolio, he is calling on Joyce to use it to do something about the $1.2bn Shenhua Watermark mine on the Liverpool Plains. Windsor is toying with running in his old seat against Joyce.
@pnank @gabriellechan @The_Nationals If Joyce gets water he can't hide behind his "done everything I can " excuse on Liv Plains groundwater
@gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals The Water Trigger relates to mining and CSG - his Ministry can prevent Shenhua proceeding
@gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could request a full risk profile of cumulative risks to water on the LIv Plains including Shenhua
@gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could use the balance of power to declare the LP a no go zone due to high risk to water
@gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could have a serious conversation with Malcolm about cross over points re Water Act & water trigger
@gabriellechan @pnank @The_Nationals He could seek mentoring as Bob Baldwin did from Malcolm on how water leg works & relates to M Darling
10.55pm BST22:55
There is a whole lot of King is Dead, Long Live the King, going on this morning. Finance minister minister Mathias Cormann, a staunch Abbott supporter has just done a doorstop, talking about the leadership as “ancient history”.
I look forward to doing everything I can to support the new leader, to support Malcolm Turnbull. I support unequivocally the new leader. I’m a team player. It is incumbent for all of us to unite behind the leadership team of Malcolm Turnbull and Julie Bishop. All of this is now ancient history... I think all of us now need to put the past behind us.
Josh Frydenberg, the assistant treasurer and Abbott supporter, looks a little glum on ABC 24. He is one of the rising stars of the government but presumably he is one of a number of Abbott supporters who await their ministry fate. He is trying to smile though, when asked about the poll bounce.
I mean there is, you know, rolling polls in this business that we’re in of politics but certainly Malcolm Turnbull is off to a good start. He performed very well in parliament yesterday. I don’t think Labor put a glove on him and clearly we’ve now got an agreement with the National Party which is important because we are a Coalition and we will get on and continue to prosecute our economic and national security agenda.
10.46pm BST22:46
Just by the by, the United States “central command”, Australian fighter jets have dropped their first bombs inside Syria. Turnbull will have to get his head around that one.
Remember he met with the director general of security Duncan Lewis straight after his first leadership meeting yesterday.
10.44pm BST22:44
Lenore Taylor has written a fabulous profile of the new PM here, dubbed the Malcolm Experiment. Here is a taste:
Australians have high hopes for the Turnbull experiment. A snap poll on his first day as prime minister suggested he is the preferred PM for 70% of the nation. He has at most a year to vindicate the voters’ confidence and also to justify the wrenching decision made by his colleagues on Monday – to do what they had always criticised the Labor party for doing: overthrowing a first-term prime minister in the dead of night.
10.41pm BST22:41
Malcolm Turnbull is still finalising his ministry and that announcement is expected at the weekend, along with the Canning byelection. Remember that?
Our friends at Crikey have reported the Reachtel poll - with the then hypothetical leadership of Malcolm Turnbull.
The Poll Bludger, William Bowe reports yesterday:
A ReachTEL poll conducted in the electorate as the action unfolded last night found the Liberal lead at its usual 52-48, but that this would blow out to 57-43 if Malcolm Turnbull was leader. Under the assumption of Tony Abbott’s leadership, Andrew Hastie had 45.3% of the primary vote, Matt Keogh 36.4%, and the Greens 7.4%. Three earlier ReachTEL polls had Hastie between 46.5% and 47.3%, Keogh between 33.0% and 35.5%, and the Greens between 8.0% and 9.6%. The respondent-allocated two-party preferred result is 52-48 to Hastie, suggesting a preference share of a bit under 40% – quite a bit higher than the 25% or so of earlier ReachTEL polls, but still below the 2013 result of 48%.
In other words, the Liberals are expecting an immediate poll bounce from the Turnbull leadership. If only we could see the Liberal strategist Mark Textor’s numbers.
10.29pm BST22:2910.29pm BST22:29
Good morning blogans,Good morning blogans,
The most interesting thing on the ReturnBull era - as my colleague Katharine Murphy calls it - is the juggling act the new prime minister is undertaking to balance all the interests in the Liberal-National coalition.The most interesting thing on the ReturnBull era - as my colleague Katharine Murphy calls it - is the juggling act the new prime minister is undertaking to balance all the interests in the Liberal-National coalition.
On the top of the list was the Coalition agreement with the National party.On the top of the list was the Coalition agreement with the National party.
The main point is that responsibility for water goes from the environment portfolio to agriculture.The main point is that responsibility for water goes from the environment portfolio to agriculture.
The interesting thing to remember is most of the deal is predicated on cabinet consideration. Cabinet must consider - but not necessarily act on - the following:The interesting thing to remember is most of the deal is predicated on cabinet consideration. Cabinet must consider - but not necessarily act on - the following:
The Nationals have obviously been reading trade agreements because the deal includes a side letter, with commitment to maintaining current conservative policies on climate change and a plebiscite on same sex marriage after the next election. More on those in a moment.The Nationals have obviously been reading trade agreements because the deal includes a side letter, with commitment to maintaining current conservative policies on climate change and a plebiscite on same sex marriage after the next election. More on those in a moment.
There is a whole lot of commentary around this morning so I will give you a touch of that in a moment. Join us on the Twits @gabriellechan and @mpbowers. Let’s hit publish.There is a whole lot of commentary around this morning so I will give you a touch of that in a moment. Join us on the Twits @gabriellechan and @mpbowers. Let’s hit publish.